All Fantasy Football Analysis
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Player outlook · Sep 11
Ricky Pearsall Fantasy Outlook 2026: Two Injury-Shortened Seasons, No Touchdowns in 2025
Pearsall posted 528 yards across nine games before a season-ending knee injury, failing to score once despite beating his catch and yardage props before the injury ended it.
#120 Vegas / +13 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 11
Khalil Shakir Fantasy Outlook 2026: Seven Bust Weeks and One Boom
Shakir posted 166 PPR points across 16 games in 2025 with just one week over 20 and seven under 10, finishing WR36 despite a 20% target share in an elite offense.
#98 Vegas / #109 ESPN / +3 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 10
Deebo Samuel Sr. Fantasy Outlook 2026: Eight Bust Weeks in Sixteen Games
Samuel posted 188 PPR points across 16 games in 2025, but half of those weeks finished under 10 points and his touchdown total has not cleared six in three years.
#101 Vegas / #129 ESPN / -8 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 10
Matthew Golden Fantasy Outlook 2026: Green Bay's WR3 With No Clear Path to Targets
Golden played 14 games as a rookie, caught 29 passes for 361 yards, and never found the end zone. The year-two case depends on a target-share jump no Green Bay receiver has managed in three years.
#99 Vegas / #102 ESPN / -22 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 10
Xavier Worthy Fantasy Outlook 2026: A Second Year That Never Started
Worthy opened 2025 with an injury that cost him his first three games and never recovered the efficiency that produced nine touchdowns as a rookie.
#95 Vegas / #122 ESPN / +1 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 9
Jordan Addison Fantasy Outlook 2026: A 53% Catch Rate Tells You Everything
Addison's catch rate fell from 65% to 53% in 2025 as Minnesota's quarterback chaos torpedoed him from 875 yards and nine touchdowns in 2024 to 610 yards and three scores across 14 games.
#103 Vegas / #104 ESPN / -4 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 9
Michael Wilson Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Market Is Not Buying The Second-Half Surge
Wilson finished WR10 after ranking 67th on our preseason board, but the late-season explosion came while Marvin Harrison Jr. dealt with injuries and the props have priced him closer to his first nine games than his last eight.
#96 Vegas / #85 ESPN / -15 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 9
Brian Thomas Jr. Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Trevor Lawrence Tax
Thomas opened 2025 ranked 16th overall and finished as WR42, posting 707 yards and two touchdowns despite a 14.4-yard average depth of target that suggested big-play upside.
#94 Vegas / #96 ESPN / -1 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 8
Wan'Dale Robinson Fantasy Outlook 2026: 92 Catches That Never Found the End Zone
Robinson posted 1,014 yards and 92 receptions in 2025 as WR14, then signed with Tennessee and now shares targets with Carnell Tate and Calvin Ridley behind a rookie quarterback.
#87 Vegas / #82 ESPN / +9 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 8
Jordyn Tyson Fantasy Outlook 2026: ESPN's WR34 Priced As The Market's WR42
The eighth overall pick led all rookies with a 35% target share across nine active weeks, but sportsbooks have posted him at 785 yards and 4.5 touchdowns while ESPN projects 189 points—a 25-point gap that defines the argument.
#156 Vegas / #162 ESPN / +3 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 8
Chris Godwin Fantasy Outlook 2026: A Severe Ankle Injury, Then Mike Evans Left
Godwin finished WR2 in 2024 before an ankle dislocation ended his season in Week 7, returned for nine games in 2025 with 360 yards and two touchdowns, and now steps into volume Mike Evans no longer occupies.
#88 Vegas / #103 ESPN / +6 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 7
Jakobi Meyers Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Floor Without The Ceiling
Meyers has cleared 800 receiving yards in five straight seasons but has never reached 1,100, and he posted just three touchdowns across 16 games in 2025 against a 4.5-touchdown line.
#91 Vegas / #93 ESPN / -1 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 7
Christian Watson Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Ceiling Game With A Seven-Point Floor
Watson posted three weeks over 20 PPR points and five under 10 across ten games in 2025, averaging 13.2 per game with a standard deviation of 7.3 — the weekly spread matters more than the seasonal average.
