Written by: David Mitchell
David has been analyzing MLB matchups and umpire tendencies for professional bettors since 2018.
Dodgers vs Mariners: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 27)
Last updated: September 27, 2025Game Time: 9/27, 09:40PM
Matchup Setup
The Los Angeles Dodgers travel to Seattle to face the Mariners in a late-season matchup. Despite the excitement surrounding this game, betting odds are currently unavailable. This clash features two prominent pitchers, Tyler Glasnow for the Dodgers and Logan Gilbert for the Mariners, each with a distinctive pitch mix that could influence the outcome significantly.
Pitcher Breakdown
Pitching Matchup: Tyler Glasnow (LAD) vs Logan Gilbert (SEA)
Tyler Glasnow (LAD):
- Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage, 95.7 mph), Curveball (22% usage, 82.0 mph), Slider (22% usage, 89.3 mph), Sinker (20% usage, 95.9 mph)
Tyler Glasnow is a velocity-heavy pitcher with a blend of fastballs and sharp breaking pitches. The Mariners lineup averages .265 this season but projects to .260 against Glasnow's diverse arsenal, indicating a slight edge for the pitcher.
Logan Gilbert (SEA):
- Arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage, 95.4 mph), Slider (35% usage, 87.5 mph), Splitter (20% usage, 81.8 mph), Curveball (7% usage, 82.1 mph), Sinker (1% usage, 95.6 mph)
Logan Gilbert utilizes a balanced mix of pitches, focusing on his fastball and slider. The Dodgers lineup averages .247 this season, slightly underperforming with a projected .245 against Gilbert's offerings.
Lineup Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For Dodgers vs Logan Gilbert:
- The Dodgers lineup averages .247 this season but projects to .245 vs Gilbert's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Mookie Betts: Season BA .262 → xBA vs arsenal .311 (+49 points), Season K% 10.2% → Arsenal K% 8.4% (-1.8%)
- Biggest Decrease: Freddie Freeman: Season BA .293 → xBA vs arsenal .255 (-38 points), Season K% 20.6% → Arsenal K% 19.2% (-1.4%)
For Mariners vs Tyler Glasnow:
- The Mariners lineup averages .265 this season but projects to .260 vs Glasnow's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Jorge Polanco: Season BA .265 → xBA vs arsenal .293 (+28 points), Season K% 15.4% → Arsenal K% 16.1% (+0.7%)
- Biggest Decrease: Josh Naylor: Season BA .294 → xBA vs arsenal .241 (-53 points), Season K% 13.6% → Arsenal K% 19.8% (+6.2%)
K-Risk Analysis
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- The Dodgers' projected K-rate is 23.7% vs Logan Gilbert — up 4.4% from their 19.3% season average.
- The Mariners' projected K-rate is 24.2% vs Tyler Glasnow — up 3.4% from their 20.8% season average.
Umpire Influence
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
📢 Prop Alert: Mookie Betts (.262 → .311, +49 points) meets betting lean criteria!
⚡ K Prop Alert: Logan Gilbert strikeout OVER - Dodgers' K-rate jumps to 23.7% vs this arsenal!
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Mookie Betts shows a favorable matchup against Gilbert, potentially a solid prop bet.
- Logan Gilbert could be a strikeout prop target given the Dodgers' increased K-rate projection.
- Umpire assignment uncertainty adds volatility to betting props.
- With current data, focus on player-specific props for potential value.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Dodgers vs Mariners game? A: Mookie Betts meets our strict betting criteria with a projected xBA of .311 against Logan Gilbert.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, introducing potential volatility in prop bets.
Q: What time is the Dodgers vs Mariners game? A: The game is scheduled for 9/27 at 09:40PM.
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