August 13, 2025
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DET vs CWS: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 13)

Last updated: August 13, 2025

Game Time: TBD

Brief Intro

The Detroit Tigers (DET) travel to the South Side to take on the Chicago White Sox (CWS) in a competitive matchup. Both teams will seek to leverage their pitching strengths and lineup advantages. The betting odds for this game are not available yet, adding an element of intrigue for bettors.

Pitcher Breakdown

Pitching Matchup: Troy Melton vs Shane Smith

Troy Melton (DET):

  • Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage, 97.1 mph), Slider (27% usage, 85.5 mph), Sinker (11% usage, 95.4 mph), Cutter (9% usage, 91.0 mph), Splitter (7% usage, 87.8 mph), Curveball (5% usage, 79.5 mph)
  • Interpretation: Melton is a velocity-heavy pitcher, using his fastball and slider to dominate early counts, while mixing in a variety of pitches to keep hitters off balance.
  • Matchup Insight: The Chicago lineup averages .255 this season with a projected xBA of .254 against Melton’s diverse arsenal.

Shane Smith (CWS):

  • Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage, 95.4 mph), Changeup (20% usage, 90.0 mph), Slider (15% usage, 89.4 mph), Curveball (13% usage, 81.7 mph), Sinker (8% usage, 95.3 mph)
  • Interpretation: Smith leans on his fastball-changeup combination, utilizing the change of speeds to disrupt timing.
  • Matchup Insight: The Detroit lineup averages .243 this season with a projected xBA of .248 against Smith’s arsenal.

Hitting Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For DET vs Shane Smith:

  • Team Average Comparison: The Tigers lineup averages .243 this season but projects to .248 against Smith’s arsenal.
  • Key Performers:
- Gleyber Torres: Season BA .267 → xBA vs arsenal .305 (+38 points), Season K% 14.4% → Arsenal K% 13.3% (-1.1%) - Riley Greene: Season BA .271 → xBA vs arsenal .245 (-26 points), Season K% 32.2% → Arsenal K% 33.1% (+0.9%)

For CWS vs Troy Melton:

  • Team Average Comparison: The White Sox lineup averages .250 this season but projects to .254 against Melton’s arsenal.
  • Key Performers:
- Jr. Robert: Season BA .220 → xBA vs arsenal .263 (+43 points), Season K% 27.0% → Arsenal K% 28.3% (+1.3%) - Edgar Quero: Season BA .275 → xBA vs arsenal .239 (-36 points), Season K% 17.6% → Arsenal K% 16.9% (-0.7%)

Contact vs Strikeout Profile

Strikeout Risks & Rewards
  • Detroit: The Tigers' projected K-rate is 25.6% vs Shane Smith — up 1.6% from their 23.9% season average.
  • Chicago: The White Sox's projected K-rate is 23.4% vs Troy Melton — up 1.7% from their 21.8% season average.

Behind the Plate

Behind the Plate: Dan Bellino
  • Strikeout Boost: +2% Strikeouts
  • Walk Boost: +2% Walks
  • Umpire Tendencies: Mixed tendencies, as both strikeout and walk rates are slightly elevated.

Where the Edge Is

Final Lean & Betting Takeaway

STEP-BY-STEP BETTING ANALYSIS:

STEP 1: Check ALL individual batters for prop opportunities

  • 📢 Prop Alert: Gleyber Torres (.267 → .305, +38 points) meets betting lean criteria!
  • 📢 Prop Alert: Jr. Robert (.220 → .263, +43 points) meets betting lean criteria!

STEP 2: Check team strikeout rates for pitcher props

  • No significant increases in strikeout rates to suggest a lean on strikeout props.

STEP 3: Report findings

  • No additional significant statistical edges meet our betting threshold in this matchup.

🔑 Key Takeaways

  • Gleyber Torres and Jr. Robert provide strong batting prop opportunities with significant increases in xBA.
  • No substantial pitcher prop opportunities based on the projected strikeout rates.
  • Dan Bellino presents mixed tendencies, slightly favoring both pitchers and hitters with marginal boosts in strikeouts and walks.
  • Overall, focus on batter props given the highlighted advantages in the lineups.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the DET vs CWS game? A: Gleyber Torres and Jr. Robert both meet our betting criteria with significant increases in projected xBA.

Q: Is Dan Bellino a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Mixed tendencies, with +2% strikeouts and +2% walks, offering a balanced environment for both hitters and pitchers.

Q: What time is the DET vs CWS game? A: Game time is currently TBD.

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!Pitch Mix - Troy Melton !Pitch Mix - Shane Smith

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