#75 Vegas / #74 ESPN / -33 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 7
Stefon Diggs Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Market Thinks 32 Means Done
Diggs just posted 1,013 yards and an 83% catch rate at age 32, finishing WR17, and the draft room still makes you wait until pick 109.8. Our board has him 28 spots earlier.
#82 Vegas / #89 ESPN / -9 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 6
Carnell Tate Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Draft Room Is Betting On A Role The Props Don't See Yet
Tate went fourth overall to Tennessee and the draft room is taking him at WR37. Sportsbooks have posted him at 800 yards and 4.5 touchdowns, which converts to a rank 36 spots lower than ESPN's.
#86 Vegas / #61 ESPN / -11 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 6
Courtland Sutton Fantasy Outlook 2026: Draft Rooms Are Ignoring The Age-30 Cliff
Sutton finished WR13 last season with 1,017 yards and seven touchdowns, but sportsbooks have posted him at 750 yards and 6.5 scores for 2026 — a 267-yard markdown that converts to 73 on our board against an ADP of 118.1.
#73 Vegas / #73 ESPN / +1 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 6
Michael Pittman Jr. Fantasy Outlook 2026: Pittsburgh Paid For The Floor, Not The Ceiling
Pittman has cleared 800 yards in five straight seasons but averaged 4.2 touchdowns per year as Indianapolis' lead receiver — and now he moves to Pittsburgh as the complement to DK Metcalf.
#78 Vegas / #67 ESPN / -1 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 5
Isaiah Likely Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Giants Bet On A Seven-Game Sample
Likely projects for 62 receptions, 653 yards, and 5 touchdowns after backing up Mark Andrews for three years, and our board has him 112 overall against an ADP of 110.9.
#112 Vegas / #115 ESPN / -7 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 5
DK Metcalf Fantasy Outlook 2026: Pittsburgh Saved The Floor, Not The Ceiling
Metcalf posted a career-low 850 yards in Seattle last year but still finished WR26 by scoring six touchdowns, then signed with Pittsburgh where the target tree just got more crowded.
#66 Vegas / #71 ESPN / +6 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 5
Travis Kelce Fantasy Outlook 2026: He Finished TE3 By Showing Up
Kelce was the third-best fantasy tight end last season and ninth by per-game scoring. The difference between those two numbers is the entire case for drafting him.
#92 Vegas / #101 ESPN / +5 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 4
Josh Downs Fantasy Outlook 2026: Pittman's Targets Have to Land Somewhere
Downs projects for 67.5 receptions and 839 yards with Pittman gone to Pittsburgh, and the market has him 67 picks later than that projection is worth.
#69 Vegas / #105 ESPN / +34 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 4
Jaylen Warren Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Market Still Treats Him Like a Handcuff
Warren ran for 958 yards on 52% of Pittsburgh's carries and finished as RB17, yet the draft room waits until pick 110.5 while our board has him 18 spots earlier at 93.
#93 Vegas / #77 ESPN / +9 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 4
Brenton Strange Fantasy Outlook 2026: TE9 At Pick 167 Is The Easiest Value On The Board
Our board has Strange 122 overall against an ADP of 168.7, an 80-pick surplus that exists because drafters treat tight end scarcity as binary rather than continuous.
#122 Vegas / #174 ESPN / +49 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 3
Marvin Harrison Jr. Fantasy Outlook 2026: Two Bad Years With Different Excuses
Harrison played 12 games as a rookie, caught 41 passes for 608 yards, and finished WR39 per game after going fourth overall in the NFL draft a year earlier.
#65 Vegas / #63 ESPN / +12 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 3
Rico Dowdle Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Market Leaves Him 29 Picks Too Late
Dowdle has posted back-to-back 1,300-yard seasons on 4.6 yards per carry, finishing RB18 last year, and the draft room still waits until pick 111 to take him — 29 spots after our board does.
