September 12, 2025
Game Preview

Written by: Michael Rivera

Michael is a data-driven baseball enthusiast who specializes in pitch analytics and betting trends.


Reds vs ATH: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 12)

Last updated: September 12, 2025

Game Time: 9/12, 10:05PM

Matchup Setup

Tonight, the Cincinnati Reds (CIN) face off against the Athletics (ATH) in a game that promises intriguing pitching duels and lineup strategies. Betting odds are currently not available, which adds a layer of unpredictability to this matchup.

Starting Pitching Analysis

Pitching Matchup: Brady Singer vs J.T. Ginn

Brady Singer (CIN):

  • Sinker (40% usage, 92.2 mph)
  • Slider (30% usage, 82.5 mph)
  • Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage, 91.3 mph)
  • Cutter (10% usage, 87.5 mph)
  • Sweeper (8% usage, 81.5 mph)

Singer is a sinkerball pitcher who relies on movement and deception rather than overpowering velocity. The ATH lineup averages .258 this season with a projected xBA of .251 against Singer's arsenal, indicating a potential struggle to square up on his pitch mix.

J.T. Ginn (ATH):

  • Sinker (52% usage, 93.6 mph)
  • Slider (25% usage, 86.4 mph)
  • Cutter (12% usage, 92.2 mph)
  • Changeup (11% usage, 88.7 mph)
  • Four-Seam Fastball (0% usage, 93.9 mph)

Ginn’s heavy reliance on his sinker and slider combo makes him a ground-ball specialist. The CIN lineup averages .253 this season but projects to improve slightly to .260 against Ginn’s pitch selection, suggesting they might find more success in putting balls in play.

Lineup Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For CIN vs J.T. Ginn:

  • The Reds lineup averages .253 this season and projects to .260 against Ginn.
  • Biggest Increase: Ke'Bryan Hayes: Season BA .247 → xBA vs arsenal .282 (+35 points)
  • Biggest Decrease: TJ Friedl: Season BA .264 → xBA vs arsenal .262 (-2 points)

For ATH vs Brady Singer:

  • The Athletics lineup averages .258 this season but projects to .251 against Singer.
  • Biggest Increase: JJ Bleday: Season BA .221 → xBA vs arsenal .260 (+39 points)
  • Biggest Decrease: Jacob Wilson: Season BA .319 → xBA vs arsenal .240 (-79 points)

Whiff Outlook

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

  • The Reds' projected K-rate is 19.9% vs J.T. Ginn — down 3.5% from their 23.4% season average, indicating a potential for higher contact rates.
  • The Athletics' projected K-rate is 22.2% vs Brady Singer — down 1.5% from their 23.7% season average, suggesting a moderate decrease in strikeouts.

Umpire Influence

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

  • 📢 Prop Alert: Ke'Bryan Hayes (.247 → .282, +35 points) meets betting lean criteria!
  • K Prop Alert: No significant strikeout prop opportunities as no team's K-rate meets our betting threshold.

🔑 Key Takeaways

  • Ke'Bryan Hayes stands out as a strong batting prop candidate due to a significant projected increase in batting average.
  • There's a lack of compelling strikeout prop opportunities due to low projected K-rates.
  • Umpire assignment is pending, adding uncertainty to prop bets involving walks or strikeouts.
  • Overall, betting focus should be on individual hitters rather than team or pitcher props due to the available data.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Reds vs ATH game? A: Ke'Bryan Hayes emerges as the best betting prop due to his significant projected increase in batting performance.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is currently TBA, which adds uncertainty to the umpire's impact.

Q: What time is the Reds vs ATH game? A: The game is scheduled for 9/12, 10:05PM.

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