August 18, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Michael Rivera

Michael is a data-driven baseball enthusiast who specializes in pitch analytics and betting trends.

Sox vs Braves: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 18)

Last updated: August 18, 2025

Game Time: 8/18, 07:15PM

Brief Intro

The Chicago White Sox travel to Atlanta to face the Braves in a matchup that promises intriguing pitching duels and lineup contrasts. With DraftKings listing the Braves as -207 favorites and the White Sox as +168 underdogs, most bettors are backing Atlanta with 90% of the money.

Mound Matchup

Pitching Matchup: Yoendrys Gómez (CWS) vs Spencer Strider (ATL)

Yoendrys Gómez (CWS):

Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage, 93.4 mph); Sweeper (22% usage, 81.6 mph); Curveball (17% usage, 79.9 mph); Sinker (7% usage, 93.1 mph); Cutter (6% usage, 89.6 mph); Changeup (4% usage, 89.4 mph); Slider (3% usage, 86.8 mph)

Gómez employs a diverse pitch mix, featuring a solid balance of velocity and movement. However, the Braves lineup presents a tough challenge, averaging .245 this season with a projected xBA of .236 against his arsenal.

Spencer Strider (ATL):

Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage, 95.6 mph); Slider (36% usage, 84.1 mph); Curveball (6% usage, 79.2 mph); Changeup (3% usage, 85.7 mph)

Strider is a velocity-heavy pitcher, leaning on his powerful fastball. The White Sox lineup, though averaging .243 this season, projects a slightly lower .235 xBA against Strider's offerings.

Lineup Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For CWS vs Spencer Strider: The White Sox lineup averages .243 this season but projects to .235 vs Strider's arsenal. Key variances include:

Jr. Robert: Season BA .219 → xBA vs arsenal .248 (+29 points), Season K% 26.75% → Arsenal K% 30.0% (+3.25%)
Colson Montgomery: Season BA .225 → xBA vs arsenal .189 (-36 points), Season K% 29.08% → Arsenal K% 34.0% (+4.92%)

For ATL vs Yoendrys Gómez: The Braves lineup averages .246 this season but projects to .236 vs Gómez's arsenal. Key variances include:

II Harris: Season BA .253 → xBA vs arsenal .279 (+26 points), Season K% 19.59% → Arsenal K% 23.9% (+4.31%)
Jurickson Profar: Season BA .246 → xBA vs arsenal .202 (-44 points), Season K% 16.26% → Arsenal K% 16.9% (+0.64%)

Whiff Outlook

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The White Sox's projected K-rate is 25.3% vs Strider — up 3.8% from their 21.6% season average.
The Braves' projected K-rate is 24.8% vs Gómez — up 3.9% from their 20.9% season average.

Umpire Trends

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: II Harris (.253 → .279, +26 points) meets betting lean criteria!

⚡ K Prop Alert: Spencer Strider strikeout OVER - CWS's K-rate jumps to 25.3% vs this arsenal!

🔑 Key Takeaways

Jr. Robert and II Harris exhibit strong batting potential against the opposing arsenals.
Spencer Strider's arsenal suggests a potential strikeout prop opportunity against the White Sox.
The absence of umpire assignment introduces an element of uncertainty for betting props.
Consider player prop bets on II Harris and strikeout props on Strider for potential value.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the CWS vs ATL game? A: II Harris meets our strict betting criteria with a projected xBA of .279, offering a solid prop opportunity.

Q: Is the umpire expected to favor pitchers or hitters? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, increasing volatility in prop betting.

Q: What time is the CWS vs ATL game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/18 at 07:15PM.

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