September 23, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Michael Rivera

Michael is a data-driven baseball enthusiast who specializes in pitch analytics and betting trends.

STL vs SF: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 23)

Last updated: September 23, 2025

Game Time: TBD

Brief Intro

The St. Louis Cardinals (STL) head to the Bay Area to face the San Francisco Giants (SF) in a matchup that promises intriguing pitcher-batter duels. Unfortunately, betting odds are not available for this game, leaving bettors to dig deeper into the matchups for potential edges.

Pitcher Breakdown

Pitching Matchup: Andre Pallante vs Logan Webb

Andre Pallante (STL):

Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage, 94.5 mph), Slider (29% usage, 87.4 mph), Curveball (14% usage, 78.2 mph), Sinker (13% usage, 95.0 mph)
Style: Pallante is a velocity-heavy pitcher with a reliance on his fastball-slider combo.
Matchup Insight: The Giants lineup averages .235 this season with a projected xBA of .238 vs Pallante's arsenal, indicating a slight edge for the hitters.

Logan Webb (SF):

Arsenal: Sinker (34% usage, 92.5 mph), Sweeper (27% usage, 84.6 mph), Changeup (24% usage, 86.5 mph), Cutter (8% usage, 91.0 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (8% usage, 92.7 mph)
Style: Webb is a pitch-mix artist, utilizing a balanced repertoire to keep hitters guessing.
Matchup Insight: The Cardinals lineup averages .247 this season but projects to a lower .233 xBA vs Webb's diverse arsenal.

Lineup Advantage vs Arsenal

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For STL vs Logan Webb:

Biggest Decrease: Brendan Donovan: Season BA .282 → xBA vs arsenal .254 (-28 points), Season K% 12.8% → Arsenal K% 14.8% (+2.0%)
Biggest Decrease: Iván Herrera: Season BA .281 → xBA vs arsenal .243 (-38 points), Season K% 18.5% → Arsenal K% 20.4% (+1.9%)

For SF vs Andre Pallante:

Biggest Increase: Drew Gilbert: Season BA .200 → xBA vs arsenal .234 (+34 points), Season K% 18.6% → Arsenal K% 10.6% (-8.0%)
Biggest Increase: Matt Chapman: Season BA .232 → xBA vs arsenal .255 (+23 points), Season K% 23.6% → Arsenal K% 23.9% (+0.3%)

Whiff Outlook

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

STL's projected K-rate is 22.0% vs Logan Webb — up 1.8% from their 20.2% season average.
SF's projected K-rate is 23.6% vs Andre Pallante — up 0.7% from their 22.9% season average.

Plate Umpire Analysis

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

No individual batters meet our strict batting lean criteria for prop plays.

No significant statistical edges for strikeout props, as neither team's projected K-rate increase meets our threshold.

🔑 Key Takeaways

Key player advantages: Drew Gilbert shows a significant increase in xBA vs Pallante's arsenal, while Brendan Donovan struggles against Webb.
Pitcher prop opportunities: No standout strikeout props due to moderate K-rate projections.
Umpire impact assessment: Unavailable, increasing the volatility in potential prop outcomes.
Overall betting recommendation: Without clear statistical edges or umpire data, this matchup doesn't present strong betting opportunities.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the STL vs SF game? A: No players meet our strict betting criteria for this matchup.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, making it difficult to assess tendencies.

Q: What time is the STL vs SF game? A: Game time is TBD.

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