System) Sharp money RLM unders, fair weather, home favorites, no late season 62% win rate, 19% ROI The under is receiving no more than 35% of public bets The total stayed the same or moved DOWN from open Temp no higher than 75 degrees Home team favored No later than game #120

System) Very against the public unders, RLM, home team recently going under (since 2020) 63% win rate, 21% ROI Less than 30% of public bets on the under The total stayed the same, or moved down from open Home team has gone under in at least 3 out of their last 5 Wind not blowing out

System) Heavily Favored Home Teams Off of a Shutout 66% win rate, 28% ROI Home ML is between -175 and -400 Closing total between 8 and 10 Home team scored 0 runs in their previous game

Cease is almost always good for at least six strikeouts, no matter the opponent. Dating back to '23, he has 6+ Ks in 53/L78 starts (68%). Cease has a 34.8% strikeout rate across 69 plate appearances against the Giants as well. Over the past 30 days, the Giants are just 22nd in wRC+ (95) facing righties. Peterson has issued a free pass in 39/L45 starts and draws the ever-patient Dodgers today.

Game 1 of a double-header in St. Louis, and the rookie gets the ball. He's likely due for some regression, but has pitched into the 7th inning in each of his 4 starts, so we know the leash will be there. Cameron possesses a deep arsenal and locates well enough to get through six. St. Louis is 16th in wRC+ (96) against lefties over the past 30 days, and he allowed just two hits and one earned run against the Cardinals a couple of weeks back.

Tonight's parlay pairs TJ McConnell over 10.5 points + assists (-125 DK) with Jalen Williams over 4.5 assists (-145). McConnell has averaged 11.9 points + assists over his last 10 games, hitting this line in six of those contests, and historically excels against the Knicks with 14.7 P+A in their last 17 meetings. Williams has surpassed his assist total in eight of his last 10, averaging 5.3 assists this postseason and hitting totals of 5 and 6 against Indy earlier this season. With the Knicks struggling to limit opposing guards and OKC’s offense running smoothly through Williams’ sharp playmaking, this combination is well-positioned to deliver tonight.

OKC is the play here, and for anyone that watched our recent video on IG, you'd know why. Game 1 finals home teams have been historically profitable. In the previous 20 years, G1 home teams are 17-3 ATS (85%), and 18-2 SU (90%) in the finals. This jumps to 15-1 ATS (94%) if the team is coming off of 4+ days of rest. Finally, we get to 12-0 if this team is a favorite of -5 or more. It's important to note that in the 12 games where all of the parameters from above apply, the avg win margin is 13.67 points - a shit ton for the NBA Finals. Along with some basic G1 finals systems we have a few other heavy hitters in-play. Since 2004, postseason favorites with a spread range of between -4 and -12.5 who are receiving moderate public action (30-70% of bets & 15-60% of dollars), have covered in 183 of 307 games giving us a clean 60% hit rate. This system proved to stay consistent going 20 and 14 in this year's postseason. Finally, and in my opinion, OKC matches up in an outstanding way against the Pacers. Everyone was worried about the Pacers pace of play, but OKC plays the same style if not even faster. Sure, they may not have a direct answer for M. Turner on defense, but the sheer depth of this OKC lineup will be plenty to limit the Pacers from getting on the Inside.

I'll keep this bet quick and simple. During the 2025 NBA Finals, most player props will be priced tightly, but we love finding sneaky edges. TJ McConnell has recorded a first-quarter assist in 9 of his last 10 playoff games—a remarkable 90% hit rate. He's flying under the radar, but he's crucial for the Pacers, providing elite playmaking and veteran poise. Against a fast-paced OKC squad tonight, he's primed to notch an early dime for us. Similarly, Wolves guard Mike Conley has hit his prop in 4 of the last 5 games, an impressive 80% rate. Implying this could be a weak spot to take advantage of OKC's elite defense. Let’s cash this hidden gem!