Written by: Ryan Chen
Ryan combines advanced statistics with traditional scouting to identify profitable betting opportunities.
Giants vs Dodgers: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 20)
Last updated: September 20, 2025
Game Time: 9/20, 09:10PM
Matchup Setup
The San Francisco Giants will face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers in a highly anticipated matchup tonight. DraftKings lists the LA Dodgers as a -239 favorite, with 77% of the money backing them, while the Giants are positioned as +192 underdogs. Both teams will rely heavily on their starting pitchers to set the tone for this game.
Rotation Report
Pitching Matchup: Kai-Wei Teng vs Tyler Glasnow
Kai-Wei Teng (SF):
- Arsenal: Sweeper (38% usage, 84.3 mph); Four-Seam (25% usage, 93.1 mph); Curveball (15% usage, 82.8 mph); Sinker (12% usage, 92.9 mph); Changeup (10% usage, 87.8 mph)
Kai-Wei Teng is a pitch-mix artist with a diverse arsenal, relying heavily on his sweeper and four-seam fastball. The Dodgers lineup averages .244 this season with a projected xBA of .254 against Teng's mix of pitches, indicating a slight batting edge for the Dodgers.
Tyler Glasnow (LAD):
- Arsenal: Four-Seam (35% usage, 95.8 mph); Slider (22% usage, 89.3 mph); Curveball (22% usage, 82.1 mph); Sinker (20% usage, 96.0 mph)
Tyler Glasnow is a velocity-heavy pitcher, utilizing a powerful four-seam fastball complemented by a sharp slider and curveball. The Giants lineup, averaging .236 this season, projects a .240 xBA against Glasnow's arsenal, suggesting a marginally challenging matchup for San Francisco.
Batting Edges vs Arsenal
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For SF vs Tyler Glasnow:
- The Giants lineup averages .236 this season but projects to .2405 vs Glasnow's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Drew Gilbert: Season BA .205 → xBA vs arsenal .252 (+47 points), Season K% 18.2% → Arsenal K% 8.1% (-10.1%)
- Biggest Decrease: Heliot Ramos: Season BA .257 → xBA vs arsenal .226 (-31 points), Season K% 22.9% → Arsenal K% 25.2% (+2.3%)
For LAD vs Kai-Wei Teng:
- The Dodgers lineup averages .244 this season but projects to .254 vs Teng's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Ben Rortvedt: Season BA .165 → xBA vs arsenal .241 (+76 points), Season K% 18.2% → Arsenal K% 21.7% (+3.5%)
- Biggest Decrease: Max Muncy: Season BA .247 → xBA vs arsenal .225 (-22 points), Season K% 21.0% → Arsenal K% 29.9% (+8.9%)
Lineup Strikeout Trends vs Arsenal
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- Giants' Projected K-rate: 22.36% vs Glasnow — down 0.54% from their 22.91% season average. A slight contact advantage.
- Dodgers' Projected K-rate: 22.77% vs Teng — up 3.12% from their 19.64% season average. Increased strikeout risk.
Behind the Plate
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Drew Gilbert (.205 → .252, +47 points) meets betting lean criteria!
⚡ K Prop Alert: Tyler Glasnow strikeout OVER - Giants' K-rate remains relatively stable at 22.36% vs this arsenal!
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Drew Gilbert shows a notable increase in batting potential, making him a standout prop opportunity.
- Tyler Glasnow's velocity and strikeout potential pose significant challenges for the Giants.
- Umpire data is unavailable, adding uncertainty to prop bets.
- Overall, the Dodgers are favored with both lineup and pitching edges.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the SF vs LAD game? A: Drew Gilbert meets the criteria for a strong batting prop opportunity against Tyler Glasnow.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment has not been announced, making this aspect uncertain.
Q: What time is the SF vs LAD game? A: The game is scheduled for 9/20, 09:10PM.
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