Written by: David Mitchell
David has been analyzing MLB matchups and umpire tendencies for professional bettors since 2018.
PHI vs LAD: Betting Preview & Props (Oct 20)
Last updated: October 20, 2025Game Time: TBD
Today's Setup
Today's matchup features the Philadelphia Phillies taking on the Los Angeles Dodgers. While betting odds are not available for this game, the unique pitcher-batter matchups and other analytical angles provide insights for potential prop bets.
Pitching Preview
Pitching Matchup: Cristopher Sánchez vs Tyler Glasnow
Cristopher Sánchez (PHI):
Cristopher Sánchez employs a three-pitch arsenal: Sinker (46% usage, 95.4 mph), Changeup (37% usage, 86.3 mph), and Slider (17% usage, 85.7 mph). Sánchez is a velocity-heavy pitcher, relying primarily on his sinker to induce ground balls and weak contact. The Dodgers lineup, which has a strong batting average of .270 this season, projects a slightly lower .265 xBA against Sánchez's mix of pitches.
Tyler Glasnow (LAD):
Tyler Glasnow utilizes a diverse four-pitch mix: Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage, 95.7 mph), Slider (22% usage, 89.3 mph), Curveball (22% usage, 82.0 mph), and Sinker (21% usage, 95.9 mph). Glasnow’s ability to change speeds and eye levels makes him a formidable opponent. The Phillies lineup, with a .261 seasonal average, projects to hit .260 against Glasnow’s arsenal, indicating minimal drop-off.
Lineup Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For the Phillies vs Tyler Glasnow:
- The Phillies lineup averages .261 this season but projects to .260 against Glasnow’s arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Max Kepler: Season BA .216 → xBA vs arsenal .241 (+25 points), Season K% 19.6% → Arsenal K% 20.6% (+1.0%)
- Biggest Decrease: Trea Turner: Season BA .304 → xBA vs arsenal .264 (-40 points), Season K% 16.7% → Arsenal K% 18.1% (+1.4%)
For the Dodgers vs Cristopher Sánchez:
- The Dodgers lineup averages .271 this season, with a projected .265 xBA against Sánchez.
- Biggest Increase: Tommy Edman: Season BA .225 → xBA vs arsenal .287 (+62 points), Season K% 16.2% → Arsenal K% 11.8% (-4.4%)
- Biggest Decrease: Freddie Freeman: Season BA .295 → xBA vs arsenal .261 (-34 points), Season K% 20.4% → Arsenal K% 13.0% (-7.4%)
K-Risk Analysis
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- The Phillies' projected K-rate is 22.6% vs Glasnow — up 1.6% from their 21.0% season average.
- The Dodgers' projected K-rate is 18.1% vs Sánchez — down 0.7% from their 18.8% season average.
Umpire Influence
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Tommy Edman (.225 → .287, +62 points) meets betting lean criteria!
No significant statistical edges meet our pitcher prop betting threshold in this matchup.
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Max Kepler shows a significant increase in xBA against Glasnow, warranting attention.
- Tommy Edman exhibits a substantial boost in projected performance against Sánchez, making him a prop target.
- Umpire assignment is pending, adding uncertainty to prop bets.
- Limited statistical edges for pitcher strikeout props suggest caution.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the PHI vs LAD game? A: Tommy Edman stands out with a projected xBA boost of +62 points, meeting our betting lean criteria.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, making it difficult to predict tendencies.
Q: What time is the PHI vs LAD game? A: Game time is yet to be determined.
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