COL vs STL: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 13)
Last updated: August 13, 2025Game Time: TBD
Brief Intro
The Colorado Rockies face off against the St. Louis Cardinals in what promises to be an intriguing matchup full of potential betting angles. While betting odds are currently unavailable, we can dive deep into the pitchers' arsenals and lineup matchups to unearth valuable insights for MLB bettors.Pitching Preview
Pitching Matchup: Austin Gomber (COL) vs Michael McGreevy (STL)Austin Gomber (COL):
- Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage, 89.4 mph), Curveball (25% usage, 76.1 mph), Changeup (17% usage, 80.9 mph), Slider (15% usage, 82.5 mph), Splitter (5% usage, 81.0 mph), Cutter (4% usage, 86.2 mph)
Austin Gomber is a pitcher who relies on finesse and a varied pitch mix rather than overwhelming velocity. The St. Louis lineup has averaged .259 this season, but they project to hit .227 against Gomber's diverse arsenal, showing potential struggles against his mix of off-speed offerings.
Michael McGreevy (STL):
- Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage, 93.0 mph), Sweeper (22% usage, 83.4 mph), Sinker (21% usage, 91.7 mph), Cutter (11% usage, 88.4 mph), Curveball (9% usage, 79.1 mph), Changeup (9% usage, 88.2 mph), Slider (0% usage, 84.0 mph)
McGreevy mixes his pitches with a focus on movement and speed change. The Rockies lineup, which has a season average of .265, is projected to see a decrease to .238 against McGreevy's arsenal, indicating his potential to limit their offensive output.
Lineup Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges- Rockies vs McGreevy:
- Cardinals vs Gomber:
Lineup Strikeout Trends vs Arsenal
Strikeout Risks & Rewards- Rockies' projected K-rate: 26.7% vs McGreevy — up 2.5% from their 24.3% season average.
- Cardinals' projected K-rate: 26.3% vs Gomber — up 4.9% from their 21.4% season average.
High strikeout rates indicate potential value in targeting strikeout props for both McGreevy and Gomber, with the Cardinals showing a significant uptick against Gomber's arsenal.
Umpire Trends
Behind the Plate: Nestor Ceja- Strikeout Boost: -1% (0.99x)
- Walk Boost: -7% (0.93x)
Nestor Ceja presents a slight bias towards pitchers with reduced walks and a minimal decrease in strikeouts, making him slightly pitcher-friendly.
Final Lean & Takeaway
Final Lean & Betting TakeawaySTEP-BY-STEP BETTING ANALYSIS:
STEP 1: Check ALL individual batters for prop opportunities
- 📢 Prop Alert: Mickey Moniak (.261 → .314, +53 points) meets betting lean criteria!
STEP 2: Check team strikeout rates for pitcher props
- ⚡ K Prop Alert: Austin Gomber strikeout OVER - Cardinals' K-rate jumps to 26.3% vs this arsenal!
STEP 3: Report findings
- No further significant statistical edges meet our betting threshold in this matchup.
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Mickey Moniak shows a strong batting advantage against McGreevy.
- Austin Gomber presents potential for a strikeout prop with the Cardinals' increased K-rate.
- Umpire Nestor Ceja slightly favors pitchers, enhancing potential strikeout props.
- Overall, focus on Gomber's strikeout potential and Moniak's hitting prop.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the COL vs STL game? A: Mickey Moniak meets our strict betting criteria with a projected xBA of .314.
Q: Is Nestor Ceja a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Slightly pitcher-friendly with -1% strikeouts and -7% walks.
Q: What time is the COL vs STL game? A: Game time is TBD.
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