Packers Looking to Rebound
The Packers arrive in Arlington looking to bounce back from last week’s 13–10 loss to Cleveland, and all signs point toward a rebound performance. Jordan Love has quietly been one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the league to start the year, completing nearly 68% of his passes for 663 yards, 5 touchdowns, and just 1 interception through three games. He’s averaging 8.5 yards per attempt and directing an offense that still ranks near the top of the NFL in explosive play rate. Green Bay’s scheme under Matt LaFleur continues to emphasize balance, rhythm, and timing, and when Love gets into a groove, the Packers can strike quickly with chunk plays and sustained drives alike.
This week, the matchup heavily favors Green Bay. The Cowboys’ defense has been torched all season through the air, surrendering 900 passing yards — 300 per game — while opponents average a league-worst 9.8 yards per pass attempt against them. Dallas has struggled to get to the quarterback and has been repeatedly beaten over the top by vertical throws. If Love is protected, the Packers’ passing game should thrive, with multiple receivers capable of stepping in and exploiting the soft spots in Dallas’ secondary. This is the type of setup where Green Bay can dictate the tempo, move the chains efficiently, and land explosive plays to open up the scoreboard.
Dallas’s Rough Road Ahead
Dallas faces an uphill battle without CeeDee Lamb, who has been the centerpiece of their passing attack. Dak Prescott enters this primetime matchup with 800 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions through three weeks, but his efficiency has wavered, and removing Lamb from the equation makes sustaining drives even tougher. While George Pickens and Jake Ferguson will see heavier usage, neither has consistently produced at the same level or drawn the kind of defensive attention that Lamb commands.
That puts even more pressure on Javonte Williams to shoulder the load. Pollard has logged 43 rushing attempts this season and is averaging 5.3 yards per carry, but now he faces a Packers defense that has been suffocating against the run. Green Bay is allowing only 63.4 rushing yards per game — third-best in the NFL — and just 3.2 yards per attempt. Dallas thrives when it can stay on schedule with a balanced approach, but against this front seven, establishing rhythm on the ground looks unlikely. Without Lamb stretching the field vertically, the Cowboys are left with fewer answers if they fall behind the chains.
This matchup has all the makings of a statement win for Green Bay. The Cowboys’ defense has been shredded through the air, and Jordan Love has the rhythm and confidence to capitalize. Dallas’ offense, already inconsistent, loses its top weapon at the worst possible time and now must solve one of the NFL’s most disruptive defensive fronts. With Parsons returning to Arlington and the Packers poised for a bounce-back, this game tilts heavily toward Green Bay from every angle.
The Packers’ aforementioned loss to the Browns last week has triggered one of our BEST NFL Systems. Check it out below!
System) Road teams off a loss as a heavy favorite on the road
- 86% win rate, 63% ROI
- Team's spread is between -9 and +9
- Team is playing their 2nd or 3rd straight game on the road
- Team's previous game margin is between -3 and -20
- Team's previous game spread was between -6.5 and -14
Official Play: Packers -6.5 (-105 ESPN Bet)
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