Written by: Michael Rivera
Michael is a data-driven baseball enthusiast who specializes in pitch analytics and betting trends.
Sox vs Yankees: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 24)
Last updated: August 24, 2025Game Time: 8/24, 07:10PM
Brief Intro
The Boston Red Sox face off against the New York Yankees in a pivotal matchup at Yankee Stadium. With the Yankees positioned as -176 favorites on DraftKings and the Red Sox as +144 underdogs, 53% of the betting public is backing the Red Sox for an upset. The game will be a test of pitching strategies with Dustin May starting for the Red Sox and Carlos Rodón on the mound for the Yankees.
Pitcher Breakdown
Pitching Matchup: Dustin May vs Carlos Rodón
Dustin May (BOS):
Dustin May brings a diverse arsenal to the field: Sweeper (40% usage, 85.3 mph), Sinker (34% usage, 94.6 mph), Four-Seam (17% usage, 95.5 mph), Cutter (9% usage, 91.6 mph), and Changeup (0% usage, 89.3 mph). May is a velocity-heavy pitcher, relying on a mix of fastballs and the sweeper to disrupt hitters' timing. The Yankees lineup, however, sees some success against his styles, averaging .276 with a projected xBA of .277 vs May's offerings.
Carlos Rodón (NYY):
Carlos Rodón counters with his own mix: Four-Seam (42% usage, 94.2 mph), Slider (30% usage, 85.7 mph), Changeup (15% usage, 85.0 mph), Sinker (10% usage, 92.0 mph), and Curveball (4% usage, 80.2 mph). Rodón is a pitch-mix artist, using his four-seam and slider to great effect. The Red Sox lineup, generally proficient with a seasonal average of .278, projects a lower .249 against Rodón's arsenal due to his effective pitch diversity.
Batting Edges vs Arsenal
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For Away Team (BOS) vs Home Pitcher (Rodón): The Red Sox lineup averages .278 this season but projects to .249 against Rodón's arsenal.
- Biggest Decrease: Jhostynxon Garcia: Season BA .298 → xBA vs arsenal .195 (-103 points), Season K% 13.5% → Arsenal K% 40.9% (+27.4%)
For Home Team (NYY) vs Away Pitcher (May): The Yankees lineup averages .263 this season but projects to .277 vs May's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Trent Grisham: Season BA .244 → xBA vs arsenal .307 (+63 points), Season K% 21.3% → Arsenal K% 16.5% (-4.8%)
Whiff Outlook
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- The Red Sox's projected K-rate is 25.1% vs Rodón — up 3.6% from their 21.5% season average.
- The Yankees' projected K-rate is 21.7% vs May — down 2.2% from their 23.9% season average.
Umpire Trends
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Trent Grisham (.244 → .307, +63 points) meets betting lean criteria!
⚡ K Prop Alert: Dustin May strikeout OVER - Red Sox's K-rate jumps to 25.1% vs this arsenal!
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Trent Grisham shines with a significant projected increase in batting average against May’s pitching.
- Dustin May presents a potential strikeout prop opportunity with an elevated K-rate projected for the Red Sox.
- Umpire trends remain uncertain, adding a layer of volatility to the betting landscape.
- Bet cautiously, focusing on Grisham’s batting prop and May’s strikeout potential.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the BOS vs NYY game? A: Trent Grisham (.244 → .307, +63 points) meets our strict betting criteria.
Q: Is [Umpire Name] a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
Q: What time is the BOS vs NYY game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/24, 07:10PM.
---
Want more of our best props and betting analysis? Click below and join insider bets!
---