#71 Vegas / #88 ESPN / +63 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 3
George Kittle Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Achilles Tear No One Is Fading
Kittle tore an Achilles in January and is 32 years old, yet his ADP sits at 98 while our board has him at 83—the market is treating a severe injury like a minor knock.
#85 Vegas / #72 ESPN / -7 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 2
Jayden Reed Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Injury That Erased A Breakout Third Year
Reed played seven games in 2025 before a season-ending injury, finishing with 48.5 PPR points after posting 900-plus yards and seven-plus touchdowns in each of his first two NFL seasons.
#62 Vegas / #118 ESPN / +53 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 2
Tony Pollard Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Volume Is Real, The Scoring Is Not
Pollard handled 64% of Tennessee's carries and still finished RB30 per game, capped by an offense that has given him exactly five rushing touchdowns in back-to-back seasons.
#90 Vegas / #68 ESPN / +15 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 2
Tucker Kraft Fantasy Outlook 2026: TE4 Per Game Before The ACL Tear
Kraft was the fourth-best tight end on a per-game basis through eight weeks in 2025 before tearing his ACL in Week 9, and the market has him priced 25 picks later than our projection suggests he is worth if healthy.
#80 Vegas / #91 ESPN / +44 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 1
Brock Purdy Fantasy Outlook 2026: QB6 Per Game Before The Injury Ended It
Purdy posted 19.7 points per game in nine starts last season, good for QB6 on a per-game basis, before an injury cost him the other eight weeks.
#61 Vegas / #97 ESPN / -25 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 1
Alec Pierce Fantasy Outlook 2026: Deep Threat Moving Into the WR1 Chair
Pierce doubled his posted yardage line and tripled his touchdown prop last season, and now Michael Pittman is gone. Our board has him 64 overall against an ADP of 136.9.
#64 Vegas / #90 ESPN / +35 draft value
Player outlook · Sep 1
Bhayshul Tuten Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Etienne Vacancy With No Proven Volume
Tuten inherits a cleared backfield after Travis Etienne's departure, but 83 carries across 15 rookie games is not a workload projection—it is a depth chart accident waiting to be repriced.
#83 Vegas / #47 ESPN / +3 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 31
Harold Fannin Jr. Fantasy Outlook 2026: Cleveland's TE1 After a 108-Target Rookie Year
Fannin commanded 108 targets as a rookie—eighth all-time for a first-year tight end—and finished with 72 catches, 731 yards, and six touchdowns. With David Njoku gone, he enters year two as Cleveland's clear lead pass-catcher.
#70 Vegas / #69 ESPN / +25 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 31
Lamar Jackson Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Injury That Changed How Baltimore Uses Him
Jackson missed four games mid-season in 2025 and averaged 13.5 points per game across his final nine starts, well below the dual-threat ceiling that made him QB1 in 2024.
#56 Vegas / #43 ESPN / -47 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 31
DJ Moore Fantasy Outlook 2026: Buffalo Trade Arrives After Career-Worst Target Share
Moore posted six touchdowns and 682 yards in 2025, finishing WR35 after six straight top-25 seasons, then got traded to Buffalo in March.
#48 Vegas / #51 ESPN / +8 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 31
TreVeyon Henderson Fantasy Outlook 2026: Three Ceiling Weeks and a Backfield Split
Henderson posted 5.1 yards per carry and 10 touchdowns as a rookie, but carried just 36% of New England's rushes and split most of the season with Rhamondre Stevenson.
#72 Vegas / #60 ESPN / +30 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 30
Kyle Pitts Sr. Fantasy Outlook 2026: TE5 With the Quarterback Question Unresolved
Pitts finished TE2 in targets, receptions, and yards last season after three years outside the top 15. The franchise tag confirms usage, but the projection depends on Atlanta repeating what Kirk Cousins gave him before the injury.
#76 Vegas / #70 ESPN / +29 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 30
Jayden Daniels Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Injury That Hides A Sophomore Slump
Daniels played seven games before the injury ended his 2025 season, and the seven games he did play had already dropped him from QB3 to QB17 per game.
