November 5, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: David Mitchell

David has been analyzing MLB matchups and umpire tendencies for professional bettors since 2018.

MIL vs CHC: Betting Preview & Props (Nov 05)

Last updated: November 05, 2025

Game Time: TBD

Matchup Setup

The Milwaukee Brewers will face off against the Chicago Cubs in a highly anticipated showdown. While the game time remains TBD, and betting odds are currently unavailable, this matchup promises intriguing pitching duels and lineup battles. Milwaukee's Freddy Peralta and Chicago's Matthew Boyd will take the mound, each offering unique challenges to the opposing hitters.

Pitcher Breakdown

Pitching Matchup: Freddy Peralta vs Matthew Boyd

Freddy Peralta (MIL):

Freddy Peralta brings a dynamic arsenal to the mound with his primary weapon being the Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage, 94.8 mph), complemented by a Changeup (21% usage, 88.9 mph), Curveball (16% usage, 78.8 mph), and Slider (9% usage, 83.7 mph). Known for his velocity-heavy approach, Peralta's pitch mix is designed to overpower hitters. The Cubs lineup has averaged .247 this season with a projected xBA of .248 against Peralta's offerings.

Matthew Boyd (CHC):

Matthew Boyd counters with a varied pitch selection, led by his Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage, 93.3 mph), and supported by a Changeup (24% usage, 78.7 mph), Slider (15% usage, 82.0 mph), Curveball (11% usage, 73.5 mph), and a Sinker (4% usage, 92.0 mph). Boyd is a pitch-mix artist, relying on deception rather than sheer speed. The Brewers lineup, averaging .259 this season, is projected to hit .265 against Boyd's pitch arsenal.

Hitting Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For Milwaukee vs Matthew Boyd: The Brewers lineup averages .259 this season and projects to .265 against Boyd's arsenal.

Biggest Increase: Andrew Vaughn: Season BA .254 → xBA vs arsenal .305 (+51 points), Season K% 17.9% → Arsenal K% 16.8% (-1.1%)
Biggest Decrease: Brice Turang: Season BA .288 → xBA vs arsenal .255 (-33 points), Season K% 22.8% → Arsenal K% 23.8% (+1.0%)

For Chicago vs Freddy Peralta: The Cubs lineup averages .253 this season but projects to .248 against Peralta's arsenal.

Biggest Increase: Seiya Suzuki: Season BA .245 → xBA vs arsenal .268 (+23 points), Season K% 25.2% → Arsenal K% 27.3% (+2.1%)
Biggest Decrease: Kyle Tucker: Season BA .266 → xBA vs arsenal .179 (-87 points), Season K% 14.7% → Arsenal K% 17.8% (+3.1%)

Whiff Outlook

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Brewers' projected K-rate is 20.0% vs Boyd — up 1.0% from their 19.0% season average.
The Cubs' projected K-rate is 24.7% vs Peralta — up 4.2% from their 20.5% season average.

Behind the Plate

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Andrew Vaughn (.254 → .305, +51 points) meets betting lean criteria!

⚡ K Prop Alert: Freddy Peralta strikeout OVER - Cubs' K-rate jumps to 24.7% vs this arsenal!

🔑 Key Takeaways

Andrew Vaughn shows a significant increase in expected batting average, making him a strong prop candidate.
Freddy Peralta's high projected strikeout rate against the Cubs suggests a potential OVER bet on strikeouts.
The absence of umpire data leaves the betting landscape slightly uncertain, emphasizing caution in prop betting.
Overall, Milwaukee's lineup may have an edge over Boyd, while Peralta's power pitching poses a challenge for the Cubs.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the MIL vs CHC game? A: Andrew Vaughn is the standout prop candidate with a significant boost in xBA.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which affects prop stability.

Q: What time is the MIL vs CHC game? A: The game time is currently TBD.

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