Written by: Ryan Chen
Ryan combines advanced statistics with traditional scouting to identify profitable betting opportunities.
Pirates vs Nationals: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 13)
Last updated: September 13, 2025Game Time: 9/13, 04:05PM
Matchup Setup
The Pittsburgh Pirates visit the Washington Nationals in this intriguing matchup. DraftKings lists the Washington Nationals as a -124 favorite, with 74% of the betting money backing the Pittsburgh Pirates as a +101 underdog. This game promises an interesting clash between two contrasting pitching styles.
Rotation Report
Pitching Matchup: Bubba Chandler (PIT) vs Andrew Alvarez (WSH)
Bubba Chandler (PIT):
- Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage, 98.6 mph), Changeup (20% usage, 91.2 mph), Slider (20% usage, 88.5 mph), Curveball (8% usage, 85.4 mph)
- Interpretation: Chandler is a velocity-heavy pitcher, relying significantly on his high-speed fastball.
- Matchup Insight: The Nationals lineup averages .246 this season with a projected xBA of .261 against Chandler’s arsenal.
Andrew Alvarez (WSH):
- Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage, 91.3 mph), Curveball (29% usage, 82.8 mph), Slider (26% usage, 82.7 mph), Changeup (6% usage, 85.0 mph), Sinker (6% usage, 91.1 mph)
- Interpretation: Alvarez uses a diverse pitch mix, balancing between speed and movement.
- Matchup Insight: The Pirates lineup averages .238 this season but projects to .240 against Alvarez’s arsenal.
Lineup Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
Pirates vs Andrew Alvarez:
- Team Average: The Pirates lineup averages .238 this season but projects to .240 against Alvarez’s arsenal.
- Key Performers:
Nationals vs Bubba Chandler:
- Team Average: The Nationals lineup averages .246 this season but projects to .261 against Chandler’s arsenal.
- Key Performers:
Strikeout Trends
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- Pirates: The Pirates' projected K-rate is 29.6% vs Alvarez — up 5.1% from their 24.5% season average.
- Nationals: The Nationals' projected K-rate is 26.4% vs Chandler — up 1.6% from their 24.8% season average.
Behind the Plate
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Nick Yorke (.250 → .319, +69 points) meets betting lean criteria!
⚡ K Prop Alert: Andrew Alvarez strikeout OVER - Pirates' K-rate jumps to 29.6% vs this arsenal!
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Nick Yorke shows a strong batting edge with a significant increase in projected xBA.
- Andrew Alvarez has potential for a high strikeout game given the Pirates' elevated K-rate against his arsenal.
- Umpire information is unavailable, adding an element of uncertainty to the prop bets.
- Overall, Alvarez's strikeout potential and Yorke's batting advantage are the key betting angles.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Pirates vs Nationals game? A: Nick Yorke is the standout player meeting our strict betting criteria with a projected xBA boost.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, so we cannot determine tendencies at this time.
Q: What time is the Pirates vs Nationals game? A: The game is scheduled for 9/13, 04:05PM.
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