Written by: Jake Turner
Jake is a veteran sports analyst with over 10 years of MLB prop betting experience.
Giants vs Dodgers: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 19)
Last updated: September 19, 2025
Game Time: 9/19, 10:10PM
Game Overview
The San Francisco Giants travel to Los Angeles to take on the Dodgers in a heated division matchup. The Dodgers are favorites in this game, with DraftKings listing them at -175, while the Giants are +143 underdogs. Notably, 87% of the money is backing the Dodgers, highlighting strong public confidence in the home team.
Starting Pitching Analysis
Pitching Matchup: Robbie Ray vs Clayton Kershaw
Robbie Ray (SF):
Robbie Ray brings a diverse arsenal to the mound: Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage, 93.6 mph), Slider (23% usage, 87.9 mph), Changeup (13% usage, 84.9 mph), Curveball (12% usage, 81.2 mph), and a Sweeper (0% usage, 80.0 mph). Ray is a velocity-heavy pitcher, utilizing his fastball to set the tone and mixing in breaking balls to keep hitters off balance. This season, the Dodgers lineup averages .257 against similar arsenals while projecting an xBA of .257 vs Ray's pitch mix.
Clayton Kershaw (LAD):
Kershaw, a seasoned veteran, showcases a Slider (41% usage, 85.7 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage, 89.0 mph), Curveball (18% usage, 72.2 mph), Splitter (6% usage, 83.1 mph), and a Sinker (0% usage, 89.0 mph). Kershaw is known for his pitch-mix artistry, emphasizing precision and movement. The Giants lineup, however, averages .238 this season but projects to struggle with a .225 xBA against Kershaw's crafty arsenal.
Offensive Breakdown
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For SF vs Kershaw: The Giants lineup averages .238 this season but projects to .225 against Kershaw's arsenal.
- Heliot Ramos sees a significant decrease in expected performance: Season BA .259 → xBA vs arsenal .225 (-34 points), Season K% 23.0% → Arsenal K% 34.8% (+11.8%).
For LAD vs Ray: The Dodgers lineup averages .257 this season and projects similarly at .257 against Ray's arsenal.
- Tommy Edman has a notable increase in projected performance: Season BA .229 → xBA vs arsenal .272 (+43 points), Season K% 16.4% → Arsenal K% 16.7% (+0.3%).
Contact vs Strikeout Profile
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- The Giants' projected K-rate is 28.2% vs Kershaw — up 5.4% from their 22.8% season average, indicating potential strikeout vulnerability.
- The Dodgers' projected K-rate is 23.2% vs Ray — up 1.9% from their 21.2% season average, suggesting modest contact struggles.
Umpire Impact
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
Check ALL individual batters for prop opportunities:
- Tommy Edman (.229 → .272, +43 points) meets betting lean criteria!
- ⚡ K Prop Alert: Clayton Kershaw strikeout OVER - Giants' K-rate jumps to 28.2% vs this arsenal!
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Tommy Edman shows a strong batting advantage against Ray's arsenal.
- Kershaw's strikeout potential is bolstered against a high-risk Giants lineup.
- Umpire volatility is a concern with no assignment announced.
- Overall, Kershaw's strikeout prop and Edman's batting performance are key angles.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the SF vs LAD game? A: Tommy Edman (.229 → .272, +43 points) meets our strict betting criteria with a notable batting advantage.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, adding volatility to prop bets.
Q: What time is the SF vs LAD game? A: The game is scheduled for 9/19, 10:10PM.
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