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We’re targeting three high-value player props tonight, creating a +325 parlay that's perfect for a low-unit sprinkle (0.25u). Let’s dive into each leg:
Leg 1: Tyrese Haliburton Over 1.5 Threes (-200)
Tyrese Haliburton is built for these critical games. Despite a recent cold streak, shooting just 1-for-11 from deep over the past two games, he historically rebounds well. Haliburton hasn’t missed hitting this prop three straight games at all this postseason or when playing on two days’ rest over the past year. In career elimination games, Haliburton dialed up impressive volume, shooting 3-for-8 and 6-for-12 from beyond the arc. The Pacers' survival tonight hinges on his shooting—expect aggressive volume from deep.
Leg 2: Lu Dort Over 1.5 Threes (-140)
Dort has quietly dominated this Finals series from beyond the arc, shooting an outstanding 58% (14/24). Remarkably, 93% of his total Finals points have come from three-pointers, clearly highlighting his role and opportunity. Even broader, Dort maintains a respectable 36% three-point shooting this postseason, and his recent form against Indiana (5/9, 1/3, 4/5, 1/1, 3/6) showcases consistency and confidence in his shot. Trust Dort to keep getting clean looks and converting them tonight.
Leg 3: Aaron Nesmith Over 1.5 Threes (-170)
Aaron Nesmith is quietly riding a hot streak of his own, hitting this prop at an impressive 80% clip over his last five games and 75% across his last 20. Nesmith has shown he can rise to the moment, notably draining four three-pointers in two recent games against OKC. With Indiana’s backs against the wall, expect their role players, particularly Nesmith, to capitalize on open looks created by the defensive attention on Haliburton.
Matchup Insights
With a championship potentially on the line, both teams will leave it all on the floor. Haliburton’s volume, Dort’s consistent efficiency, and Nesmith’s recent hot streak create ideal conditions for this parlay to hit. Look for fast-paced, aggressive play from both teams as Indiana tries to push a Game 7, while OKC attempts to close out on the road.
Sprinkle 0.25 units on this three-leg parlay at +325 and enjoy tonight’s NBA Finals action with confidence.
