
Written by: Jake Turner
Jake is a veteran sports analyst with over 10 years of MLB prop betting experience.
Reds vs Dodgers: Betting Preview & Props (Oct 01)
Last updated: October 01, 2025Game Time: 10/1, 09:08PM
Brief Intro
Tonight, the Cincinnati Reds face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers enter the matchup as strong favorites, with DraftKings listing them at -266 and the Reds at +212, garnering 87% of the betting money. This game features a fascinating pitching duel between Zack Littell and Yoshinobu Yamamoto, which could dictate the outcome.
Pitcher Breakdown
Pitching Matchup: Zack Littell (CIN) vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD)Zack Littell (CIN):
Zack Littell brings a diverse pitch mix to the mound with his Slider (28% usage, 87.3 mph), Splitter (27% usage, 83.4 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage, 92.1 mph), Sinker (16% usage, 91.5 mph), and Sweeper (5% usage, 79.5 mph). Littell is a pitch-mix artist, relying on a variety of speeds to keep hitters off balance. However, the Dodgers lineup, which averages .246 this season, projects to hit .256 against Littell's arsenal.Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD):
Yoshinobu Yamamoto is known for his velocity-heavy approach, featuring a Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage, 95.4 mph), Splitter (25% usage, 90.9 mph), Curveball (18% usage, 76.8 mph), Cutter (11% usage, 91.1 mph), Sinker (8% usage, 94.8 mph), and Slider (3% usage, 86.4 mph). The Reds lineup, averaging .252 this season, is expected to struggle, projecting a .228 batting average against Yamamoto's dynamic arsenal.Lineup Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting EdgesFor Reds vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto: The Reds lineup averages .252 this season but projects to .228 against Yamamoto's arsenal. Notably, Ke'Bryan Hayes stands out with a potential improvement: Season BA .235 → xBA vs arsenal .259 (+24 points), Season K% 19.5% → Arsenal K% 18.0% (-1.5%).
For Dodgers vs Zack Littell: The Dodgers lineup averages .247 this season and projects to .256 against Littell's arsenal. Tommy Edman showcases a significant increase: Season BA .225 → xBA vs arsenal .311 (+86 points), Season K% 16.2% → Arsenal K% 14.2% (-2.0%).
Contact vs Strikeout Profile
Strikeout Risks & RewardsFor the Reds: The Reds' projected strikeout rate is 26.0% against Yamamoto — up 2.5% from their 23.4% season average. This indicates potential value for strikeout props on Yamamoto.
For the Dodgers: The Dodgers' projected strikeout rate is 21.9% against Littell — up 2.8% from their 19.1% season average. This suggests an increased strikeout opportunity for Littell.
Behind the Plate
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.What to Bet On
Check ALL individual batters for prop opportunities:
📢 Prop Alert: Tommy Edman (.225 → .311, +86 points) meets betting lean criteria!
⚡ K Prop Alert: Yoshinobu Yamamoto strikeout OVER - Reds' K-rate jumps to 26.0% vs this arsenal!
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Ke'Bryan Hayes and Tommy Edman are poised for key offensive performances.
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a strong strikeout potential against an increased Reds' K-rate.
- The lack of umpire assignment injects more uncertainty into prop bets.
- Betting lean favors Dodgers' prop due to lineup and pitching advantages.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Reds vs Dodgers game? A: Tommy Edman meets our strict betting criteria with a projected xBA of .311.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced.
Q: What time is the Reds vs Dodgers game? A: The game is scheduled for 10/1, 09:08PM.
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