October 5, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Michael Rivera

Michael is a data-driven baseball enthusiast who specializes in pitch analytics and betting trends.

Dodgers vs Phillies: Betting Preview & Props (Oct 05)

Last updated: October 05, 2025

Game Time: 10/6, 06:08PM

Matchup Setup

The Los Angeles Dodgers visit the Philadelphia Phillies in a matchup that sees the Dodgers slightly favored. DraftKings lists the Dodgers as a -132 favorite, while the Phillies are a +108 underdog. Despite these odds, 52% of the money is backing the Phillies, suggesting a closely contested game.

Mound Matchup

Pitching Matchup: Shohei Ohtani vs Cristopher Sánchez

Shohei Ohtani (LAD):

Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage, 98.4 mph), Sweeper (23% usage, 85.0 mph), Slider (11% usage, 88.1 mph), Curveball (9% usage, 78.6 mph), Sinker (7% usage, 96.2 mph), Cutter (7% usage, 93.9 mph), Splitter (5% usage, 90.3 mph)
Interpretation: Ohtani is a velocity-heavy pitcher with a diverse pitch mix, capable of overwhelming batters with speed and movement.
Matchup Insight: The Phillies lineup averages .264 this season but has a projected xBA of .258 against Ohtani's arsenal.

Cristopher Sánchez (PHI):

Arsenal: Sinker (46% usage, 95.4 mph), Changeup (37% usage, 86.3 mph), Slider (17% usage, 85.7 mph)
Interpretation: Sánchez relies heavily on his sinker-changeup combination to induce ground balls and keep hitters off balance.
Matchup Insight: The Dodgers lineup averages .268 this season but projects to a .260 average against Sánchez's arsenal.

Lineup Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

Dodgers vs Sánchez:

The Dodgers lineup averages .268 this season but projects to .260 against Sánchez's arsenal.
Biggest xBA Increase: Tommy Edman: Season BA .225 → xBA vs arsenal .287 (+62 points), Season K% 16.2% → Arsenal K% 11.8% (-4.4%)
Biggest xBA Decrease: Freddie Freeman: Season BA .295 → xBA vs arsenal .261 (-34 points), Season K% 20.4% → Arsenal K% 13.0% (-7.4%)

Phillies vs Ohtani:

The Phillies lineup averages .264 this season but projects to .258 against Ohtani's arsenal.
Biggest xBA Increase: Bryce Harper: Season BA .261 → xBA vs arsenal .289 (+28 points), Season K% 20.9% → Arsenal K% 22.4% (+1.5%)
Biggest xBA Decrease: Harrison Bader: Season BA .277 → xBA vs arsenal .226 (-51 points), Season K% 27.1% → Arsenal K% 31.7% (+4.6%)

K-Risk Analysis

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

Dodgers' K-rate: Projected at 18.8% vs Sánchez — up 1.4% from their 17.4% season average.
Phillies' K-rate: Projected at 23.5% vs Ohtani — up 2.0% from their 21.5% season average.

Umpire Influence

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Tommy Edman (.225 → .287, +62 points) meets betting lean criteria!

No strikeout prop alerts meet our betting threshold in this matchup.

🔑 Key Takeaways

Tommy Edman presents a strong batting prop opportunity against Cristopher Sánchez.
No significant pitcher prop opportunities due to lack of K% increase.
Umpire assignment is not available, adding uncertainty to prop bets.
Overall, the matchup suggests cautious betting with focus on individual performance rather than team or pitcher props.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Dodgers vs Phillies game? A: Tommy Edman meets our strict betting criteria with a significant increase in projected xBA.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, making it difficult to determine any potential umpire influence.

Q: What time is the Dodgers vs Phillies game? A: The game is scheduled for 10/6, 06:08PM.

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