Rays vs ATH: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 13)
Last updated: August 13, 2025
Game Time: 8/13, 10:05PM
Matchup Setup
Tonight's showdown features the Tampa Bay Rays visiting the Oakland Athletics at the Oakland Coliseum. As per DraftKings, the Rays are favored at -137, while the Athletics are underdogs at +113, with 79% of the betting money backing the Rays. This game presents intriguing angles, especially with both teams fielding pitchers with distinct styles.
Pitching Preview
Pitching Matchup: Drew Rasmussen vs J.T. Ginn
Drew Rasmussen (TB):
Rasmussen brings a diverse arsenal to the mound: Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage, 95.8 mph), Cutter (32% usage, 90.2 mph), Sinker (24% usage, 95.4 mph), Sweeper (5% usage, 84.7 mph), Curveball (4% usage, 80.5 mph), and Changeup (1% usage, 89.3 mph). His mix of speed and movement makes him a velocity-heavy pitcher with a penchant for strikeouts. The Athletics' lineup averages .250 this season with a projected xBA of .250 against Rasmussen's offerings, indicating a balanced matchup.J.T. Ginn (ATH):
Ginn counters with a Sinker (54% usage, 93.9 mph), Slider (27% usage, 86.4 mph), Cutter (11% usage, 92.5 mph), Changeup (8% usage, 88.5 mph), and a Four-Seam (unused, 93.9 mph). His sinker-heavy approach focuses on inducing ground balls and weak contact. The Rays' lineup, which averages .283 this season, projects a drop to .256 against Ginn's arsenal, suggesting a potential edge for Ginn.Hitting Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For the Rays vs J.T. Ginn:
- The Rays lineup averages .283 this season but projects to .256 vs Ginn's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Yandy Díaz: Season BA .250 → xBA vs arsenal .281 (+31 points), Season K% 22.5% → Arsenal K% 12.9% (-9.6%)
- Biggest Decrease: Hunter Feduccia: Season BA .250 → xBA vs arsenal .120 (-130 points), Season K% 22.5% → Arsenal K% 32.5% (+10.0%)
For the Athletics vs Drew Rasmussen:
- The Athletics lineup averages .247 this season and projects slightly better at .250 vs Rasmussen's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Max Schuemann: Season BA .208 → xBA vs arsenal .244 (+36 points), Season K% 17.2% → Arsenal K% 13.2% (-4.0%)
- Biggest Decrease: Colby Thomas: Season BA .252 → xBA vs arsenal .193 (-59 points), Season K% 25.7% → Arsenal K% 25.4% (-0.3%)
K-Risk Analysis
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- Rays: Projected K-rate is 19.17% vs J.T. Ginn — down 2.51% from their 21.69% season average. Lower K-rates indicate a potential contact advantage.
- Athletics: Projected K-rate is 16.12% vs Drew Rasmussen — down 3.82% from their 19.94% season average. This decrease also suggests a contact play.
Behind the Plate
Behind the Plate: Chris Conroy
- Umpire Analysis: Conroy boosts strikeouts by +16% and reduces walks by -5%, indicating a pitcher-friendly environment. This could favor pitchers with high strikeout potential like Rasmussen.
Where the Edge Is
Final Lean & Betting Takeaway
STEP-BY-STEP BETTING ANALYSIS:
STEP 1: Check ALL individual batters for prop opportunities
- 📢 Prop Alert: Yandy Díaz (.250 → .281, +31 points) meets betting lean criteria!
STEP 2: Check team strikeout rates for pitcher props
- No significant strikeout prop opportunities as neither team's K-rate against the arsenal exceeds 25% with a notable increase.
STEP 3: Report findings
- No significant statistical edges meet our betting threshold in this matchup regarding strikeout props.
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Yandy Díaz shows a significant batting edge against J.T. Ginn, potentially valuable for prop bets.
- Chris Conroy's umpiring suggests a pitcher-friendly game, favoring strikeout pitchers.
- No strikeout props meet our criteria; focus on hitter performance props.
- Overall betting recommendation leans towards evaluating batter props, particularly for Díaz.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the TB vs ATH game? A: Yandy Díaz (.250 → .281, +31 points) meets our strict betting criteria.
Q: Is Chris Conroy a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Yes, slightly pitcher-friendly with +16% strikeouts and -5% walks.
Q: What time is the TB vs ATH game? A: 8/13, 10:05PM
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