#74 Vegas / #55 ESPN / -31 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 30
Mike Evans Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Injury Was Real, The Talent Hasn't Left
Evans missed nine games in 2025 and posted career-worst per-game numbers when he played, but at 33 he's now in San Francisco with a proven quarterback and a track record of red-zone production that doesn't disappear overnight.
#50 Vegas / #62 ESPN / +30 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 30
Travis Etienne Jr. Fantasy Outlook 2026: RB10 Finish Hiding A Five-Bust Season
Etienne posted 253.9 PPR points and finished as RB10 in 2025, but five games under ten points and a new backfield in New Orleans make the season average misleading.
#43 Vegas / #35 ESPN / +12 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 29
Colston Loveland Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Late-Season Split Is The Entire Case
Loveland averaged 4.1 targets across his first 14 NFL games before jumping to 12.0 per game over the final four weeks, finishing TE12 as a rookie on 58 receptions and 713 yards.
#51 Vegas / #42 ESPN / +14 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 29
Jalen Hurts Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Draft Room Wants The 2023 Version Back
Hurts finished QB8 last season with 299 points after three straight top-five campaigns. The room is drafting him at 60.9 like the rushing volume is coming back, but the props show 425 rushing yards against the 630 he posted in 2024.
#57 Vegas / #66 ESPN / -12 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 29
Rome Odunze Fantasy Outlook 2026: DJ Moore's Absence Fixes the Problem It Created
Odunze caught 44 passes for 661 yards and six touchdowns across twelve games in 2025, then watched Chicago trade away the receiver who kept him from running a full route tree.
#54 Vegas / #54 ESPN / +25 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 29
Quinshon Judkins Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Volume Is There, The Efficiency Is Not
Judkins handled 55% of Cleveland's rush attempts as a rookie and averaged 16 carries per game across 14 starts, but 3.6 yards per carry and minimal receiving work left him at RB26.
#52 Vegas / #39 ESPN / +11 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 28
Tyler Warren Fantasy Outlook 2026: TE4 Finish on Five Touchdowns
Warren finished as the fourth tight end in his rookie season despite scoring just five touchdowns on 7.5 expected, and now Michael Pittman is gone.
#60 Vegas / #52 ESPN / -4 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 28
Joe Burrow Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Ceiling That Disappeared Without an Injury
Burrow finished QB15 per game across eight starts in 2025, posting 16.8 points per game after back-to-back top-five finishes when healthy, and the rushing floor vanished completely.
#55 Vegas / #64 ESPN / -13 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 28
Jameson Williams Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Volatility Inside Detroit's Passing Game
Williams posted back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons and finished WR12 in 2025, but seven bust weeks across 17 games and an NFL-leading eight drops mean the weekly ride is rougher than the season average suggests.
#45 Vegas / #53 ESPN / +18 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 28
D'Andre Swift Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Draft Room Overpenalizes the Timeshare
Swift posted 1,386 scrimmage yards and nine touchdowns on 4.9 yards per carry last season while handling 44% of Chicago's rush attempts, and the market makes you wait until pick 73 when our board has him 15 spots earlier.
#44 Vegas / #46 ESPN / +2 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 27
Jaylen Waddle Fantasy Outlook 2026: WR25 On Volume Without The Touchdowns
Waddle finished WR24 in his first Denver season with 910 yards and 64 catches across 16 games, but scored only six touchdowns against a 5.5 line and has topped seven receiving touchdowns once in five years.
#41 Vegas / #48 ESPN / +8 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 27
Ladd McConkey Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Efficiency Collapse That Had Nothing To Do With Talent
McConkey finished WR29 in 2025 after a WR12 rookie season, posting 789 yards against a 1,050.5-yard line. His catch rate and yards per target both cratered despite running more routes.
#39 Vegas / #40 ESPN / +5 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 27
Davante Adams Fantasy Outlook 2026: WR23 On Touchdowns That Cannot Repeat
Adams finished WR9 last season with 14 touchdowns against a 7.5 line, leading all receivers in end zone targets for the third time in six years, but his 789 yards were 161 short of his posted projection.
