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Best NBA Playoff Prop Bets: May 12

May 12, 2025
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Karl Anthony-Towns Over 11.5 Rebounds -122 (FD)
 
The zestiest man in the NBA has been cleaning up the glass against Boston; he did reaggravate his thumb injury, but I think we are getting a bit of a discount here because of that. He was very nonchalant abou tthe injury postgame, and still managed to grab 9 boards across 29 minutes in the 2nd half. Towns has recorded 13, 17, and 15 boards across the first three games, averaging 22.7 rebound chances per game. That isn't all that different from the regular season either. In their two regular season meetings, where he played playoff-like minutes (41 and 43 minutes), KAT had 18 and 14 rebounds as well. With at least 20 rebouding chances, KAT has cleared this line in 34/42 games this eason. Even with his hand injury, look for the rebounding to continue tonight at Madison Square Garden.
 
Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 Threes Made -106 (FD)
 
Sticking in the same game, let's look to the Knicks main man. Brunson has his work cut out for him with Derrick White and Jrue Holiday draped all over him; they’ve made it extremely difficult for him to drive in the lane which has consistently led to an increase in three-point volume from Brunson in this matchup. Last regular season he averaged 6.8 three-point attempts per game but saw that number increase to 8.0 in 5 games against the Celtics. This regular season he averaged 6.1 three-point attempts per game but, in six competitive games against Boston, has seen that number shoot up to 9 per game. He’s managed at least three 3’s in 9 out of his last 11 games against Boston with at least 25 minutes last season (5 out of 6 this season, 4 out of 5 last season). He’s managed 3+ threes in 19/22 games with at least 8 three-point attempts this season.
 
Jimmy Butler Under 26.5 Points
 
I'll admit, this one could be downright stupid, because it's Jimmy Butler in the playoffs. With that being said, he gave it his all just two days ago, is probably gassed, and I think there is a real chance we will get a blowout in this one. The Wolves hard-nosed defense has the bodies to slow him down, as evident from Game 1 (20 points) and 2 (17 points). We're also working with a very low total of 199.5, and we've seen how difficult scoring has been to come by in this series. The Timberwolves know Golden State is limited on scoring options and can zero in on Jimmy and send this back to Minnesota up 3-1.

Best NBA Playoff Prop Bets: May 12

May 15, 2025

Karl Anthony-Towns Over 11.5 Rebounds -122 (FD)
 
The zestiest man in the NBA has been cleaning up the glass against Boston; he did reaggravate his thumb injury, but I think we are getting a bit of a discount here because of that. He was very nonchalant abou tthe injury postgame, and still managed to grab 9 boards across 29 minutes in the 2nd half. Towns has recorded 13, 17, and 15 boards across the first three games, averaging 22.7 rebound chances per game. That isn't all that different from the regular season either. In their two regular season meetings, where he played playoff-like minutes (41 and 43 minutes), KAT had 18 and 14 rebounds as well. With at least 20 rebouding chances, KAT has cleared this line in 34/42 games this eason. Even with his hand injury, look for the rebounding to continue tonight at Madison Square Garden.
 
Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 Threes Made -106 (FD)
 
Sticking in the same game, let's look to the Knicks main man. Brunson has his work cut out for him with Derrick White and Jrue Holiday draped all over him; they’ve made it extremely difficult for him to drive in the lane which has consistently led to an increase in three-point volume from Brunson in this matchup. Last regular season he averaged 6.8 three-point attempts per game but saw that number increase to 8.0 in 5 games against the Celtics. This regular season he averaged 6.1 three-point attempts per game but, in six competitive games against Boston, has seen that number shoot up to 9 per game. He’s managed at least three 3’s in 9 out of his last 11 games against Boston with at least 25 minutes last season (5 out of 6 this season, 4 out of 5 last season). He’s managed 3+ threes in 19/22 games with at least 8 three-point attempts this season.
 
Jimmy Butler Under 26.5 Points
 
I'll admit, this one could be downright stupid, because it's Jimmy Butler in the playoffs. With that being said, he gave it his all just two days ago, is probably gassed, and I think there is a real chance we will get a blowout in this one. The Wolves hard-nosed defense has the bodies to slow him down, as evident from Game 1 (20 points) and 2 (17 points). We're also working with a very low total of 199.5, and we've seen how difficult scoring has been to come by in this series. The Timberwolves know Golden State is limited on scoring options and can zero in on Jimmy and send this back to Minnesota up 3-1.

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