September 6, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Ryan Chen

Ryan combines advanced statistics with traditional scouting to identify profitable betting opportunities.

Mets vs Reds: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 06)

Last updated: September 06, 2025

Game Time: 9/6, 06:40PM

Matchup Setup

The New York Mets head to Cincinnati to take on the Reds, with Jonah Tong on the mound for the Mets and Brady Singer pitching for the Reds. The Mets enter the game as a −133 favorite according to DraftKings, with 70% of the betting money backing them, while the Reds are +109 underdogs. This matchup features intriguing pitching dynamics and lineup contrasts that could influence the betting landscape.

Pitching Preview

Pitching Matchup: Jonah Tong (NYM) vs Brady Singer (CIN)

Jonah Tong (NYM):

Jonah Tong is known for his mixed arsenal, which lacks detailed pitch usage and velocity data in the provided dataset. His adaptability and versatility make him a challenging opponent. The Reds lineup has a season average of .250, which aligns with the projected xBA against Tong, suggesting no major edge for either side.

Brady Singer (CIN):

Brady Singer brings a broad mix of pitches with his Sinker (40% usage, 92.2 mph), Slider (30% usage, 82.5 mph), Four-Seam (11% usage, 91.3 mph), Cutter (10% usage, 87.6 mph), and Sweeper (8% usage, 81.5 mph). The Mets lineup, which averages .256 on the season, projects to improve slightly to .271 against Singer's arsenal, indicating potential offensive opportunities.

Hitting Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For NYM vs Brady Singer:

The Mets lineup averages .256 this season but projects to .271 vs Singer's arsenal.
Biggest Increase: Pete Alonso with a season BA of .271 → xBA vs arsenal .309 (+38 points), Season K% 21.7% → Arsenal K% 17.1% (-4.6%).
Biggest Decrease: Francisco Alvarez with a season BA of .265 → xBA vs arsenal .247 (-18 points), Season K% 25.8% → Arsenal K% 20.0% (-5.8%).

For CIN vs Jonah Tong:

The Reds lineup maintains a steady .250 season average with no change projected against Tong's mixed arsenal.
No significant individual batter data available for the Reds to highlight changes.

Contact vs Strikeout Profile

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Mets' projected K-rate is 18.7% vs Brady Singer — down 2.1% from their 20.8% season average, suggesting a contact-friendly scenario.
The Reds' K-rate remains at 22.5% against Jonah Tong, identical to their season average, indicating no change in strikeout tendencies.

Umpire Influence

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Pete Alonso (.271 → .309, +38 points) meets betting lean criteria!

No significant statistical edges meet our betting threshold in this matchup for team strikeout rates.

🔑 Key Takeaways

Pete Alonso shows a strong increase in expected batting average against Brady Singer, making him a key player to watch.
Jonah Tong's mixed arsenal presents a neutral challenge to the Reds, with no significant lineup advantages.
The umpire assignment remains unknown, adding uncertainty to prop bets.
Overall, Pete Alonso's batting prop stands out as the primary betting opportunity.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the NYM vs CIN game? A: Pete Alonso is our top pick, showing a significant increase in expected batting average against Brady Singer's arsenal.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, adding volatility to betting props.

Q: What time is the NYM vs CIN game? A: The game starts at 9/6, 06:40PM.

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