August 25, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: David Mitchell

David has been analyzing MLB matchups and umpire tendencies for professional bettors since 2018.

Diamondbacks vs Brewers: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 25)

Last updated: August 25, 2025

Game Time: 8/25, 07:40PM

Matchup Setup

The Arizona Diamondbacks take on the Milwaukee Brewers in a compelling matchup that sees the Brewers favored heavily by oddsmakers. DraftKings lists the Milwaukee Brewers as −183 favorites, while the Arizona Diamondbacks are +149 underdogs, with a substantial 94% of the money backing the Brewers. This game features two pitchers with distinct styles, setting the stage for intriguing lineup battles.

Rotation Report

Pitching Matchup: Eduardo Rodriguez (AZ) vs Brandon Woodruff (MIL)

Eduardo Rodriguez (AZ):

Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage, 92.0 mph), Changeup (20% usage, 86.0 mph), Cutter (18% usage, 89.3 mph), Sinker (9% usage, 91.7 mph), Slider (6% usage, 84.2 mph), Curveball (1% usage, 79.2 mph)

Eduardo Rodriguez is a pitch-mix artist with a balanced arsenal that keeps hitters guessing. The Milwaukee Brewers lineup, which averages .262 this season, projects to hit .268 against Rodriguez’s diverse pitch mix.

Brandon Woodruff (MIL):

Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage, 93.1 mph), Sinker (31% usage, 93.0 mph), Changeup (20% usage, 83.6 mph), Cutter (11% usage, 89.7 mph), Curveball (5% usage, 78.9 mph), Sweeper (1% usage, 80.6 mph)

Brandon Woodruff is a velocity-heavy pitcher who relies on power pitches. The Arizona Diamondbacks lineup averages .265 this season but is projected to drop to .247 against Woodruff’s high-velocity arsenal.

Lineup Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For the Diamondbacks against Woodruff: The Arizona lineup, with a seasonal average of .265, is projected to hit .247 against Woodruff. Key performers include:

Jr. Gurriel: Season BA .249 → xBA vs arsenal .280 (+31 points), Season K% 14.1% → Arsenal K% 8.8% (-5.3%)
Gabriel Moreno: Season BA .280 → xBA vs arsenal .308 (+28 points), Season K% 17.9% → Arsenal K% 14.4% (-3.5%)

For the Brewers against Rodriguez: The Milwaukee lineup, averaging .262 this season, is projected to improve slightly to .268 against Rodriguez. Highlighted performances include:

Andrew Vaughn: Season BA .238 → xBA vs arsenal .280 (+42 points), Season K% 17.9% → Arsenal K% 16.5% (-1.4%)
William Contreras: Season BA .255 → xBA vs arsenal .279 (+24 points), Season K% 17.8% → Arsenal K% 22.1% (+4.3%)

K-Risk Analysis

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Diamondbacks' projected K-rate is 20.9% vs Woodruff — down 0.4% from their 21.3% season average, indicating a potential contact play.
The Brewers’ projected K-rate is 17.7% vs Rodriguez — down 1.8% from their 19.5% season average, suggesting a reduced strikeout risk.

Plate Umpire Analysis

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Jr. Gurriel (.249 → .280, +31 points) meets betting lean criteria! 📢 Prop Alert: Gabriel Moreno (.280 → .308, +28 points) meets betting lean criteria! 📢 Prop Alert: Andrew Vaughn (.238 → .280, +42 points) meets betting lean criteria!

No significant K prop edges meet our strict betting criteria in this matchup.

🔑 Key Takeaways

Jr. Gurriel, Gabriel Moreno, and Andrew Vaughn present strong batting prop opportunities due to significant projected boosts.
No significant strikeout prop opportunities emerged, given both teams' lower projected K-rates.
Umpire assignment is pending, creating uncertainty in plate discipline-related props.
Overall, focus on batting props for a potential edge.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Diamondbacks vs Brewers game? A: Jr. Gurriel and Gabriel Moreno from the Diamondbacks, along with Andrew Vaughn from the Brewers, present strong betting opportunities based on their projected batting averages.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, so the impact is currently unknown.

Q: What time is the Diamondbacks vs Brewers game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/25 at 07:40PM.

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