Written by: Jake Turner
Jake is a veteran sports analyst with over 10 years of MLB prop betting experience.
PHI vs LAD: Betting Preview & Props (Nov 02)
Last updated: November 02, 2025Game Time: TBD
Brief Intro
The Philadelphia Phillies are set to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers in what promises to be a compelling matchup. With both teams showcasing formidable lineups, the game could hinge on the performance of the starting pitchers. Currently, betting odds are not available for this game, leaving bettors to rely heavily on statistical matchups and player form.
Pitcher Breakdown
Pitching Matchup: Cristopher Sánchez vs Tyler Glasnow
Cristopher Sánchez (PHI):
Cristopher Sánchez brings a three-pitch arsenal to the mound: Sinker (46% usage, 95.4 mph), Changeup (37% usage, 86.3 mph), and Slider (17% usage, 85.7 mph). Sánchez is a velocity-heavy pitcher who relies on his sinker to generate ground balls and his changeup for strikeouts. The Dodgers lineup, which has averaged .270 this season, projects to a slightly lower xBA of .265 against Sánchez's offerings.
Tyler Glasnow (LAD):
Tyler Glasnow features a diverse pitch mix: Four-Seam (35% usage, 95.7 mph), Slider (22% usage, 89.3 mph), Curveball (22% usage, 82.0 mph), and Sinker (21% usage, 95.9 mph). Known as a pitch-mix artist, Glasnow effectively changes speeds and locations to keep hitters off balance. The Phillies lineup, which has a season average of .261, projects to a nearly identical .261 against Glasnow’s arsenal.
Lineup Advantage vs Arsenal
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For PHI vs Tyler Glasnow:
- The Phillies lineup averages .261 this season but projects to .261 vs Glasnow’s arsenal.
- Biggest Increase in xBA: Max Kepler: Season BA .216 → xBA vs arsenal .241 (+25 points), Season K% 19.6% → Arsenal K% 20.6% (+1.0%)
- Biggest Decrease in xBA: Trea Turner: Season BA .304 → xBA vs arsenal .264 (-40 points), Season K% 16.7% → Arsenal K% 18.1% (+1.4%)
For LAD vs Cristopher Sánchez:
- The Dodgers lineup averages .271 this season but projects to .265 vs Sánchez’s arsenal.
- Biggest Increase in xBA: Tommy Edman: Season BA .225 → xBA vs arsenal .287 (+62 points), Season K% 16.2% → Arsenal K% 11.8% (-4.4%)
- Biggest Decrease in xBA: Freddie Freeman: Season BA .295 → xBA vs arsenal .261 (-34 points), Season K% 20.4% → Arsenal K% 13.0% (-7.4%)
K-Risk Analysis
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- The Phillies’ projected K-rate is 22.6% vs Glasnow — up 1.6% from their 21.0% season average.
- The Dodgers’ projected K-rate is 18.1% vs Sánchez — down 0.8% from their 18.8% season average.
Behind the Plate
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
- 📢 Prop Alert: Tommy Edman (.225 → .287, +62 points) meets betting lean criteria!
- ⚡ K Prop Alert: No significant team strikeout rates meet our betting threshold for a lean on pitcher strikeout props.
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Tommy Edman shows a significant batting advantage against Sánchez, making him a key prop target.
- Despite a modest increase in the Phillies' K-rate, Glasnow's strikeout prop does not meet our criteria for an over lean.
- Umpire assignment is unknown, creating uncertainty in projecting game dynamics.
- Overall, the matchup provides limited betting edges, focusing mainly on Tommy Edman's batting potential.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the PHI vs LAD game? A: Tommy Edman meets our strict betting criteria with an increase from .225 to .287 xBA.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, making it difficult to assess tendencies.
Q: What time is the PHI vs LAD game? A: Game time is TBD.
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