Written by: Jake Turner
Jake is a veteran sports analyst with over 10 years of MLB prop betting experience.
Pirates vs Nationals: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 14)
Last updated: September 14, 2025Game Time: 9/14, 11:35AM
Game Overview
The Pittsburgh Pirates face off against the Washington Nationals in an intriguing matchup that highlights some key pitcher-batter dynamics. With betting odds not available for this game, we focus on matchup statistics and potential prop opportunities. The Pirates' starting pitcher, Mike Burrows, takes on Cade Cavalli of the Nationals, with both teams looking to exploit strategic advantages in their respective lineups.
Starting Pitching Analysis
Pitching Matchup: Mike Burrows vs Cade Cavalli
Mike Burrows (PIT):
Burrows brings a varied pitch mix to the mound with a solid velocity profile: Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage, 95.4 mph), Changeup (23% usage, 87.1 mph), Slider (20% usage, 87.1 mph), Curveball (12% usage, 78.3 mph), and Sinker (5% usage, 95.6 mph). He is a velocity-heavy pitcher with an arsenal that can keep hitters off balance. The Nationals lineup averages .246 this season with a projected xBA of .257 against Burrows' arsenal.Cade Cavalli (WSH):
Cavalli is known for his power pitching with a mix of Curveball (31% usage, 86.0 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage, 97.1 mph), Sinker (18% usage, 97.1 mph), Changeup (15% usage, 89.8 mph), Cutter (5% usage, 94.2 mph), and an occasional Slider (0% usage, 91.8 mph). The Pirates lineup averages .251 this season but projects to hit .231 against Cavalli’s pitching style, indicating potential struggles.Hitting Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For the Pirates vs Cade Cavalli:
- The Pirates lineup averages .251 this season but projects to .231 against Cavalli's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Jared Triolo: Season BA .229 → xBA vs arsenal .280 (+51 points)
- Biggest Decrease: Cam Devanney: Season BA .250 → xBA vs arsenal .073 (-177 points)
For the Nationals vs Mike Burrows:
- The Nationals lineup averages .246 this season but projects to .257 against Burrows' arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Jr. García: Season BA .250 → xBA vs arsenal .301 (+51 points)
- Biggest Decrease: Josh Bell: Season BA .278 → xBA vs arsenal .244 (-34 points)
Whiff Outlook
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- The Pirates' projected K-rate is 29% vs Cavalli — up 6.6% from their 22.4% season average, suggesting potential value in strikeout props for Cavalli.
- The Nationals' projected K-rate is 26.5% vs Burrows — up 1.8% from their 24.7% season average, indicating slightly elevated strikeout potential.
Umpire Impact
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Jared Triolo (.229 → .280, +51 points) meets betting lean criteria!
⚡ K Prop Alert: Cade Cavalli strikeout OVER - Pirates' K-rate jumps to 29.0% vs this arsenal!
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Jared Triolo shows significant batting potential against Cavalli, making him a strong candidate for batting props.
- Cade Cavalli is positioned for a strong strikeout performance with the Pirates' elevated K-rate.
- Umpire assignment is unknown, adding uncertainty to prop bets.
- Overall, watch for Cavalli's strikeout potential and Triolo's offensive upside.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Pirates vs Nationals game? A: Jared Triolo (.229 → .280, +51 points) meets our strict betting criteria.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, leading to potential volatility in prop bets.
Q: What time is the Pirates vs Nationals game? A: The game is scheduled for 9/14 at 11:35AM.
---
Want more of our best props and betting analysis? Click below and join insider bets!
---
