September 1, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Jake Turner

Jake is a veteran sports analyst with over 10 years of MLB prop betting experience.

Phillies vs Brewers: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 01)

Last updated: September 01, 2025

Game Time: 9/1, 04:10PM

Game Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are set to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers in what promises to be a competitive matchup. DraftKings has listed the Brewers as a −164 favorite, while the Phillies are a +134 underdog, with 63% of the betting public backing Milwaukee. This game features intriguing pitcher-batter dynamics and betting angles worth exploring.

Rotation Report

Pitching Matchup: Taijuan Walker vs Jacob Misiorowski

Taijuan Walker (PHI):

Pitch Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage, 94.0 mph), Cutter (18% usage, 90.6 mph), Sinker (16% usage, 93.9 mph), Slider (15% usage, 87.5 mph), Curveball (13% usage, 77.5 mph), Changeup (7% usage, 89.9 mph), Sweeper (7% usage, 80.7 mph)

Taijuan Walker is a pitch-mix artist with a diverse arsenal, capable of keeping hitters off balance. However, the Milwaukee lineup has a season average of .272, with a projected xBA of .267 against Walker's offerings.

Jacob Misiorowski (MIL):

Pitch Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage, 99.3 mph), Slider (25% usage, 94.2 mph), Curveball (12% usage, 87.2 mph), Changeup (7% usage, 92.2 mph)

Jacob Misiorowski relies heavily on power pitching, with a blistering fastball and sharp slider. The Phillies lineup averages .259 this season but projects to a slightly lower .256 xBA against Misiorowski's high-velocity arsenal.

Lineup Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

Phillies vs Jacob Misiorowski:

The Phillies lineup averages .259 this season but projects to .256 against Misiorowski's arsenal.

Biggest Increase: Kyle Schwarber: Season BA .247 → xBA vs arsenal .268 (+21 points), Season K% 26.4% → Arsenal K% 28.5% (+2.1%)
Biggest Decrease: Trea Turner: Season BA .300 → xBA vs arsenal .259 (-41 points), Season K% 17.0% → Arsenal K% 19.8% (+2.8%)

Brewers vs Taijuan Walker:

The Brewers lineup averages .273 this season with a projected xBA of .267 against Walker's pitches.

Biggest Increase: Andrew Vaughn: Season BA .235 → xBA vs arsenal .287 (+52 points), Season K% 18.2% → Arsenal K% 16.1% (-2.1%)
Biggest Decrease: Andruw Monasterio: Season BA .294 → xBA vs arsenal .232 (-62 points), Season K% 22.9% → Arsenal K% 22.4% (-0.5%)

Contact vs Strikeout Profile

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

Phillies: The team's projected K-rate is 23.6% vs Misiorowski — up 2.9% from their 20.7% season average.
Brewers: The team's projected K-rate is 19.2% vs Walker — up slightly by 0.1% from their 19.1% season average.

Umpire Impact

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Andrew Vaughn (.235 → .287, +52 points) meets betting lean criteria!
⚡ K Prop Alert: No significant strikeout prop opportunities meet our betting threshold in this matchup.

🔑 Key Takeaways

Andrew Vaughn's significant xBA increase against Walker makes him a prime batting prop candidate.
The Phillies may struggle with high strikeouts against Misiorowski's power pitching.
Umpire assignment is pending, adding uncertainty to prop bets.
No clear strikeout prop edges due to minimal K-rate increases.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Phillies vs Brewers game? A: Andrew Vaughn stands out with a projected xBA of .287, making him a solid batting prop candidate.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, so tendencies are currently unknown.

Q: What time is the Phillies vs Brewers game? A: The game is scheduled for 9/1 at 04:10PM.

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