September 16, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Jake Turner

Jake is a veteran sports analyst with over 10 years of MLB prop betting experience.

Reds vs Cardinals: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 16)

Last updated: September 16, 2025

Game Time: 9/16, 07:45PM

Game Overview

The Cincinnati Reds head to St. Louis to face the Cardinals in what promises to be a fascinating matchup with a heavy focus on the pitchers. While the betting odds are not available for this game, an in-depth look at the pitching duel and lineup matchups can offer valuable insights for bettors.

Pitching Preview

Pitching Matchup: Andrew Abbott (CIN) vs Michael McGreevy (STL)

Andrew Abbott (CIN):

Abbott’s arsenal consists of a range of pitches: Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage, 92.7 mph), Changeup (20% usage, 84.7 mph), Curveball (15% usage, 81.0 mph), Sweeper (13% usage, 82.7 mph), and Cutter (4% usage, 88.6 mph). As a velocity-heavy pitcher, his fastball is dominant, and he complements it with a diverse mix to keep the batters guessing. The Cardinals lineup averages .247 this season with a projected xBA of .223 against Abbott's offerings.

Michael McGreevy (STL):

McGreevy employs a more balanced pitch mix: Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage, 93.0 mph), Sinker (22% usage, 91.8 mph), Sweeper (20% usage, 83.6 mph), Curveball (12% usage, 79.5 mph), Cutter (10% usage, 88.7 mph), Changeup (10% usage, 88.1 mph), and Slider (1% usage, 84.7 mph). His style leans on varied speeds and movement to disrupt timing. The Reds lineup averages .253 this season but projects to .261 against McGreevy’s arsenal.

Lineup Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For the Reds vs Michael McGreevy:

The Reds lineup averages .253 this season but projects to .261 against McGreevy's arsenal.
Biggest Increase: Sal Stewart: Season BA .250 → xBA vs arsenal .432 (+182 points), Season K% 22.5% → Arsenal K% 16.4% (-6.1%)
Biggest Decrease: TJ Friedl: Season BA .261 → xBA vs arsenal .236 (-25 points), Season K% 16.6% → Arsenal K% 18.4% (+1.8%)

For the Cardinals vs Andrew Abbott:

The Cardinals lineup averages .247 this season and faces a challenging projected xBA of .223 against Abbott.
Biggest Increase: Nathan Church: Season BA .184 → xBA vs arsenal .195 (+11 points), Season K% 24.1% → Arsenal K% 28.9% (+4.8%)
Biggest Decrease: Pedro Pagés: Season BA .250 → xBA vs arsenal .184 (-66 points), Season K% 22.5% → Arsenal K% 36.5% (+14.0%)

Contact vs Strikeout Profile

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

For the Reds:

The Reds' projected K-rate is 24.1% vs McGreevy—up 0.6% from their 23.5% season average.

For the Cardinals:

The Cardinals' projected K-rate is 25.3% vs Abbott—up 5.1% from their 20.1% season average.

Plate Umpire Analysis

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Sal Stewart (.250 → .432, +182 points) meets betting lean criteria!

⚡ K Prop Alert: Andrew Abbott strikeout OVER - Cardinals' K-rate jumps to 25.3% vs this arsenal!

🔑 Key Takeaways

Sal Stewart stands out with a significant batting advantage against McGreevy, making him an attractive prop option.
Andrew Abbott could benefit from a higher strikeout rate against the Cardinals, suggesting a potential strikeout prop.
The lack of umpire assignment adds uncertainty to the betting landscape.
Overall, target Sal Stewart for a batting prop and consider Abbott for a strikeout prop given the statistical edges.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Reds vs Cardinals game? A: Sal Stewart offers the strongest batting prop opportunity with his .432 xBA against McGreevy.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, making it difficult to gauge tendencies.

Q: What time is the Reds vs Cardinals game? A: 9/16, 07:45PM

---

Want more of our best props and betting analysis? Click below and join insider bets!

See all our best bets daily!

---