Written by: Ryan Chen
Ryan combines advanced statistics with traditional scouting to identify profitable betting opportunities.
Dodgers vs Giants: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 13)
Last updated: September 13, 2025Game Time: 9/13, 09:05PM
Brief Intro
The Los Angeles Dodgers are set to face off against the San Francisco Giants in a highly anticipated matchup. The Dodgers, listed as a -126 favorite by DraftKings, will be relying on the arm of Clayton Kershaw, while the Giants, at +104, look to Logan Webb to deliver at home. Interestingly, 64% of the money is backing the Giants, suggesting a potential upset in the making.
Rotation Report
Pitching Matchup: Clayton Kershaw (LAD) vs Logan Webb (SF)
Clayton Kershaw (LAD):
- Arsenal: Slider (42% usage, 85.7 mph); Four-Seam (35% usage, 89.0 mph); Curveball (18% usage, 72.2 mph); Splitter (6% usage, 83.1 mph); Sinker (0% usage, 89.3 mph)
Kershaw is a classic pitch-mix artist, effectively using his slider and curveball to neutralize batters. The Giants lineup averages .243 this season but projects a lower xBA of .227 against Kershaw's diverse arsenal.
Logan Webb (SF):
- Arsenal: Sinker (35% usage, 92.5 mph); Sweeper (26% usage, 84.7 mph); Changeup (24% usage, 86.5 mph); Four-Seam (8% usage, 92.7 mph); Cutter (8% usage, 91.0 mph)
Webb relies heavily on his sinker and sweeper, making him a groundball-inducing pitcher. The Dodgers lineup averages .260 this season with a very similar projected xBA of .260 against Webb's pitches, indicating a balanced matchup.
Batting Edges vs Arsenal
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For Dodgers vs Logan Webb:
- The Dodgers lineup averages .260 this season but projects to .260 vs Webb's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Tommy Edman: Season BA .228 → xBA vs arsenal .268 (+40 points)
- Biggest Decrease: Will Smith: Season BA .296 → xBA vs arsenal .257 (-39 points)
For Giants vs Clayton Kershaw:
- The Giants lineup averages .243 this season but projects to .227 vs Kershaw's arsenal.
- Biggest Increase: Matt Chapman: Season BA .243 → xBA vs arsenal .246 (+4 points)
- Biggest Decrease: Heliot Ramos: Season BA .265 → xBA vs arsenal .223 (-42 points)
Strikeout Trends
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- The Dodgers' projected K-rate is 19.5% vs Logan Webb — up 0.4% from their 19.1% season average.
- The Giants' projected K-rate is 27.6% vs Clayton Kershaw — up 5.7% from their 21.9% season average.
Umpire Trends
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Tommy Edman shows a notable increase in xBA, making him a strong prop bet candidate.
- Clayton Kershaw's strikeout potential is high against a Giants lineup with an increased K-rate.
- Umpire assignment is TBA, adding uncertainty to betting angles.
- Overall, the Dodgers are slightly favored, but the Giants have substantial betting support.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Dodgers vs Giants game? A: Tommy Edman shows a significant xBA increase, making him the standout betting prop.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, so tendencies are unknown.
Q: What time is the Dodgers vs Giants game? A: The game is at 9/13, 09:05PM.
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