#42 Vegas / #44 ESPN / -29 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 27
Luther Burden III Fantasy Outlook 2026: Chi-Town's New Alpha
Burden posted elite efficiency metrics as a rookie — 78% catch rate, 10.8 yards per target, 7.3 yards after catch — on minimal volume. DJ Moore's departure opens the target tree.
#59 Vegas / #59 ESPN / +31 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 26
Terry McLaurin Fantasy Outlook 2026: The 2024 Ceiling Against The 2025 Floor
McLaurin caught 13 touchdowns and finished WR7 in 2024, then injuries limited him and Jayden Daniels to ten shared games in 2025 where he posted three scores and 582 yards.
#40 Vegas / #50 ESPN / +21 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 26
Parker Washington Fantasy Outlook 2026: Jacksonville's Breakout Is Priced Like a Backup
Washington closed last season with four straight games of at least nine targets and commanded a 20% target share over 21 games with significant routes. The draft room waits until pick 103.
#63 Vegas / #76 ESPN / -19 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 26
Tee Higgins Fantasy Outlook 2026: 21 Touchdowns In Two Years, Drafted Like A Risk
Higgins scored 11 touchdowns in 15 games this season after scoring 10 in 12 games the year before, yet drafters wait until pick 58 to claim a receiver our board ranks 18 spots higher.
#38 Vegas / #41 ESPN / 0 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 26
Emeka Egbuka Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Catch Rate Is The Only Thing That Needs To Fix
Egbuka led Tampa Bay with 24% of team targets as a rookie and finished top-ten in both total targets and air yards, then converted them at a 50% catch rate that ranked among the league's worst.
#32 Vegas / #38 ESPN / +17 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 25
David Montgomery Fantasy Outlook 2026: Houston Trusts Him More Than Your Draft Room Does
Montgomery is being drafted at 83.6 against a board rank of 46, a gap of 38 picks on a back the Texans re-signed and projected for 8.5 rushing touchdowns.
#46 Vegas / #57 ESPN / +25 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 25
Tetairoa McMillan Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Volume Without The Efficiency
McMillan commanded 25% of Carolina's targets as a rookie and finished WR16, but he caught just 57% of passes thrown his way and posted only one top-ten week across 17 games.
#35 Vegas / #36 ESPN / 0 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 25
Bucky Irving Fantasy Outlook 2026: Efficiency Collapse and a New Backfield Threat
Irving's yards per carry fell from 5.4 as a rookie to 3.4 in 2025 on 37% of Tampa Bay's carries, and the Buccaneers responded by signing Kenneth Gainwell to a two-year, $14 million deal.
#58 Vegas / #49 ESPN / +0 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 25
Zay Flowers Fantasy Outlook 2026: WR16 On Volume Baltimore Cannot Give Two Receivers
Flowers finished WR7 last season with 1,211 yards and 86 catches against a posted 900.5-yard, 70-catch line, but he has never drawn more than seven red-zone targets in a season.
#33 Vegas / #37 ESPN / -4 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 24
Cam Skattebo Fantasy Outlook 2026: 19 Points Per Game In Six Full Games
Skattebo averaged 19.1 fantasy points per game across six full contests before an ankle injury ended his rookie season, beating the market by 66 yards rushing and a touchdown on just eight appearances.
#53 Vegas / #45 ESPN / -6 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 24
Garrett Wilson Fantasy Outlook 2026: Volume Never Solved The Quarterback
Wilson led the Jets with a 33% target share before injury ended his 2025 season at eight games, and across three healthy years he ranked top six in targets without ever cracking the top 20 in fantasy scoring.
#31 Vegas / #29 ESPN / -4 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 24
Josh Jacobs Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Player Our Board Knows Least About
Sportsbooks have not posted a meaningful market on Jacobs, which means our projection is running without its main input. Here is what we can and cannot tell you.
Player outlook
Analysis · Aug 24
Contract Years In Fantasy: 14 Players, And Why It Should Barely Move Your Board
Fourteen players inside the top 100 are playing for their next deal. The situational read is worth something. The motivation story is worth close to nothing.
