September 15, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Ryan Chen

Ryan combines advanced statistics with traditional scouting to identify profitable betting opportunities.

TOR vs TB: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 15)

Last updated: September 15, 2025

Game Time: TBD

Game Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays face off against the Tampa Bay Rays in a clash where both teams aim to gain ground in their divisional race. With the betting odds not available for this game, bettors must rely on deeper statistical insights to find an edge. The mound matchup features a contrast in pitching styles that could dictate the flow of the game.

Mound Matchup

Pitching Matchup: Trey Yesavage (TOR) vs Joe Boyle (TB)

Trey Yesavage (TOR):

Trey Yesavage brings a mixed arsenal to the mound, although specifics on pitch percentages and velocities are not provided. As a pitcher with a diverse mix, Yesavage likely relies on keeping hitters off-balance with a varied pitch selection. However, the Tampa Bay lineup's average against his type of pitches remains unspecified.

Joe Boyle (TB):

Joe Boyle relies heavily on power, featuring a formidable Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage, 98.6 mph), a biting Slider (32% usage, 91.1 mph), and a deceptive Splitter (14% usage, 93.1 mph). The Toronto lineup, which averages .272 this season, projects to hit .248 against Boyle's power-heavy arsenal, indicating potential struggles to match his velocity and movement.

Lineup Advantage vs Arsenal

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For Toronto vs Joe Boyle:

The Blue Jays lineup averages .272 this season but projects to .248 against Boyle's arsenal.
Biggest increase: Jr. Guerrero improves from a season BA of .303 to an xBA of .326 against Boyle (+23 points), with a moderate increase in strikeouts.
Biggest decrease: George Springer sees a drop from a .303 season BA to a .251 xBA against Boyle (-52 points), with a significant spike in strikeouts.

For Tampa Bay vs Trey Yesavage:

Data not available for specific matchups against Yesavage's arsenal, leaving some uncertainty in the expected offensive performance.

Lineup Strikeout Trends vs Arsenal

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

For Toronto:

The Blue Jays' projected K-rate is 21.7% vs Joe Boyle — up 2.2% from their 19.5% season average, indicating a moderate increase in strikeout risk against Boyle's overpowering pitches.

For Tampa Bay:

The Rays' projected K-rate remains 22.5%, consistent with their season average, suggesting no significant change in strikeout tendencies against Yesavage.

Umpire Influence

Behind the Plate: TBA Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern. Without confirmed data, bettors should be cautious with strikeout and walk prop bets.

What to Bet On

Check individual batters for prop opportunities. For this matchup:

📢 Prop Alert: Jr. Guerrero (.303 → .326, +23 points) meets betting lean criteria!

Check team strikeout rates for pitcher props:

No strikeout prop alerts as neither team meets the criteria for significant increases over 25% K-rate with a more than 4% jump.

🔑 Key Takeaways

Jr. Guerrero is a key player to watch with a favorable matchup against Boyle’s arsenal.
Toronto’s lineup faces an increased strikeout risk against Joe Boyle’s powerful pitching.
Umpire assignment is pending, adding uncertainty to prop betting.
Overall betting recommendation: Focus on Guerrero for batting props; approach strikeout props cautiously due to lack of umpire data.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the TOR vs TB game? A: Jr. Guerrero is the standout prop option, with a significant projected batting average increase against Joe Boyle.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, leaving this aspect open to changes that could affect the game’s strikeout and walk dynamics.

Q: What time is the Toronto vs Tampa Bay game? A: Game time is TBD.

---

Want more of our best props and betting analysis? Click below and join insider bets!

See all our best bets daily!

---