October 1, 2025
Game Preview

Written by: Jake Turner

Jake is a veteran sports analyst with over 10 years of MLB prop betting experience.


Reds vs Dodgers: Betting Preview & Props (Oct 01)

Last updated: October 01, 2025

Game Time: 10/1, 09:08PM

Brief Intro

Tonight, the Cincinnati Reds face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers enter the matchup as strong favorites, with DraftKings listing them at -266 and the Reds at +212, garnering 87% of the betting money. This game features a fascinating pitching duel between Zack Littell and Yoshinobu Yamamoto, which could dictate the outcome.

Pitcher Breakdown

Pitching Matchup: Zack Littell (CIN) vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD)

Zack Littell (CIN):

Zack Littell brings a diverse pitch mix to the mound with his Slider (28% usage, 87.3 mph), Splitter (27% usage, 83.4 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage, 92.1 mph), Sinker (16% usage, 91.5 mph), and Sweeper (5% usage, 79.5 mph). Littell is a pitch-mix artist, relying on a variety of speeds to keep hitters off balance. However, the Dodgers lineup, which averages .246 this season, projects to hit .256 against Littell's arsenal.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD):

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is known for his velocity-heavy approach, featuring a Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage, 95.4 mph), Splitter (25% usage, 90.9 mph), Curveball (18% usage, 76.8 mph), Cutter (11% usage, 91.1 mph), Sinker (8% usage, 94.8 mph), and Slider (3% usage, 86.4 mph). The Reds lineup, averaging .252 this season, is expected to struggle, projecting a .228 batting average against Yamamoto's dynamic arsenal.

Lineup Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For Reds vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto: The Reds lineup averages .252 this season but projects to .228 against Yamamoto's arsenal. Notably, Ke'Bryan Hayes stands out with a potential improvement: Season BA .235 → xBA vs arsenal .259 (+24 points), Season K% 19.5% → Arsenal K% 18.0% (-1.5%).

For Dodgers vs Zack Littell: The Dodgers lineup averages .247 this season and projects to .256 against Littell's arsenal. Tommy Edman showcases a significant increase: Season BA .225 → xBA vs arsenal .311 (+86 points), Season K% 16.2% → Arsenal K% 14.2% (-2.0%).

Contact vs Strikeout Profile

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

For the Reds: The Reds' projected strikeout rate is 26.0% against Yamamoto — up 2.5% from their 23.4% season average. This indicates potential value for strikeout props on Yamamoto.

For the Dodgers: The Dodgers' projected strikeout rate is 21.9% against Littell — up 2.8% from their 19.1% season average. This suggests an increased strikeout opportunity for Littell.

Behind the Plate

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

Check ALL individual batters for prop opportunities:

📢 Prop Alert: Tommy Edman (.225 → .311, +86 points) meets betting lean criteria!

K Prop Alert: Yoshinobu Yamamoto strikeout OVER - Reds' K-rate jumps to 26.0% vs this arsenal!

🔑 Key Takeaways

  • Ke'Bryan Hayes and Tommy Edman are poised for key offensive performances.
  • Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a strong strikeout potential against an increased Reds' K-rate.
  • The lack of umpire assignment injects more uncertainty into prop bets.
  • Betting lean favors Dodgers' prop due to lineup and pitching advantages.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Reds vs Dodgers game? A: Tommy Edman meets our strict betting criteria with a projected xBA of .311.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced.

Q: What time is the Reds vs Dodgers game? A: The game is scheduled for 10/1, 09:08PM.

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