Written by: Ryan Chen
Ryan combines advanced statistics with traditional scouting to identify profitable betting opportunities.
LAA vs SEA: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 14)
Last updated: September 14, 2025Game Time: TBD
Matchup Setup
The Los Angeles Angels (LAA) travel to take on the Seattle Mariners (SEA) in a matchup that pits two intriguing pitching styles against one another. While the betting odds are not available for this game, both teams bring unique strengths to the field, making this a compelling showdown for bettors and fans alike.
Starting Pitching Analysis
Pitching Matchup: Kyle Hendricks vs George Kirby
Kyle Hendricks (LAA):
Kyle Hendricks brings a refined pitch mix to the mound with his arsenal featuring: Changeup (39% usage, 79.4 mph), Sinker (38% usage, 86.2 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage, 86.6 mph), and Curveball (8% usage, 72.2 mph). As a pitch-mix artist, Hendricks relies on deception and placement over velocity. The Mariners lineup averages .258 this season with a projected xBA of .260 against Hendricks' arsenal, indicating a slight edge in favor of Seattle's hitters.
George Kirby (SEA):
George Kirby delivers a more velocity-heavy approach with pitches including: Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage, 96.1 mph), Slider (28% usage, 87.1 mph), Sinker (25% usage, 96.1 mph), Curveball (13% usage, 84.4 mph), Splitter (3% usage, 86.0 mph), and Changeup (2% usage, 87.8 mph). His power pitching style contrasts sharply with Hendricks. The Angels lineup, with a season average of .230, projects slightly better at .231 against Kirby’s arsenal.
Hitting Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For LAA vs George Kirby:
- The Angels lineup averages .230 this season but projects to .231 against Kirby's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Jo Adell: Season BA .243 → xBA vs arsenal .285 (+42 points), Season K% 26.1% → Arsenal K% 26.3% (+0.2%)
- Biggest Decrease: Logan Davidson: Season BA .250 → xBA vs arsenal .141 (-109 points), Season K% 22.5% → Arsenal K% 53.0% (+30.5%)
For SEA vs Kyle Hendricks:
- The Mariners lineup averages .258 this season and projects to .260 against Hendricks' arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: J.P. Crawford: Season BA .264 → xBA vs arsenal .305 (+41 points), Season K% 18.5% → Arsenal K% 16.4% (-2.1%)
- Biggest Decrease: Julio Rodríguez: Season BA .250 → xBA vs arsenal .226 (-24 points), Season K% 22.5% → Arsenal K% 26.8% (+4.3%)
Strikeout Trends
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- The Angels' projected K-rate is 29.1% vs George Kirby, up 1.6% from their 27.5% season average, suggesting a potential strikeout prop value.
- The Mariners' projected K-rate is 21.1% vs Kyle Hendricks, up 1.3% from their 19.9% season average, indicating a moderate increase in strikeout risk.
Umpire Influence
Behind the Plate: TBA
Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Jo Adell (.243 → .285, +42 points) meets betting lean criteria!
⚡ K Prop Alert: George Kirby strikeout OVER - Angels' K-rate jumps to 29.1% vs this arsenal!
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Jo Adell shows a significant batting advantage against George Kirby, presenting a strong prop opportunity.
- George Kirby's strikeout potential against the Angels is notable, given their increased projected K-rate.
- Umpire assignment is pending, adding uncertainty to the strikeout and walk prop landscape.
- Overall, lean towards betting on Jo Adell's hitting props and George Kirby's strikeout potential.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the LAA vs SEA game? A: Jo Adell is the standout prop, given his significant increase in projected xBA against George Kirby.
Q: Is the umpire for this game pitcher-friendly? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, so tendencies are currently unknown.
Q: What time is the LAA vs SEA game? A: Game time is TBD.
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