October 23, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Michael Rivera

Michael is a data-driven baseball enthusiast who specializes in pitch analytics and betting trends.

MIL vs CHC: Betting Preview & Props (Oct 23)

Last updated: October 23, 2025

Game Time: TBD

Matchup Setup

The Milwaukee Brewers (MIL) and Chicago Cubs (CHC) prepare for an intriguing matchup, with both teams looking to capitalize on their respective pitching strengths. Despite the absence of betting odds currently, this game offers plenty of angles for bettors to explore, especially in terms of pitcher and lineup matchups.

Pitcher Breakdown

Pitching Matchup: Freddy Peralta vs Matthew Boyd

Freddy Peralta (MIL):

Freddy Peralta brings a robust mix to the mound: Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage, 94.8 mph), Changeup (21% usage, 88.9 mph), Curveball (16% usage, 78.8 mph), and Slider (9% usage, 83.7 mph). Peralta is a velocity-heavy pitcher who relies on his fastball to overpower hitters, complemented by sharp secondary pitches. The CHC lineup averages .253 this season with a projected xBA of .248 against Peralta's diverse arsenal.

Matthew Boyd (CHC):

Matthew Boyd counters with a versatile set of pitches: Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage, 93.3 mph), Changeup (24% usage, 78.7 mph), Slider (15% usage, 82.0 mph), Curveball (11% usage, 73.5 mph), and Sinker (4% usage, 92.0 mph). Boyd’s mix of pitches aims to keep hitters off balance, but his overall velocity is slightly lower than Peralta's. The MIL lineup hits .259 on the season, projecting to .265 against Boyd's arsenal, suggesting potential vulnerability in Boyd's pitch execution.

Hitting Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For MIL vs Matthew Boyd:

The MIL lineup averages .259 this season but projects to .265 against Boyd's arsenal.
Biggest Increase: Andrew Vaughn: Season BA .254 → xBA vs arsenal .305 (+51 points), Season K% 17.9% → Arsenal K% 16.8% (-1.1%)
Biggest Decrease: Brice Turang shows a decrease: Season BA .288 → xBA vs arsenal .255 (-33 points), though the K% change is minimal.

For CHC vs Freddy Peralta:

The CHC lineup averages .253 this season, projecting to .248 against Peralta's arsenal.
Biggest Increase: Michael Busch: Season BA .261 → xBA vs arsenal .290 (+29 points), Season K% 23.5% → Arsenal K% 25.3% (+1.8%)
Biggest Decrease: Kyle Tucker: Season BA .266 → xBA vs arsenal .179 (-87 points), Season K% 14.7% → Arsenal K% 17.8% (+3.1%)

Whiff Outlook

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The MIL’s projected K-rate is 20.0% vs Matthew Boyd — up 1.0% from their 19.0% season average.
The CHC’s projected K-rate is 24.7% vs Freddy Peralta — up 4.2% from their 20.5% season average.

Umpire Influence

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Andrew Vaughn (.254 → .305, +51 points) meets betting lean criteria!

⚡ K Prop Alert: Freddy Peralta strikeout OVER - CHC's K-rate jumps to 24.7% vs this arsenal!

🔑 Key Takeaways

Andrew Vaughn presents a strong batting prop opportunity with a projected xBA of .305 against Matthew Boyd.
Freddy Peralta is positioned for a potential strikeout surge with CHC’s increased K-rate vs his pitch mix.
Umpire influence remains a question mark, adding volatility to prop bets.
Bettors should consider Peralta's strikeout potential and Vaughn's hitting edge as prime betting angles.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the MIL vs CHC game? A: Andrew Vaughn is the standout player, with his projected xBA of .305 against Boyd’s arsenal making him a top prop candidate.

Q: Is the umpire assignment pitcher-friendly? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, affecting prop stability.

Q: What time is the MIL vs CHC game? A: Game time is currently TBD.

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