Written by: Jake Turner
Jake is a veteran sports analyst with over 10 years of MLB prop betting experience.
Dodgers vs Rockies: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 19)
Last updated: August 19, 2025Game Time: 8/19, 08:40PM
Game Preview
Tonight, the Los Angeles Dodgers take on the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. The Dodgers are heavily favored, with DraftKings listing them as a -281 favorite, while the Rockies are +222 underdogs. With 87% of the money backing the Dodgers, the betting community is confident in the visiting team's chances.
Mound Matchup
Pitching Matchup: Emmet Sheehan (LAD) vs Austin Gomber (COL)
Emmet Sheehan (LAD):
- Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage, 95.6 mph), Slider (26% usage, 87.5 mph), Changeup (19% usage, 86.1 mph), Curveball (7% usage, 77.8 mph)
Sheehan is a velocity-heavy pitcher, relying predominantly on his fastball. The Rockies lineup averages .277 this season with a projected xBA of .262 against Sheehan's arsenal, indicating a slight edge for the pitcher.
Austin Gomber (COL):
- Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage, 89.4 mph), Curveball (26% usage, 76.0 mph), Changeup (16% usage, 80.9 mph), Slider (15% usage, 82.4 mph), Splitter (5% usage, 81.0 mph), Cutter (4% usage, 86.1 mph)
Gomber utilizes a diverse pitch mix, but his lower velocity could be a disadvantage. The Dodgers lineup averages .262 this season but projects to .235 against Gomber's arsenal, indicating a favorable matchup for the pitcher.
Hitting Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For Dodgers vs Gomber:
- The Dodgers lineup, normally hitting .261, is projected to drop to .235 against Gomber's mix.
- Biggest Increase: No significant increases found.
- Biggest Decrease: Will Smith: Season BA .302 → xBA vs arsenal .251 (-51 points), Season K% 19.4% → Arsenal K% 25.0% (+5.6%)
For Rockies vs Sheehan:
- The Rockies lineup usually hits .278 but is expected to decrease to .262 against Sheehan.
- Biggest Increase: Warming Bernabel: Season BA .301 → xBA vs arsenal .347 (+46 points), Season K% 12.8% → Arsenal K% 9.7% (-3.1%)
- Biggest Decrease: Orlando Arcia: Season BA .302 → xBA vs arsenal .214 (-88 points), Season K% 13.1% → Arsenal K% 29.0% (+15.9%)
Contact vs Strikeout Profile
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- Dodgers: Projected K-rate is 24.5% vs Gomber — up 4% from their 20.6% season average.
- Rockies: Projected K-rate is 23.6% vs Sheehan — up 1.7% from their 22.0% season average.
Umpire Impact
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Warming Bernabel (.301 → .347, +46 points) meets betting lean criteria!
No significant strikeout props meet our threshold in this matchup.
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Warming Bernabel shows a strong batting advantage against Sheehan's arsenal.
- No pitcher prop opportunities based on strikeout rate increases.
- Umpire impact remains unknown, adding volatility to prop bets.
- Overall, the Dodgers' favored status aligns with betting trends and lineup matchups.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Dodgers vs Rockies game? A: Warming Bernabel shows the most promising batting prop based on matchup analysis.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, which adds uncertainty to the game.
Q: What time is the Dodgers vs Rockies game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/19 at 08:40PM.
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