Written by: Ryan Chen
Ryan combines advanced statistics with traditional scouting to identify profitable betting opportunities.
Yankees vs Twins: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 15)
Last updated: September 15, 2025Game Time: 9/15, 07:40PM
Today's Setup
Tonight's matchup features the New York Yankees visiting the Minnesota Twins. The Yankees, coming off a strong season, are positioned as a −194 favorite on DraftKings, with 94% of the betting money backing them. The Twins, meanwhile, are considered a +157 underdog.Rotation Report
Pitching Matchup: Carlos Rodón (NYY) vs Simeon Richardson (MIN)Carlos Rodón (NYY):
Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage, 94.2 mph), Slider (29% usage, 85.8 mph), Changeup (15% usage, 85.1 mph), Sinker (9% usage, 92.0 mph), Curveball (4% usage, 80.3 mph), Cutter (0% usage, 92.4 mph).Carlos Rodón is a velocity-heavy pitcher with a diverse arsenal that leans on his fastball and slider. The Twins lineup averages .240 this season with a projected xBA of .237 against Rodón's mix.
Simeon Richardson (MIN):
Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage, 93.3 mph), Slider (28% usage, 85.5 mph), Curveball (15% usage, 77.9 mph), Splitter (7% usage, 86.3 mph), Changeup (5% usage, 83.2 mph).Richardson matches velocity with a relatively balanced pitch mix. The Yankees lineup, averaging .256 this season, projects to a .235 xBA against Richardson's arsenal.
Lineup Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting EdgesFor the Yankees vs Simeon Richardson: The Yankees lineup averages .256 this season but projects to .235 vs Richardson's arsenal. Key performers:
- Aaron Judge: Season BA .326 → xBA vs arsenal .271 (-55 points), Season K% 24.6% → Arsenal K% 32.7% (+8.1%)
- Ben Rice: Season BA .286 → xBA vs arsenal .204 (-82 points), Season K% 22.3% → Arsenal K% 35.1% (+12.8%)
For the Twins vs Carlos Rodón: The Twins lineup averages .241 this season with a projected .237 xBA against Rodón. Key performers:
- Kody Clemens: Season BA .216 → xBA vs arsenal .246 (+30 points), Season K% 23.2% → Arsenal K% 24.9% (+1.7%)
- Austin Martin: Season BA .295 → xBA vs arsenal .250 (-45 points), Season K% 16.5% → Arsenal K% 18.0% (+1.5%)
Contact vs Strikeout Profile
Strikeout Risks & Rewards- The Yankees' projected K-rate is 30.0% vs Richardson — up 4.6% from their 25.4% season average.
- The Twins' projected K-rate is 22.1% vs Rodón — up 0.5% from their 21.6% season average.
Umpire Impact
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Kody Clemens (.216 → .246, +30 points) meets betting lean criteria!
⚡ K Prop Alert: Carlos Rodón strikeout OVER - Yankees' K-rate jumps to 30.0% vs this arsenal!
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Yankees' batters, especially Aaron Judge and Ben Rice, face tough matchups against Richardson's arsenal.
- Kody Clemens of the Twins shows a significant batting advantage against Rodón, meeting lean criteria.
- Carlos Rodón is a strong candidate for a strikeout prop given the Yankees' increased strikeout projections.
- Umpire data is unavailable, adding some uncertainty to in-game prop volatility.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the NYY vs MIN game? A: Kody Clemens is a strong candidate, meeting our strict betting criteria with a projected xBA boost.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, making this aspect unpredictable at this time.
Q: What time is the NYY vs MIN game? A: 9/15, 07:40PM
---
Want more of our best props and betting analysis? Click below and join insider bets!
---
