August 13, 2025
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Rays vs ATH: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 13)

Last updated: August 13, 2025

Game Time: 8/13, 10:05PM

Matchup Setup

Tonight's showdown features the Tampa Bay Rays visiting the Oakland Athletics at the Oakland Coliseum. As per DraftKings, the Rays are favored at -137, while the Athletics are underdogs at +113, with 79% of the betting money backing the Rays. This game presents intriguing angles, especially with both teams fielding pitchers with distinct styles.

Pitching Preview

Pitching Matchup: Drew Rasmussen vs J.T. Ginn

Drew Rasmussen (TB):

Rasmussen brings a diverse arsenal to the mound: Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage, 95.8 mph), Cutter (32% usage, 90.2 mph), Sinker (24% usage, 95.4 mph), Sweeper (5% usage, 84.7 mph), Curveball (4% usage, 80.5 mph), and Changeup (1% usage, 89.3 mph). His mix of speed and movement makes him a velocity-heavy pitcher with a penchant for strikeouts. The Athletics' lineup averages .250 this season with a projected xBA of .250 against Rasmussen's offerings, indicating a balanced matchup.

J.T. Ginn (ATH):

Ginn counters with a Sinker (54% usage, 93.9 mph), Slider (27% usage, 86.4 mph), Cutter (11% usage, 92.5 mph), Changeup (8% usage, 88.5 mph), and a Four-Seam (unused, 93.9 mph). His sinker-heavy approach focuses on inducing ground balls and weak contact. The Rays' lineup, which averages .283 this season, projects a drop to .256 against Ginn's arsenal, suggesting a potential edge for Ginn.

Hitting Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For the Rays vs J.T. Ginn:

  • The Rays lineup averages .283 this season but projects to .256 vs Ginn's arsenal.
  • Biggest Increase: Yandy Díaz: Season BA .250 → xBA vs arsenal .281 (+31 points), Season K% 22.5% → Arsenal K% 12.9% (-9.6%)
  • Biggest Decrease: Hunter Feduccia: Season BA .250 → xBA vs arsenal .120 (-130 points), Season K% 22.5% → Arsenal K% 32.5% (+10.0%)

For the Athletics vs Drew Rasmussen:

  • The Athletics lineup averages .247 this season and projects slightly better at .250 vs Rasmussen's arsenal.
  • Biggest Increase: Max Schuemann: Season BA .208 → xBA vs arsenal .244 (+36 points), Season K% 17.2% → Arsenal K% 13.2% (-4.0%)
  • Biggest Decrease: Colby Thomas: Season BA .252 → xBA vs arsenal .193 (-59 points), Season K% 25.7% → Arsenal K% 25.4% (-0.3%)

K-Risk Analysis

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

  • Rays: Projected K-rate is 19.17% vs J.T. Ginn — down 2.51% from their 21.69% season average. Lower K-rates indicate a potential contact advantage.
  • Athletics: Projected K-rate is 16.12% vs Drew Rasmussen — down 3.82% from their 19.94% season average. This decrease also suggests a contact play.

Behind the Plate

Behind the Plate: Chris Conroy

  • Umpire Analysis: Conroy boosts strikeouts by +16% and reduces walks by -5%, indicating a pitcher-friendly environment. This could favor pitchers with high strikeout potential like Rasmussen.

Where the Edge Is

Final Lean & Betting Takeaway

STEP-BY-STEP BETTING ANALYSIS:

STEP 1: Check ALL individual batters for prop opportunities

  • 📢 Prop Alert: Yandy Díaz (.250 → .281, +31 points) meets betting lean criteria!

STEP 2: Check team strikeout rates for pitcher props

  • No significant strikeout prop opportunities as neither team's K-rate against the arsenal exceeds 25% with a notable increase.

STEP 3: Report findings

  • No significant statistical edges meet our betting threshold in this matchup regarding strikeout props.

🔑 Key Takeaways

  • Yandy Díaz shows a significant batting edge against J.T. Ginn, potentially valuable for prop bets.
  • Chris Conroy's umpiring suggests a pitcher-friendly game, favoring strikeout pitchers.
  • No strikeout props meet our criteria; focus on hitter performance props.
  • Overall betting recommendation leans towards evaluating batter props, particularly for Díaz.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the TB vs ATH game? A: Yandy Díaz (.250 → .281, +31 points) meets our strict betting criteria.

Q: Is Chris Conroy a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Yes, slightly pitcher-friendly with +16% strikeouts and -5% walks.

Q: What time is the TB vs ATH game? A: 8/13, 10:05PM

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!Pitch Mix - Drew Rasmussen !Pitch Mix - J.T. Ginn

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