Written by: Jake Turner
Jake is a veteran sports analyst with over 10 years of MLB prop betting experience.
Dodgers vs Mariners: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 28)
Last updated: September 28, 2025Game Time: 9/28, 03:10PM
Game Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers face off against the Seattle Mariners in what promises to be an intriguing matchup at T-Mobile Park. Both teams are looking to close their seasons strong, with the Dodgers sending veteran Clayton Kershaw to the mound against the Mariners' Bryce Miller. Betting odds are not available for this game, adding an element of mystery to this late-season clash.
Pitching Preview
Pitching Matchup: Clayton Kershaw vs Bryce Miller
Clayton Kershaw (LAD):
- Arsenal: Slider (41% usage, 85.7 mph), Four-Seam (35% usage, 89.0 mph), Curveball (18% usage, 72.2 mph), Splitter (6% usage, 83.1 mph), Sinker (0% usage, 89.2 mph)
Kershaw continues to rely heavily on his slider and four-seam fastball, complemented by his signature curveball. This mix makes him a velocity-heavy pitcher with deceptive breaking pitches. The Mariners' lineup averages .252 this season with a projected xBA of .240 against Kershaw's arsenal, highlighting a potential edge for the Dodgers' ace.
Bryce Miller (SEA):
- Arsenal: Four-Seam (41% usage, 94.8 mph), Splitter (19% usage, 83.8 mph), Sinker (17% usage, 94.5 mph), Curveball (10% usage, 83.3 mph), Slider (7% usage, 85.6 mph), Sweeper (4% usage, 82.8 mph), Cutter (1% usage, 91.4 mph)
Miller's diverse pitch mix and high-velocity fastball make him a formidable opponent. The Dodgers' lineup, however, averages .241 this season but projects to .263 against Miller's arsenal, suggesting they could find success against his pitch selection.
Hitting Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For Dodgers vs Bryce Miller:
- Biggest Increase: Mookie Betts: Season BA .260 → xBA vs arsenal .316 (+56 points), Season K% 10.3% → Arsenal K% 8.6% (-1.7%)
- Biggest Decrease: Freddie Freeman: Season BA .294 → xBA vs arsenal .263 (-31 points), Season K% 20.5% → Arsenal K% 16.8% (-3.7%)
For Mariners vs Clayton Kershaw:
- Biggest Increase: Jorge Polanco: Season BA .265 → xBA vs arsenal .291 (+26 points), Season K% 15.6% → Arsenal K% 20.0% (+4.4%)
- Biggest Decrease: Eugenio Suárez: Season BA .250 → xBA vs arsenal .209 (-41 points), Season K% 22.5% → Arsenal K% 35.0% (+12.5%)
K-Risk Analysis
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- Dodgers' Projected K-rate: 21.6% vs Bryce Miller — up 1.9% from their 19.8% season average.
- Mariners' Projected K-rate: 26.9% vs Clayton Kershaw — up 5.3% from their 21.7% season average.
The increased strikeout rate for the Mariners against Kershaw suggests potential K prop value on Kershaw.
Behind the Plate
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Mookie Betts (.260 → .316, +56 points) meets betting lean criteria!
⚡ K Prop Alert: Clayton Kershaw strikeout OVER - Mariners' K-rate jumps to 26.9% vs this arsenal!
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Mookie Betts shows a significant batting advantage against Bryce Miller, making him a strong prop candidate.
- Clayton Kershaw is likely to capitalize on the Mariners' elevated strikeout rate, suggesting a favorable K prop.
- The lack of umpire information adds uncertainty to potential prop bets.
- Overall, the Dodgers have slight edges both on the mound and at the plate in this matchup.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Dodgers vs Mariners game? A: Mookie Betts shows the strongest potential for a batting prop with his significant increase in xBA against Bryce Miller.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, so the impact on the game remains unclear.
Q: What time is the Dodgers vs Mariners game? A: The game is scheduled for 9/28, 03:10PM.
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