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Best NBA Playoff Prop Bets: May 9

May 9, 2025
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 12.5 rebounds + assists -105 (DK/MGM/FD)
 
The stars shine brightest in the playoffs, and the soon-to-be MVP should find his way over this line with the way the Nuggets are guarding him. Shai has seen the double-team treatment from Denver, which has led to more passing. He had 21 potential assists in Game 1, and 17 in Game 2. Due to the nature of the blowout, he only played 30 minutes last game, but now that OKC is on the road, and just -5 favorites, as opposed to the -10.5 they closed last game at, there's a higher likelihood we see him out there for the 40 minutes he played in Game 1. In that game, he finished with 8 assists and 10 rebounds on 18 rebound chances. In last year's playoff run, SGA eclipsed this mark in seven of 10 games, averaging 13.6 RA per game. I took a beer money stab at a triple-double at +3400 as well.
 
Donovan Mitchell over 29.5 Points -106 (FD)
 
The handicap on this one is fairly simple. The Cavs are dealing with a cluster of injuries, and Spida thrives in these situations. Over the last two postseasons, when he plays 30+ minutes, Mitchell has 30+ points in nine of 13 games, averaging 32.6 points per game. Even if Darius Garland, Evan Mobley, and Deandre Hunter suit up, Mitchell will be the primary source of offense, per usual. Coming off a 48-point performance in Game 2, with their backs against the wall, look for Mitch to put the team on his back once again in a must-win game.
 
Alex Caruso over 12.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists -118 (MGM)

While he didn't play a ton in the regular season, Caruso's role has grown in the postseason, with his defense playing a massive part on this squad. While his defense is his main calling card, he is getting open looks with all the attention on SGA and others, and the Nuggets were 29th against spot-up shooting in the regular season. Throwing out the two colossal blowout wins the Thunder had, Caruso has averaged roughly 24 minutes per game in their closer affairs this postseason. In those games, he has tailed 20, 19, 14, and 27 PRA.

Best NBA Playoff Prop Bets: May 9

May 15, 2025

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 12.5 rebounds + assists -105 (DK/MGM/FD)
 
The stars shine brightest in the playoffs, and the soon-to-be MVP should find his way over this line with the way the Nuggets are guarding him. Shai has seen the double-team treatment from Denver, which has led to more passing. He had 21 potential assists in Game 1, and 17 in Game 2. Due to the nature of the blowout, he only played 30 minutes last game, but now that OKC is on the road, and just -5 favorites, as opposed to the -10.5 they closed last game at, there's a higher likelihood we see him out there for the 40 minutes he played in Game 1. In that game, he finished with 8 assists and 10 rebounds on 18 rebound chances. In last year's playoff run, SGA eclipsed this mark in seven of 10 games, averaging 13.6 RA per game. I took a beer money stab at a triple-double at +3400 as well.
 
Donovan Mitchell over 29.5 Points -106 (FD)
 
The handicap on this one is fairly simple. The Cavs are dealing with a cluster of injuries, and Spida thrives in these situations. Over the last two postseasons, when he plays 30+ minutes, Mitchell has 30+ points in nine of 13 games, averaging 32.6 points per game. Even if Darius Garland, Evan Mobley, and Deandre Hunter suit up, Mitchell will be the primary source of offense, per usual. Coming off a 48-point performance in Game 2, with their backs against the wall, look for Mitch to put the team on his back once again in a must-win game.
 
Alex Caruso over 12.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists -118 (MGM)

While he didn't play a ton in the regular season, Caruso's role has grown in the postseason, with his defense playing a massive part on this squad. While his defense is his main calling card, he is getting open looks with all the attention on SGA and others, and the Nuggets were 29th against spot-up shooting in the regular season. Throwing out the two colossal blowout wins the Thunder had, Caruso has averaged roughly 24 minutes per game in their closer affairs this postseason. In those games, he has tailed 20, 19, 14, and 27 PRA.

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