Dodgers vs Angels: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 13)
Last updated: August 13, 2025Game Time: 8/13, 09:38PM
Brief Intro
The Los Angeles Dodgers are set to face off against the Los Angeles Angels in a classic Southern California showdown. The Dodgers enter this matchup as clear favorites with a −206 line on DraftKings, while the Angels sit as +167 underdogs. With 84% of the money backing the Dodgers, this game features intriguing pitcher-batter matchups that could sway the odds.
Rotation Report
Pitching Matchup: Shohei Ohtani vs Kyle Hendricks
Shohei Ohtani (LAD):
Shohei Ohtani brings a diverse arsenal to the mound: Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage, 98.2 mph), Sweeper (29% usage, 84.5 mph), Slider (11% usage, 87.8 mph), Sinker (7% usage, 96.5 mph), Splitter (4% usage, 91.4 mph), and Cutter (3% usage, 92.9 mph). As a velocity-heavy pitcher, Ohtani will challenge the Angels' lineup, which averages .243 this season with a projected xBA of .247 vs Ohtani's arsenal.Kyle Hendricks (LAA):
Kyle Hendricks counters with finesse: Changeup (38% usage, 79.3 mph), Sinker (38% usage, 86.2 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage, 86.6 mph), and Curveball (8% usage, 71.9 mph). The Dodgers' lineup, formidable with a season average of .273, projects to a .246 xBA against Hendricks' pitch mix, indicating a potential edge for the Angels' starter.Lineup Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For LAD vs Kyle Hendricks: The Dodgers' lineup averages .273 this season but projects to .246 vs Hendricks' arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: None significant above 15 points
- Biggest Decrease: Will Smith: Season BA .312 → xBA vs arsenal .274 (-38 points), Season K% 18.9% → Arsenal K% 20.4% (+1.5%)
For LAA vs Shohei Ohtani: The Angels' lineup, averaging .244 this season, projects slightly higher at .247 vs Ohtani's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Jo Adell: Season BA .228 → xBA vs arsenal .266 (+38 points), Season K% 25.4% → Arsenal K% 24.5% (-0.9%)
- Biggest Decrease: Bryce Teodosio: Season BA .250 → xBA vs arsenal .227 (-23 points), Season K% 22.5% → Arsenal K% 33.9% (+11.4%)
Whiff Outlook
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- The Dodgers' projected K-rate is 21.3% vs Hendricks — up 1.5% from their 19.8% season average.
- The Angels' projected K-rate is 26.3% vs Ohtani — up 1.9% from their 24.4% season average.
Umpire Impact
Behind the Plate: CB Bucknor
CB Bucknor's presence could tilt the balance with a +15% strikeout boost and a -6% walk decrease, indicating a pitcher-friendly environment. This may favor pitchers like Ohtani and Hendricks who can exploit such conditions.
Betting Breakdown
Final Lean & Betting Takeaway
STEP 1: Check ALL individual batters for prop opportunities
- 📢 Prop Alert: Jo Adell (.228 → .266, +38 points) meets betting lean criteria!
STEP 2: Check team strikeout rates for pitcher props
- No strikeout prop alerts as neither team meets the threshold for a significant jump in K%.
STEP 3: Report findings
- No significant statistical edges meet our betting threshold in this matchup apart from Adell's batting prop potential.
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Jo Adell emerges as a standout batting prop with a significant BA increase.
- No major strikeout prop opportunities due to moderate K-rate changes.
- Umpire CB Bucknor's pitcher-friendly tendencies may enhance the effectiveness of both starters.
- Overall, with no strong statistical lean towards strikeout props, focus remains on individual batter performance.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the LAD vs LAA game? A: Jo Adell is the standout prop option with a notable increase in xBA.
Q: Is CB Bucknor a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Yes, CB Bucknor is slightly pitcher-friendly with a +15% strikeout rate.
Q: What time is the LAD vs LAA game? A: The game starts at 9:38 PM on August 13.
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