Matchup Overview
We're going for a good old NRFI tonight after easily cashing yesterday’s pick in this same matchup. Tonight’s ballgame presents another perfect spot. Milwaukee has consistently struggled to start games hot, failing to score in the 1st inning for eight consecutive games. Facing Mariners ace Luis Castillo won’t make that task any easier; Castillo owns a remarkable 2.06 ERA at home and has allowed just two earned runs in the opening inning through 20 starts this season—a sparkling 0.90 first-inning ERA.

For Seattle, the story isn't much brighter offensively—going scoreless in the first inning in each of their last four games. Milwaukee sends Quinn Priester to the mound, fresh off an outstanding performance against the Dodgers, where he tossed six scoreless innings and struck out 10 batters. Priester is in peak form and likely to continue his early dominance tonight.

Public Money & Sharp Insights
There’s significant big-money backing the Under tonight, despite heavy public betting on the Over. Although 85% of bets are on the Over, nearly half (47%) of the money wagered is on the Under, indicating strong sharp and smart-money support on a low-scoring affair.

Betting System Spotlight

• Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams: Historically profitable system boasting an all-time record of 1461-1092-119 (57%) with an ROI of 11%. This season, it’s hitting even stronger at 76-49 (61%) with a stellar ROI of 14%.
• Contrarian Unders Between Two Hot Teams: This system crushes, with a long-term record of 1261-990-88 (56%, 9% ROI) and an impressive 128-89-4 (59%, 12% ROI) this year alone.

Free Pick Recap
With two excellent pitchers—Castillo and Priester—starting strong, both lineups struggling early in recent games, significant big-money action backing the Under, and two high-performing contrarian under systems in play, the NRFI (no runs first inning) is the best bet here.

Pick: Brewers vs Mariners NRFI (-115)

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