Analysis / Market data
Player outlook · Aug 23
George Pickens Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Props Are Not Buying The Breakout
Pickens finished WR5 with 1,429 yards and the draft room is paying for it. Sportsbooks have posted him roughly 400 yards lower, and that gap is the whole argument.
#25 Vegas / #27 ESPN / -4 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 23
Breece Hall Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Workload Stayed, The Efficiency Did Not
Hall has handled 266-plus touches in three straight seasons but finished RB19 last year with 1,065 rushing yards and four touchdowns against a 5.5-touchdown line.
#37 Vegas / #30 ESPN / 0 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 23
DeVonta Smith Fantasy Outlook 2026: WR13 Now That Brown Is Gone
Smith finished WR20 with 77 catches and four touchdowns while splitting targets with A.J. Brown. The projection assumes he absorbs some but not all of the 138 targets Brown leaves behind.
#26 Vegas / #34 ESPN / -4 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 23
Kenneth Walker III Fantasy Outlook 2026: RB15 In Kansas City, Ten Spots Below ADP
Walker finished RB22 last season in Seattle's committee before joining Andy Reid's offense, where our board projects him 30 overall against an 17.4 draft cost.
#30 Vegas / #28 ESPN / -8 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 22
Trevor Lawrence Fantasy Outlook 2026: QB3 at Pick 96 Is the Biggest Edge on the Board
Lawrence finished QB4 last season and our board has him 49 overall, 63 picks ahead of an ADP that makes you wait until the eighth round.
#49 Vegas / #94 ESPN / +41 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 22
Chris Olave Fantasy Outlook 2026: WR6 Finish Now Priced As WR12
Olave finished sixth among receivers last season with 100 catches, 1,163 yards, and nine touchdowns against a preseason line of 66.5 receptions, 813 yards, and 3.5 touchdowns.
#24 Vegas / #24 ESPN / -9 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 22
Javonte Williams Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Market Still Thinks He's The Denver Version
Williams finished as RB12 last season on 252 carries and 11 touchdowns in Dallas, but drafters make you wait until pick 40.2 while our board has him 27 overall.
#27 Vegas / #31 ESPN / +15 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 22
Brock Bowers Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Injury That Cost Him TE1
Bowers posted the second-best per-game scoring rate among tight ends in 2025 despite missing five games to a Week 1 injury, finishing TE11 overall when the preseason projection had him first.
#34 Vegas / #22 ESPN / +2 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 21
Drake Maye Fantasy Outlook 2026: QB2 With Nobody Believing It Yet
Maye finished as the second quarterback in fantasy last season after the board had him at 149 overall, and the market has adjusted only halfway to what he just delivered.
#47 Vegas / #56 ESPN / -3 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 21
Nico Collins Fantasy Outlook 2026: Three Straight 1,000-Yard Seasons Without Playing 17 Games
Collins cleared 1,000 yards for the third year running despite missing games in every season, finishing WR8 in total points and WR10 in points per game—but the market is charging you for a player who stays healthy.
#21 Vegas / #23 ESPN / +13 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 21
Jeremiyah Love Fantasy Outlook 2026: Rookie RB With The Touches, Without The Consensus
Love enters a backfield with no established starter and joins a nine-year streak of top-12 drafted backs finishing top-12 as rookies, but ESPN ranks him 13th overall while our board sits at 26.
#36 Vegas / #19 ESPN / -9 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 21
Kyren Williams Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Draft Room Keeps Discounting Him
Williams has finished as a top-10 back three years running and the market still makes you wait until the fourth round. Our board has him 15 spots earlier.
#28 Vegas / #32 ESPN / +18 draft value
Analysis · Aug 20
The First Three Rounds Are Mostly Settled. Here Is Where They Are Not.
Sportsbook-implied projections, ESPN, and average draft position agree on almost the entire first round. The handful of places they diverge is where your early picks are actually decided.
