Written by: Ryan Chen
Ryan combines advanced statistics with traditional scouting to identify profitable betting opportunities.
Pirates vs Reds: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 23)
Last updated: September 23, 2025
Game Time: 9/23, 06:40PM
Today's Setup
The Pittsburgh Pirates face off against the Cincinnati Reds in what promises to be an exciting matchup. With the Reds favored at -157 and 89% of the money backing them, the Pirates come in as +128 underdogs. This game pits two contrasting pitching styles against each other, with both teams seeking to exploit lineup vulnerabilities.
Starting Pitching Analysis
Pitching Matchup: Johan Oviedo vs Brady Singer
Johan Oviedo (PIT):
- Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage, 95.4 mph), Slider (32% usage, 86.9 mph), Curveball (16% usage, 77.9 mph), Sinker (9% usage, 95.1 mph), Changeup (4% usage, 88.0 mph)
- Interpretation: Oviedo relies heavily on velocity and a strong fastball-slider combination.
- Matchup Insight: The Reds lineup averages .247 this season with a projected xBA of .240 against Oviedo's mix.
Brady Singer (CIN):
- Arsenal: Sinker (40% usage, 92.2 mph), Slider (30% usage, 82.5 mph), Four-Seam (11% usage, 91.3 mph), Cutter (10% usage, 87.5 mph), Sweeper (8% usage, 81.5 mph)
- Interpretation: Singer is a pitch-mix artist, leaning on his sinker-slider duo to induce ground balls.
- Matchup Insight: The Pirates lineup averages .245 this season with a projected xBA of .258 against Singer's repertoire.
Lineup Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
- Pirates vs Brady Singer:
- Reds vs Johan Oviedo:
K-Risk Analysis
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- Pirates K-Risk: The Pirates' projected K-rate is 21.8% vs Singer — down 0.2% from their 22.0% season average.
- Reds K-Risk: The Reds' projected K-rate is 27.4% vs Oviedo — up 4.0% from their 23.4% season average.
Behind the Plate
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Andrew McCutchen and Will Benson have notable batting advantages against today's pitchers.
- Johan Oviedo presents a strong strikeout opportunity against a high K-rate Reds lineup.
- The absence of an umpire announcement adds an element of uncertainty to prop bets.
- Overall, betting leans favor Pirates' batter Andrew McCutchen and Reds' pitcher Johan Oviedo for strikeout props.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Pirates vs Reds game? A: Andrew McCutchen stands out with a significant increase in expected batting average against Brady Singer.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, making this aspect uncertain.
Q: What time is the Pirates vs Reds game? A: The game starts at 9/23, 06:40PM.
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