August 19, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: David Mitchell

David has been analyzing MLB matchups and umpire tendencies for professional bettors since 2018.

Reds vs Angels: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 19)

Last updated: August 19, 2025

Game Time: 8/19, 09:38PM

Brief Intro

The Cincinnati Reds are set to clash with the Los Angeles Angels in what promises to be a captivating matchup. With the Reds positioned as a strong −150 favorite and 88% of the betting money backing them, this encounter is expected to draw significant attention from bettors and fans alike. The Angels, coming in as +123 underdogs, will look to defy the odds in this late-night showdown.

Mound Matchup

Pitching Matchup: Hunter Greene vs Kyle Hendricks

Hunter Greene (CIN):

Pitch Arsenal:

- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage, 99.3 mph) - Slider (34% usage, 89.2 mph) - Splitter (9% usage, 88.2 mph) - Curveball (0% usage, 84.0 mph)

Hunter Greene is a velocity-heavy pitcher, relying heavily on his blistering fastball and sharp slider. This power-pitching style could pose a challenge for the Angels, who have averaged .236 this season but project to hit just .227 against Greene's arsenal.

Kyle Hendricks (LAA):

Pitch Arsenal:

- Changeup (38% usage, 79.3 mph) - Sinker (38% usage, 86.2 mph) - Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage, 86.5 mph) - Curveball (8% usage, 71.9 mph)

Hendricks is more of a pitch-mix artist, relying on finesse and location. The Reds, with an average of .265 this season, project a lower .253 average against Hendricks' diverse pitch selection.

Lineup Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

CIN vs Kyle Hendricks:

The Reds lineup averages .265 this season but projects to .253 against Hendricks' arsenal.
Biggest Decrease: Elly Cruz shows a notable decrease, with a season BA of .275 dropping to an xBA of .221 against Hendricks (-54 points), alongside an increase in K% from 25.14% to 27.5% (+2.36%).

LAA vs Hunter Greene:

The Angels lineup averages .237 this season but projects to .227 against Greene's power arsenal.
Biggest Increase: Jo Adell stands out with an increase, moving from a season BA of .228 to an xBA of .287 against Greene (+59 points), though his K% slightly rises from 26.02% to 27.6% (+1.58%).

Whiff Outlook

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

CIN's projected K-rate is 21.6% vs Hendricks — down 0.06% from their 21.67% season average.
LAA's projected K-rate is 31.76% vs Greene — up 5.88% from their 25.88% season average.

With LAA's significant increase in projected strikeouts against Greene, this matchup shows potential value for strikeout props.

Umpire Impact

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

CIN Batting Props:

- No batter for the Reds meets the strict criteria for a batting prop lean.

LAA Batting Props:

- 📢 Prop Alert: Jo Adell (.228 → .287, +59 points) meets betting lean criteria!

Strikeout Props:

- ⚡ K Prop Alert: Hunter Greene strikeout OVER - LAA's K-rate jumps to 31.76% vs this arsenal!

🔑 Key Takeaways

Hunter Greene's velocity-heavy style poses a significant challenge to the Angels, who project an increased strikeout rate.
Jo Adell is the standout batter for a prop play, with a solid increase in projected batting average.
Umpire impact remains uncertain, adding an element of unpredictability to prop bets.
Consider leaning towards Greene's strikeout props given the Angels' higher projected K-rate.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Reds vs Angels game? A: Jo Adell meets our strict betting criteria with a projected xBA of .287, offering a promising prop opportunity.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, making it difficult to assess the impact on pitcher or hitter performance.

Q: What time is the Reds vs Angels game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/19, 09:38PM.

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