September 26, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Michael Rivera

Michael is a data-driven baseball enthusiast who specializes in pitch analytics and betting trends.

Reds vs Brewers: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 26)

Last updated: September 26, 2025

Game Time: 9/26, 08:10PM

Game Preview

The Cincinnati Reds will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers in a crucial late-season matchup. DraftKings currently lists the Brewers as a -169 favorite, while the Reds stand as +138 underdogs. With 62% of the money backing the Brewers, bettors are showing confidence in Milwaukee's chances.

Pitching Preview

Pitching Matchup: Zack Littell (CIN) vs Quinn Priester (MIL)

Zack Littell (CIN):

Zack Littell brings a balanced mix to the mound with his Slider (28% usage, 87.3 mph), Splitter (27% usage, 83.4 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage, 92.1 mph), Sinker (16% usage, 91.5 mph), and Sweeper (5% usage, 79.5 mph). Littell is a pitch-mix artist, utilizing a diverse arsenal to keep batters guessing. The Brewers lineup, however, averages .259 this season with a projected xBA of .240 against Littell's offerings, indicating potential challenges in making solid contact.

Quinn Priester (MIL):

Quinn Priester counters with a heavy Sinker (42% usage, 93.9 mph), Slider (27% usage, 86.1 mph), Cutter (20% usage, 92.3 mph), Curveball (9% usage, 80.9 mph), and an occasional Changeup (2% usage, 88.4 mph). Priester's reliance on his sinker and slider makes him a velocity-heavy pitcher. The Reds lineup averages .247 this season but projects to an elevated .271 xBA against Priester’s arsenal, suggesting they may find success at the plate.

Lineup Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For the Reds vs Quinn Priester: The Reds lineup averages .247 this season but projects to .271 against Priester's arsenal.

Biggest Increase: Sal Stewart: Season BA .235 → xBA vs arsenal .376 (+141 points), Season K% 24.1% → Arsenal K% 22.9% (-1.2%)
Biggest Decrease: Gavin Lux: Season BA .267 → xBA vs arsenal .244 (-23 points), Season K% 22.8% → Arsenal K% 22.9% (+0.1%)

For the Brewers vs Zack Littell: The Brewers lineup averages .259 this season but projects to .241 against Littell’s arsenal.

Biggest Increase: Jackson Chourio: Season BA .270 → xBA vs arsenal .288 (+18 points), Season K% 20.3% → Arsenal K% 16.4% (-3.9%)
Biggest Decrease: Jake Bauers: Season BA .237 → xBA vs arsenal .187 (-50 points), Season K% 27.5% → Arsenal K% 35.3% (+7.8%)

Contact vs Strikeout Profile

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Reds' projected K-rate is 22.1% vs Priester — down 1.9% from their 24.0% season average.
The Brewers' projected K-rate is 23.3% vs Littell — up 3.4% from their 19.9% season average.

Behind the Plate

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Sal Stewart (.235 → .376, +141 points) meets betting lean criteria!

⚡ K Prop Alert: No significant strikeout prop opportunities meet our threshold.

🔑 Key Takeaways

Sal Stewart shows a significant advantage against Priester, suggesting a strong batting prop opportunity.
Zack Littell may find success against a Brewers lineup projected for lower contact.
Quinn Priester's high projected xBA against suggests potential struggles in suppressing Reds' batting.
Umpire assignment remains uncertain, adding volatility to potential props.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Reds vs Brewers game? A: Sal Stewart shows the strongest statistical edge with a significant increase in xBA against Priester.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, making it difficult to assess tendencies at this time.

Q: What time is the Reds vs Brewers game? A: The game is scheduled for 9/26 at 08:10PM.

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