September 9, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Jake Turner

Jake is a veteran sports analyst with over 10 years of MLB prop betting experience.

Rockies vs Dodgers: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 09)

Last updated: September 09, 2025

Game Time: 9/9, 10:10PM

Today's Setup

Tonight, the Los Angeles Dodgers are heavily favored to win as they host the Colorado Rockies. According to DraftKings, the Dodgers are a -338 favorite, with 78% of bettors backing them, while the Rockies are at +262. With a significant public lean towards the Dodgers, all eyes will be on their performance.

Rotation Report

Pitching Matchup: Germán Márquez (COL) vs Emmet Sheehan (LAD)

Germán Márquez (COL):

Márquez brings a diverse arsenal to the mound: Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage, 95.0 mph), Curveball (31% usage, 85.6 mph), Sinker (23% usage, 94.5 mph), Slider (12% usage, 88.8 mph), and Changeup (2% usage, 88.9 mph). Known for his mix of velocity and movement, Márquez is a pitch-mix artist.

The Dodgers lineup averages .263 this season with a projected xBA of .253 against Márquez's diverse pitch mix.

Emmet Sheehan (LAD):

Sheehan relies more heavily on velocity with his arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage, 95.8 mph), Slider (28% usage, 87.8 mph), Changeup (19% usage, 86.4 mph), and Curveball (7% usage, 78.1 mph).

The Rockies lineup averages .265 this season but projects to .235 against Sheehan's power-driven approach.

Batting Edges vs Arsenal

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For Rockies vs Sheehan: The Rockies lineup, averaging .265 this season, projects to .235 against Sheehan's arsenal.

Kyle Karros: Season BA .242 → xBA vs arsenal .191 (-51 points), Season K% 25.5% → Arsenal K% 32.5% (+7.0%)
Orlando Arcia: Season BA .292 → xBA vs arsenal .204 (-88 points), Season K% 12.9% → Arsenal K% 40.2% (+27.3%)

For Dodgers vs Márquez: The Dodgers lineup averages .263 this season but projects to .253 against Márquez's arsenal.

Michael Conforto: Season BA .194 → xBA vs arsenal .230 (+36 points), Season K% 25.0% → Arsenal K% 30.4% (+5.4%)
Mookie Betts: Season BA .253 → xBA vs arsenal .280 (+27 points), Season K% 10.1% → Arsenal K% 11.1% (+1.0%)

K-Risk Analysis

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Rockies' projected K-rate is 28.23% vs Sheehan — up 5.17% from their 23.07% season average.
The Dodgers' projected K-rate is 23.61% vs Márquez — up 3.93% from their 19.69% season average.

Umpire Influence

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Michael Conforto (.194 → .230, +36 points) meets betting lean criteria!

⚡ K Prop Alert: Emmet Sheehan strikeout OVER - Rockies' K-rate jumps to 28.23% vs this arsenal!

🔑 Key Takeaways

Michael Conforto shows a significant batting edge against Márquez, making him a standout prop candidate.
Emmet Sheehan is in a favorable position for a strikeout prop with the Rockies' elevated K-rate.
Umpire assignment is yet to be announced, adding an element of uncertainty to the game.
Overall, with the Dodgers favored and the Rockies' projected struggles, lean towards LA for a strong performance.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Rockies vs Dodgers game? A: Michael Conforto meets our strict betting criteria with a projected xBA advantage.

Q: Is the umpire for this game a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, leaving the pitcher-friendly or hitter-friendly nature unknown.

Q: What time is the Rockies vs Dodgers game? A: The game is scheduled for 9/9, 10:10PM.

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