Analysis / Market data
Player outlook · Aug 20
Saquon Barkley Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Age-29 Collapse Nobody Wanted to See
Barkley played all 16 games in 2025 and fell from RB1 to RB14, losing 865 rushing yards and six touchdowns with no injury to explain it. The decline at 29 is exactly what the actuarial tables predict.
#15 Vegas / #15 ESPN / +9 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 20
Chase Brown Fantasy Outlook 2026: RB10 Who Doubled His Output In The Second Half
Brown finished RB7 last season after averaging 10.1 points per game through seven weeks, then posted 21.2 per game with ten touchdowns over his final ten games as Cincinnati's lead back.
#13 Vegas / #14 ESPN / +12 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 20
Derrick Henry Fantasy Outlook 2026: RB9 At Age 32 With The Goal Line Still His
Henry ran for 1,595 yards and 16 touchdowns last season at age 31, beating a 1,325.5-yard line while finishing RB8. The projection is that he does it again, just slightly less.
#19 Vegas / #16 ESPN / -7 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 19
Malik Nabers Fantasy Outlook 2026: Four Games Before a Torn ACL
Nabers played four games in 2025, posted 37.7 points in Week 2, then tore his ACL. The rookie season that preceded it is the reason he is still a second-round pick.
#29 Vegas / #33 ESPN / +7 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 19
Omarion Hampton Fantasy Outlook 2026: The RB2 Who Already Does Everything
Hampton averaged 15.1 PPR points per game as a rookie across nine starts, finishing RB13 in per-game scoring on 13.8 carries and 3.9 targets per appearance.
#14 Vegas / #13 ESPN / +14 draft value
Analysis · Aug 19
The Injury Discount: 21 Players Whose 2025 Totals Lie About Them
A fifth of the top 100 missed four or more games last season. Ranking them by points per game instead of season totals moves some of them thirty positional spots.
Analysis / Market data
Player outlook · Aug 19
Rashee Rice Fantasy Outlook 2026: Eight Healthy Games Say Everything
Rice finished WR5 per game in 2025 despite playing only eight contests, converting 53 catches and 571 yards before injury ended his season—the question is whether availability becomes the profile.
#23 Vegas / #25 ESPN / +10 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 18
De'Von Achane Fantasy Outlook 2026: RB5 Finish In Back-To-Back Seasons
Achane finished as the fifth running back in fantasy in both 2024 and 2025, with 12 touchdowns and 1,838 scrimmage yards last season against lines that projected him closer to RB8.
#16 Vegas / #12 ESPN / +2 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 18
Trey McBride Fantasy Outlook 2026: TE1 Without A Close Second
McBride finished TE1 last season with 126 receptions and 1,239 yards against a 90.36-catch, 900.5-yard line, trailing only Ja'Marr Chase in targets and receptions over the past two seasons.
#22 Vegas / #21 ESPN / +8 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 18
Josh Allen Fantasy Outlook 2026: Everyone Agrees On QB1, Not On What That Costs
Our board and ESPN both call Allen the top quarterback and still rank him 6 spots apart. That gap is a lesson in how positional value works.
#20 Vegas / #26 ESPN / -13 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 18
A.J. Brown Fantasy Outlook 2026: What a Trade to New England Actually Changes
Brown finished WR11 in 2025 despite missing two games and playing through a quarterback circus in Philadelphia. The Drake Maye pairing in New England is the entire thesis.
#18 Vegas / #20 ESPN / +17 draft value
Analysis · Aug 17
The Sophomore Leap Is Not A Thing. Rookie Usage Is.
Thirteen second-year players sit inside the top 100, and their rookie seasons ranged from TE4 to WR88. What separates them is not talent or draft pedigree — it is how much work they already had.
Analysis / Market data
Player outlook · Aug 17
Ashton Jeanty Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Volume Is Already There
Jeanty was seventh among running backs in both carries and targets as a rookie. The year-two case has nothing to do with workload and everything to do with 3.7 yards per carry.
#17 Vegas / #17 ESPN / -1 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 17
Drake London Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Injury Is Gone, The Production Never Left
London missed five games in 2025 and still finished seventh among receivers in points per game, one year after a 100-1271-9 breakout that put him fifth in total scoring.
