Written by: David Mitchell
David has been analyzing MLB matchups and umpire tendencies for professional bettors since 2018.
PHI vs LAD: Betting Preview & Props (Oct 21)
Last updated: October 21, 2025Game Time: TBD
Game Overview
In this intriguing matchup, the Philadelphia Phillies face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Both teams will rely heavily on their starting pitchers to gain an edge, with Cristopher Sánchez taking the mound for the Phillies and Tyler Glasnow for the Dodgers. Currently, betting odds are not available for this game, adding an element of uncertainty for bettors.
Rotation Report
Pitching Matchup: Cristopher Sánchez vs Tyler Glasnow
Cristopher Sánchez (PHI):
- Pitch Arsenal: Sinker (46% usage, 95.4 mph), Changeup (37% usage, 86.3 mph), Slider (17% usage, 85.7 mph)
- Interpretation: Sánchez is a velocity-heavy pitcher, relying predominantly on his sinker and changeup to keep batters off balance.
- Matchup Analysis: The Dodgers lineup averages .270 this season with a projected xBA of .265 against Sánchez's arsenal, indicating a slight edge for the pitcher.
Tyler Glasnow (LAD):
- Pitch Arsenal: Four-Seam (35% usage, 95.7 mph), Slider (22% usage, 89.3 mph), Curveball (22% usage, 82.0 mph), Sinker (21% usage, 95.9 mph)
- Interpretation: Glasnow is a power pitcher with a diverse mix, effectively utilizing all four pitches to dominate the strike zone.
- Matchup Analysis: The Phillies lineup averages .261 this season but projects to .260 against Glasnow's pitch mix, suggesting a tightly contested battle.
Hitting Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For Phillies vs Tyler Glasnow:
- Biggest Increase: Max Kepler: Season BA .216 → xBA vs arsenal .241 (+25 points), Season K% 19.6% → Arsenal K% 20.6% (+1.0%)
- Biggest Decrease: Trea Turner: Season BA .304 → xBA vs arsenal .264 (-40 points), Season K% 16.7% → Arsenal K% 18.1% (+1.4%)
For Dodgers vs Cristopher Sánchez:
- Biggest Increase: Tommy Edman: Season BA .225 → xBA vs arsenal .287 (+62 points), Season K% 16.2% → Arsenal K% 11.8% (-4.4%)
- Biggest Decrease: Freddie Freeman: Season BA .295 → xBA vs arsenal .261 (-34 points), Season K% 20.4% → Arsenal K% 13.0% (-7.4%)
K-Risk Analysis
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- Phillies' Projected K-rate: 22.6% vs Glasnow — up 1.6% from their 21.0% season average.
- Dodgers' Projected K-rate: 18.1% vs Sánchez — down 0.7% from their 18.8% season average.
Umpire Impact
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
- Batter Prop Opportunities:
- Strikeout Prop Opportunities:
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Key Player Advantages: Tommy Edman shows the most significant increase in expected performance against Sánchez.
- Pitcher Prop Opportunities: No clear strikeout prop edges for either pitcher due to minimal K-rate deviations.
- Umpire Impact Assessment: Umpire assignment is pending, introducing volatility in prop bets.
- Overall Betting Recommendation: Focus on batter prop for Tommy Edman given his notable increase in expected performance.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the PHI vs LAD game? A: Tommy Edman stands out as a strong betting prop with a significant increase in expected batting average.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is currently TBA, leaving umpire tendencies unassessed.
Q: What time is the PHI vs LAD game? A: The game time is currently TBD.
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