November 4, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Michael Rivera

Michael is a data-driven baseball enthusiast who specializes in pitch analytics and betting trends.

PHI vs LAD: Betting Preview & Props (Nov 04)

Last updated: November 04, 2025

Game Time: TBD

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies are set to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. Although the betting odds are not available for this game, the clash features a compelling pitching duel and key lineup matchups. With both teams seeking a critical win, the game will come down to how well each team can exploit their opponent's weaknesses.

Starting Pitching Analysis

Pitching Matchup: Cristopher Sánchez vs Tyler Glasnow

Cristopher Sánchez (PHI):

Sánchez relies on a distinct pitch mix: Sinker (46% usage, 95.4 mph), Changeup (37% usage, 86.3 mph), Slider (17% usage, 85.7 mph). As a velocity-heavy pitcher, Sánchez's arsenal is designed to keep hitters off-balance, particularly with his high-usage sinker. The Dodgers lineup averages .271 this season with a projected xBA of .265 against Sánchez's arsenal, indicating a slight dip in expected performance.

Tyler Glasnow (LAD):

Glasnow offers a diverse selection: Four-Seam (35% usage, 95.7 mph), Slider (22% usage, 89.3 mph), Curveball (22% usage, 82.0 mph), Sinker (21% usage, 95.9 mph). His ability to mix pitches effectively makes him a formidable opponent. The Phillies lineup averages .261 this season but projects to .260 against Glasnow's arsenal, showing a minor decrease in expected batting average.

Offensive Breakdown

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For PHI vs Tyler Glasnow:

Trea Turner: Season BA .304 → xBA vs arsenal .264 (-40 points), Season K% 16.7% → Arsenal K% 18.1% (+1.4%)
Max Kepler: Season BA .216 → xBA vs arsenal .241 (+25 points), Season K% 19.6% → Arsenal K% 20.6% (+1.0%)

For LAD vs Cristopher Sánchez:

Tommy Edman: Season BA .225 → xBA vs arsenal .287 (+62 points), Season K% 16.2% → Arsenal K% 11.8% (-4.4%)
Freddie Freeman: Season BA .295 → xBA vs arsenal .261 (-34 points), Season K% 20.4% → Arsenal K% 13.0% (-7.4%)

Strikeout Trends

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Phillies' projected K-rate is 22.6% vs Tyler Glasnow — up 1.6% from their 21.0% season average. This suggests potential value in strikeout props.
The Dodgers' projected K-rate is 18.1% vs Cristopher Sánchez — down 0.7% from their 18.8% season average, indicating a stronger contact play.

Plate Umpire Analysis

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

No individual batters meet the strict criteria for batting prop alerts in this matchup. However, the Phillies' increased strikeout rate against Glasnow's arsenal suggests potential value in strikeout props.

⚡ K Prop Alert: Tyler Glasnow strikeout OVER - Phillies' K-rate jumps to 22.6% vs this arsenal!

🔑 Key Takeaways

Max Kepler and Tommy Edman show notable xBA boosts against their respective matchups.
Tyler Glasnow's arsenal could exploit the Phillies' increased strikeout tendencies.
Umpire assignment is pending, adding uncertainty to prop betting.
Lean towards Glasnow's strikeout prop over, given the Phillies' projected increase in K-rate.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the PHI vs LAD game? A: No players meet our strict batting criteria, but Tyler Glasnow's strikeout prop shows potential.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, making it difficult to assess tendencies.

Q: What time is the PHI vs LAD game? A: Game time is TBD.

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