Written by: Michael Rivera
Michael is a data-driven baseball enthusiast who specializes in pitch analytics and betting trends.
Giants vs Padres: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 19)
Last updated: August 19, 2025
Game Time: 8/19, 09:40PM
Game Overview
The San Francisco Giants are set to face off against the San Diego Padres in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. The betting line has the Padres as a significant favorite, with DraftKings listing them at -240 and the Giants at +192. A staggering 80% of the betting money is backing the Padres.
Rotation Report
Pitching Matchup: Kai-Wei Teng (SF) vs Nick Pivetta (SD)
Kai-Wei Teng (SF):
- Pitch Arsenal: Sweeper (26% usage, 84.0 mph), Curveball (21% usage, 82.6 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage, 93.3 mph), Changeup (18% usage, 87.8 mph), Sinker (16% usage, 93.0 mph)
Kai-Wei Teng is a classic pitch-mix artist utilizing a diverse arsenal to keep batters guessing. The Padres lineup averages .271 this season with a projected xBA of .269 against Teng's arsenal.
Nick Pivetta (SD):
- Pitch Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage, 93.8 mph), Curveball (22% usage, 79.0 mph), Sweeper (17% usage, 81.7 mph), Cutter (8% usage, 89.8 mph), Sinker (4% usage, 93.8 mph), Slider (1% usage, 83.2 mph), Splitter (0% usage, 87.3 mph)
Nick Pivetta relies heavily on his fastball, complemented by a variety of breaking pitches. The Giants lineup averages .256 this season but projects to .247 against Pivetta's offerings.
Hitting Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For the Giants vs Nick Pivetta:
- The Giants lineup averages .256 this season but projects to .247 vs Pivetta's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Christian Koss: Season BA .272 → xBA vs arsenal .306 (+34 points), Season K% 23.0% → Arsenal K% 22.6% (-0.4%)
- Biggest Decrease: Dominic Smith: Season BA .302 → xBA vs arsenal .251 (-51 points), Season K% 19.4% → Arsenal K% 24.1% (+4.7%)
For the Padres vs Kai-Wei Teng:
- The Padres lineup averages .272 this season with a projected xBA of .269 vs Teng's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Gavin Sheets: Season BA .253 → xBA vs arsenal .301 (+48 points), Season K% 19.5% → Arsenal K% 20.1% (+0.6%)
- Biggest Decrease: Jake Cronenworth: Season BA .242 → xBA vs arsenal .211 (-31 points), Season K% 20.5% → Arsenal K% 23.1% (+2.6%)
Strikeout Trends
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- Giants: The Giants' projected K-rate is 25.0% vs Pivetta — up 2.2% from their 22.8% season average.
- Padres: The Padres' projected K-rate is 18.8% vs Teng — up 1.7% from their 17.1% season average.
Plate Umpire Analysis
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
- 📢 Prop Alert: Gavin Sheets (.253 → .301, +48 points) meets betting lean criteria!
No Giants' batters met the strict criteria for a prop alert.
- ⚡ K Prop Alert: Nick Pivetta strikeout OVER - Giants' K-rate jumps to 25.0% vs this arsenal!
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Christian Koss shows a notable increase against Pivetta, making him a key player to watch.
- Gavin Sheets stands out for the Padres, projecting a significant batting average boost against Teng.
- Nick Pivetta could be a strong candidate for strikeout props given the Giants' increased K-rate.
- The lack of umpire data introduces uncertainty, affecting betting volatility.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the SF vs SD game? A: Gavin Sheets meets our strict betting criteria with a significant projected boost in batting average.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
Q: What time is the SF vs SD game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/19, 09:40PM.
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