September 1, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: David Mitchell

David has been analyzing MLB matchups and umpire tendencies for professional bettors since 2018.

CWS vs MIN: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 01)

Last updated: September 01, 2025

Game Time: TBD

Matchup Setup

The Chicago White Sox (CWS) head to Minnesota to face the Twins (MIN) in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. While the betting odds are not yet available, both teams will be looking to capitalize on their respective pitching strengths. With Mike Clevinger taking the mound for the White Sox and Bailey Ober for the Twins, bettors and fans should pay close attention to the intricate pitcher-batter matchups.

Pitching Preview

Pitching Matchup: Mike Clevinger vs Bailey Ober

Mike Clevinger (CWS):

Mike Clevinger brings a dynamic pitching style to the mound, heavily relying on a diverse arsenal: Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage, 93.2 mph), Cutter (22% usage, 89.4 mph), Sweeper (19% usage, 78.8 mph), Changeup (15% usage, 87.5 mph), Sinker (3% usage, 90.4 mph), and Curveball (1% usage, 79.0 mph). Clevinger's mix leans toward velocity and movement, making him a challenging pitcher for hitters to square up. The Twins' lineup averages .228 this season with a projected xBA of .232 against Clevinger's pitches, suggesting a slight edge for the pitcher.

Bailey Ober (MIN):

Bailey Ober counters with a nuanced approach, utilizing: Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage, 90.4 mph), Changeup (29% usage, 83.4 mph), Slider (17% usage, 83.6 mph), Sweeper (10% usage, 78.7 mph), Curveball (4% usage, 75.4 mph), and Sinker (3% usage, 90.5 mph). Ober's reliance on off-speed pitches and command could disrupt the White Sox hitters, who average .239 this season but project a lower .232 against Ober's arsenal.

Lineup Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For CWS vs Bailey Ober: The White Sox lineup averages .239 this season but projects to .232 against Ober's arsenal. Key performers include:

Tim Elko: Season BA .136 → xBA vs arsenal .170 (+34 points), Season K% 42.3% → Arsenal K% 40.0% (-2.3%)
Colson Montgomery: Season BA .224 → xBA vs arsenal .188 (-36 points), Season K% 27.9% → Arsenal K% 35.5% (+7.6%)

For MIN vs Mike Clevinger: The Twins lineup averages .228 this season and projects a slight increase to .232 against Clevinger's arsenal. Notable changes include:

Kody Clemens: Season BA .207 → xBA vs arsenal .314 (+107 points), Season K% 23.1% → Arsenal K% 19.3% (-3.8%)
Luke Keaschall: Season BA .315 → xBA vs arsenal .248 (-67 points), Season K% 12.7% → Arsenal K% 15.1% (+2.4%)

Whiff Outlook

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

For the White Sox, their projected K-rate is 26.2% vs Bailey Ober — up 1.8% from their 24.3% season average. This indicates potential value in strikeout props for Ober.

For the Twins, their projected K-rate is 23.8% vs Mike Clevinger — up 1.1% from their 22.7% season average, suggesting a moderate increase in strikeout potential.

Umpire Impact

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Kody Clemens (.207 → .314, +107 points) meets betting lean criteria!
⚡ K Prop Alert: Bailey Ober strikeout OVER - White Sox's K-rate jumps to 26.2% vs this arsenal!

🔑 Key Takeaways

Kody Clemens shows significant potential against Clevinger with a .314 projected xBA.
Bailey Ober's strikeout potential is enhanced against the White Sox lineup.
Umpire data is unavailable, adding uncertainty to betting props.
Overall, lean towards a strong performance from Bailey Ober in terms of strikeouts.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the CWS vs MIN game? A: Kody Clemens presents a strong prop opportunity with a projected xBA of .314 against Clevinger.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, leaving prop outcomes uncertain.

Q: What time is the CWS vs MIN game? A: Game time is TBD.

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