Written by: Michael Rivera
Michael is a data-driven baseball enthusiast who specializes in pitch analytics and betting trends.
Reds vs Dodgers: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 25)
Last updated: August 25, 2025Game Time: 8/25, 10:10PM
Game Preview
The Cincinnati Reds face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers in a high-stakes matchup at Dodger Stadium. DraftKings lists the Dodgers as a -145 favorite with the Reds as a +119 underdog, and 64% of the money is backing the Dodgers. This game promises an intriguing battle with both teams showcasing their ace pitchers.
Pitcher Breakdown
Pitching Matchup: Hunter Greene vs Emmet Sheehan
Hunter Greene (CIN):
- Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (56% usage, 99.3 mph), Slider (35% usage, 89.2 mph), Splitter (9% usage, 88.2 mph), Curveball (0% usage, 84.0 mph)
Hunter Greene is a velocity-heavy pitcher, relying primarily on his blazing fastball and sharp slider to overpower hitters. The Dodgers lineup, however, averages .257 this season with a projected xBA of .249 against Greene's arsenal, which suggests they may handle his heat better than most teams.
Emmet Sheehan (LAD):
- Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage, 95.6 mph), Slider (27% usage, 87.5 mph), Changeup (19% usage, 86.1 mph), Curveball (6% usage, 77.8 mph)
Emmet Sheehan brings a balanced pitch mix, effectively utilizing his changeup to keep hitters off-balance. The Reds lineup averages .258 this season, but they project to hit just .236 against Sheehan's diverse offerings, indicating a tough night for Cincinnati batters.
Lineup Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For the Reds vs Emmet Sheehan:
- The Reds lineup averages .258 this season but projects to .236 vs Sheehan's arsenal.
- Biggest Decrease: Elly Cruz: Season BA .275 → xBA vs arsenal .228 (-47 points), Season K% 25.22% → Arsenal K% 31.5% (+6.28%)
For the Dodgers vs Hunter Greene:
- The Dodgers lineup averages .257 this season but projects to .249 vs Greene's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Mookie Betts: Season BA .248 → xBA vs arsenal .310 (+62 points), Season K% 10.36% → Arsenal K% 8.2% (-2.16%)
- Biggest Decrease: Will Smith: Season BA .297 → xBA vs arsenal .235 (-62 points), Season K% 20.29% → Arsenal K% 25.2% (+4.91%)
Lineup Strikeout Trends vs Arsenal
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- The Reds' projected K-rate is 23.27% vs Sheehan — up 2.58% from their 20.69% season average.
- The Dodgers' projected K-rate is 21.84% vs Greene — up 0.95% from their 20.89% season average.
Umpire Trends
Behind the Plate: TBA
Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Mookie Betts (.248 → .310, +62 points) meets betting lean criteria!
⚡ K Prop Alert: No significant strikeout prop alerts meet our criteria as neither team's K-rate increase is substantial enough.
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Mookie Betts stands out with a significant batting advantage against Greene's arsenal, making him a strong player prop candidate.
- Both team's strikeout rates show slight increases, but not enough to recommend a strong K prop play.
- The yet-to-be-announced umpire could add an element of unpredictability to betting props.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Reds vs Dodgers game? A: Mookie Betts is the standout prop candidate with a projected xBA of .310 against Greene's arsenal.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, leaving tendencies unknown.
Q: What time is the Reds vs Dodgers game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/25 at 10:10 PM.
---
Want more of our best props and betting analysis? Click below and join insider bets!
---
