October 31, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Jake Turner

Jake is a veteran sports analyst with over 10 years of MLB prop betting experience.

MIL vs CHC: Betting Preview & Props (Oct 31)

Last updated: October 31, 2025

Game Time: TBD

Matchup Setup

The Milwaukee Brewers head to Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs in a thrilling MLB showdown. Both teams are keen on showcasing their talents on Halloween, providing an intriguing matchup for bettors. Unfortunately, betting odds are not available for this game, adding an element of mystery to the contest.

Pitcher Breakdown

Pitching Matchup: Freddy Peralta vs Matthew Boyd

Freddy Peralta (MIL):

Freddy Peralta utilizes a dynamic pitching arsenal comprising a Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage, 94.8 mph), Changeup (21% usage, 88.9 mph), Curveball (16% usage, 78.8 mph), and Slider (9% usage, 83.7 mph). Peralta is a velocity-heavy pitcher with a primary focus on his fastball. The Cubs lineup averages .253 this season with a projected xBA of .248 against Peralta's mix, indicating a potentially challenging matchup for Chicago's hitters.

Matthew Boyd (CHC):

Matthew Boyd counters with his own assortment of pitches: Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage, 93.3 mph), Changeup (24% usage, 78.7 mph), Slider (15% usage, 82.0 mph), Curveball (11% usage, 73.5 mph), and Sinker (4% usage, 92.0 mph). Boyd's diverse pitch mix could pose challenges for the Brewers, who average .259 this season with a projected xBA of .265 against Boyd's arsenal.

Batting Edges vs Arsenal

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For Milwaukee vs Boyd: The Brewers lineup averages .259 this season but projects to .265 against Boyd's arsenal. Key performers include:

Biggest Increase: Andrew Vaughn: Season BA .254 → xBA vs arsenal .305 (+51 points), Season K% 17.9% → Arsenal K% 16.8% (-1.1%)
Biggest Decrease: Brice Turang: Season BA .288 → xBA vs arsenal .255 (-33 points), Season K% 22.8% → Arsenal K% 23.8% (+1.0%)

For Chicago vs Peralta: The Cubs lineup averages .253 this season but projects to .248 against Peralta's arsenal. Key performers include:

Biggest Increase: Michael Busch: Season BA .261 → xBA vs arsenal .290 (+29 points), Season K% 23.5% → Arsenal K% 25.3% (+1.8%)
Biggest Decrease: Kyle Tucker: Season BA .266 → xBA vs arsenal .179 (-87 points), Season K% 14.7% → Arsenal K% 17.8% (+3.1%)

Contact vs Strikeout Profile

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

Milwaukee's projected K-rate is 20.0% vs Boyd — up 1.0% from their 19.0% season average.
Chicago's projected K-rate is 24.7% vs Peralta — up 4.2% from their 20.5% season average.

This significant jump for Chicago suggests potential value in strikeout props for Peralta.

Umpire Impact

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Andrew Vaughn (.254 → .305, +51 points) meets betting lean criteria!

⚡ K Prop Alert: Freddy Peralta strikeout OVER - Chicago's K-rate jumps to 24.7% vs this arsenal!

🔑 Key Takeaways

Andrew Vaughn shows a strong batting advantage against Boyd, making him a prime prop candidate.
Freddy Peralta has a favorable matchup for strikeouts against the Cubs with their increased K-rate.
Umpire assignment is currently unknown, adding uncertainty to prop bets.
Bettors should focus on Peralta's strikeout potential and Vaughn's batting edge.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the MIL vs CHC game? A: Andrew Vaughn meets our strict betting criteria, projecting a significant increase in batting average.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire details have not been announced, hence the impact on pitcher-friendliness is unknown.

Q: What time is the MIL vs CHC game? A: Game time is TBD.

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