Written by: David Mitchell
David has been analyzing MLB matchups and umpire tendencies for professional bettors since 2018.
Tigers vs ATH: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 25)
Last updated: August 25, 2025
Game Time: 8/25, 10:05PM
Matchup Setup
In a late-season MLB matchup, the Detroit Tigers face off against the Oakland Athletics. With the Tigers heavily favored at −219 on DraftKings, nearly 90% of bettors are backing Detroit. The Athletics, meanwhile, are the underdogs at +177. This game provides intriguing angles with both teams featuring pitchers with contrasting styles and lineups that present unique challenges.
Pitcher Breakdown
Pitching Matchup: Tarik Skubal vs J.T. Ginn
Tarik Skubal (DET):
- Arsenal: Changeup (32% usage, 88.0 mph); Four-Seam (29% usage, 97.5 mph); Sinker (24% usage, 97.2 mph); Slider (12% usage, 89.8 mph); Curveball (2% usage, 81.2 mph)
Tarik Skubal is a velocity-heavy pitcher with a robust mix of pitches led by a sharp changeup and high-velocity fastball. The Athletics lineup has averaged .265 this season with a projected xBA of .257 against Skubal's arsenal.
J.T. Ginn (ATH):
- Arsenal: Sinker (52% usage, 93.8 mph); Slider (26% usage, 86.5 mph); Cutter (11% usage, 92.5 mph); Changeup (10% usage, 88.8 mph); Four-Seam (0% usage, 93.9 mph)
J.T. Ginn relies heavily on his sinker, complemented by a slider and cutter. The Tigers lineup has averaged .261 this season but projects to improve to a .271 xBA against Ginn's pitch mix.
Offensive Breakdown
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For DET vs J.T. Ginn:
- The Tigers lineup averages .261 this season but projects to .271 vs Ginn's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Kerry Carpenter: Season BA .258 → xBA vs arsenal .318 (+60 points), Season K% 22.0% → Arsenal K% 19.1% (-2.9%)
- Biggest Decrease: Wenceel Pérez: Season BA .250 → xBA vs arsenal .214 (-36 points), Season K% 22.5% → Arsenal K% 23.6% (+1.1%)
For ATH vs Tarik Skubal:
- The Athletics lineup averages .265 this season but projects to .257 vs Skubal's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Shea Langeliers: Season BA .262 → xBA vs arsenal .299 (+37 points), Season K% 19.8% → Arsenal K% 19.2% (-0.6%)
- Biggest Decrease: Jacob Wilson: Season BA .315 → xBA vs arsenal .230 (-85 points), Season K% 7.6% → Arsenal K% 24.2% (+16.6%)
K-Risk Analysis
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- Tigers' projected K-rate: 18.3% vs J.T. Ginn — down 4.3% from their 22.6% season average.
- Athletics' projected K-rate: 21.3% vs Tarik Skubal — down 0.1% from their 21.5% season average.
Plate Umpire Analysis
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Dillon Dingler (.271 → .325, +54 points) meets betting lean criteria!
No significant strikeout props meet our betting threshold in this matchup.
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Dillon Dingler presents a strong batting prop opportunity against Ginn's arsenal.
- The Tigers enjoy a batting advantage against Ginn's sinker-heavy approach.
- Umpire assignment uncertainty adds volatility to prop bets.
- Overall, the Tigers' moneyline reflects their statistical edges in this contest.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Tigers vs Athletics game? A: Dillon Dingler (.271 → .325, +54 points) meets our strict betting criteria.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, adding uncertainty to the game.
Q: What time is the Tigers vs Athletics game? A: The game is scheduled to start at 10:05 PM on August 25.
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