#12 Vegas / #18 ESPN / -1 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 17
Justin Jefferson Fantasy Outlook 2026: A Collapse With No Injury To Blame
Jefferson played all 17 games in 2025, posted a career-high target share, and still finished WR21. Understanding why is the whole draft decision.
#10 Vegas / #11 ESPN / -2 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 16
CeeDee Lamb Fantasy Outlook 2026: Three Missed Games, Three Touchdowns, Same Question
Lamb missed three games and finished WR22, but ranked 12th in per-game scoring and cleared 1,000 yards for the fifth straight year. The problem was touchdowns, not talent.
#9 Vegas / #10 ESPN / 0 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 16
James Cook Fantasy Outlook 2026: RB5 Who Led All Backs In Rushing Last Season
Cook finished RB6 with 302.2 points after leading the position with 1,621 rushing yards against a 950.5 line, and our board, ESPN, and ADP all place him between picks 10 and 13.
#11 Vegas / #9 ESPN / +1 draft value
Analysis · Aug 16
Where The Betting Market And The Draft Room Disagree Most In 2026
The gap between a sportsbook-implied projection and average draft position is the only part of a ranking that tells you where a decision actually matters. These are the widest ones.
Analysis / Market data
Player outlook · Aug 16
Amon-Ra St. Brown Fantasy Outlook 2026: WR3 For The Third Year Running
St. Brown has finished as the third receiver in fantasy in each of the past three seasons, with 117 receptions and 11 touchdowns in 2025 against a 98.9-catch, 8.5-touchdown line.
#6 Vegas / #8 ESPN / 0 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 15
Jonathan Taylor Fantasy Outlook 2026: RB4 With The Quarterback Variance Priced Out
Taylor finished as the RB4 last season after averaging 25 points per game with Daniel Jones and 13 without him. The board, ESPN, and ADP all agree at eight overall because Jones is expected back Week 1.
#8 Vegas / #5 ESPN / -2 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 15
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Fantasy Outlook 2026: The WR2 Finish Everyone Missed
Smith-Njigba finished second among receivers last season with 1,793 yards and a 36% target share after the market ranked him WR18. Our board, ESPN, and ADP all have him top-six now.
#7 Vegas / #6 ESPN / -5 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 15
Christian McCaffrey Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Consensus Is Ignoring 450 Touches
McCaffrey finished RB1 with 416.6 points and led all backs in receptions and receiving yards, but he did it on 450 touches including playoffs at age 29 with 3.9 yards per carry.
#4 Vegas / #7 ESPN / +5 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 15
Puka Nacua Fantasy Outlook 2026: WR1 Finish With The Volume Already Maxed
Nacua led the league in receptions and finished WR1 with 375 points on 29% of his team's targets. The question is whether he can repeat a performance that cleared every posted line by miles.
#5 Vegas / #4 ESPN / +4 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 14
Bijan Robinson Fantasy Outlook 2026: RB2 With The Touchdowns Still Missing
Robinson finished second among backs last season while scoring seven rushing touchdowns against a 10.5 line. The upside case is the part he has not done yet.
#2 Vegas / #2 ESPN / 0 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 14
Ja'Marr Chase Fantasy Outlook 2026: He Was WR4 With Backup Quarterbacks
Chase finished fourth among receivers and third in per-game scoring while Joe Burrow missed nine games. That is the most useful thing anyone can tell you about his floor.
#3 Vegas / #3 ESPN / +1 draft value
Player outlook · Aug 14
Jahmyr Gibbs Fantasy Outlook 2026: The Rare Pick Nobody Argues About
Our board, ESPN, and the draft room all land on Gibbs at the top, which is unusual enough to be worth explaining — and the 2025 props show why the agreement is still conservative.
#1 Vegas / #1 ESPN / 0 draft value
Analysis · Aug 14
How Sportsbook Props Become Fantasy Projections
Every rank on our board starts as a posted betting line. Here is the conversion, what it is good at, and the three places it is weakest.
Analysis / Market data