September 23, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Jake Turner

Jake is a veteran sports analyst with over 10 years of MLB prop betting experience.

MIL vs SD: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 23)

Last updated: September 23, 2025

Game Time: TBD

Game Overview

The Milwaukee Brewers face off against the San Diego Padres in an intriguing matchup that promises to test both lineups against unique pitching arsenals. With the betting odds not available for this game, bettors will need to rely on in-depth analysis of pitcher-batter matchups and lineup tendencies to find value.

Rotation Report

Pitching Matchup: Bruce Zimmermann vs Randy Vásquez

Bruce Zimmermann (MIL):

Bruce Zimmermann is known for his mixed arsenal, offering a balanced approach rather than relying heavily on velocity. This versatility is expected to challenge the Padres, whose lineup averages .250 this season with a projected xBA of .250 against Zimmermann's offerings.

Randy Vásquez (SD):

Randy Vásquez brings a diverse pitch mix to the mound, featuring a Cutter (25% usage, 90.3 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage, 93.2 mph), Sinker (19% usage, 93.1 mph), Curveball (13% usage, 81.2 mph), Sweeper (13% usage, 82.1 mph), Changeup (7% usage, 86.9 mph), and Slider (2% usage, 85.8 mph). The Brewers' lineup, which boasts a .265 average this season, projects to a .267 xBA against Vásquez's arsenal, indicating a slight edge for Milwaukee.

Batting Edges vs Arsenal

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For Milwaukee vs Randy Vásquez:

The Brewers lineup averages .266 this season but projects to .268 vs Vásquez's arsenal.
Biggest Increase: Isaac Collins: Season BA .262 → xBA vs arsenal .291 (+29 points), Season K% 21.0% → Arsenal K% 21.6% (+0.6%)
Biggest Decrease: Sal Frelick: Season BA .292 → xBA vs arsenal .224 (-68 points), Season K% 13.3% → Arsenal K% 15.0% (+1.7%)

For San Diego vs Bruce Zimmermann:

The Padres' lineup averages .250 this season with no change against Zimmermann's mixed arsenal.
No significant individual batting changes noted.

Contact vs Strikeout Profile

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Brewers' projected K-rate is 17.9% vs Randy Vásquez — down 0.2% from their 18.1% season average.
The Padres' projected K-rate remains steady at 22.5% vs Bruce Zimmermann, matching their season average.

Behind the Plate

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Isaac Collins (.262 → .291, +29 points) meets betting lean criteria!

No strikeout prop opportunities meet our betting threshold due to insufficient increases in projected K-rates.

🔑 Key Takeaways

Isaac Collins presents a promising batting prop opportunity against Randy Vásquez.
No significant strikeout prop edges are evident in this matchup.
The umpire assignment is pending, adding uncertainty to prop bets.
Overall, bettors should consider Collins' advantageous matchup for potential profits.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the MIL vs SD game? A: Isaac Collins meets our strict betting criteria with a notable increase in projected xBA vs Randy Vásquez.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, adding volatility to prop bets.

Q: What time is the MIL vs SD game? A: Game time is TBD.

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