Written by: Jake Turner
Jake is a veteran sports analyst with over 10 years of MLB prop betting experience.
Cubs vs Braves: Betting Preview & Props (Sep 10)
Last updated: September 10, 2025Game Time: 9/10, 07:15PM
Game Preview
The Chicago Cubs visit the Atlanta Braves in a high-stakes matchup. The Braves are favored at DraftKings with a line of -169, while the Cubs are underdogs at +138. An overwhelming 96% of the money is backing the Braves, reflecting strong public confidence in Atlanta's chances.
Pitching Preview
Pitching Matchup: Jameson Taillon vs Chris Sale
Jameson Taillon (CHC):
Jameson Taillon brings a diverse pitch mix to the mound for the Cubs, utilizing a variety of pitches:- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage, 92.3 mph)
- Sweeper (16% usage, 80.3 mph)
- Curveball (15% usage, 79.7 mph)
- Cutter (14% usage, 85.9 mph)
- Changeup (10% usage, 84.3 mph)
- Sinker (7% usage, 92.4 mph)
Taillon is a classic pitch-mix artist, employing a range of speeds and movements. The Braves lineup, which averages .257 this season, projects a slightly lower xBA of .252 against Taillon’s arsenal.
Chris Sale (ATL):
Chris Sale offers a contrasting approach with his power-leaning arsenal:- Slider (48% usage, 79.2 mph)
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage, 94.9 mph)
- Changeup (6% usage, 86.6 mph)
- Sinker (3% usage, 93.9 mph)
Sale's reliance on fast-paced sliders and heaters could challenge the Cubs, who average .253 but project a reduced xBA of .240 against Sale's offerings.
Hitting Matchups
Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges
For the Cubs vs Chris Sale:
- The Cubs lineup projects a drop from their season average of .253 to a .240 xBA against Sale.
- Biggest increase: Dansby Swanson shows promise with a bump: Season BA .247 → xBA .267 (+20 points), K% 26.1% → Arsenal K% 27.2% (+1.1%).
- Biggest decrease: Carson Kelly struggles with a Season BA .256 → xBA .206 (-50 points), K% 17.5% → Arsenal K% 20.9% (+3.4%).
For the Braves vs Jameson Taillon:
- The Braves lineup also projects a slight regression from .257 season average to .252 xBA against Taillon.
- Biggest increase: II Harris sees improvement: Season BA .244 → xBA .285 (+41 points), K% 20.3% → Arsenal K% 21.8% (+1.5%).
- Biggest decrease: Ha-Seong Kim faces challenges: Season BA .287 → xBA .238 (-49 points), K% 29.6% → Arsenal K% 27.6% (-2.0%).
Contact vs Strikeout Profile
Strikeout Risks & Rewards
- The Cubs' projected K-rate is 23.1% vs Chris Sale — up 3.7% from their 19.4% season average, indicating potential K prop value.
- The Braves' projected K-rate is 22.8% vs Jameson Taillon — up 1.7% from their 21.1% season average, suggesting possible contact play.
Umpire Impact
Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.
What to Bet On
Check ALL individual batters for prop opportunities:
- Dansby Swanson (.247 → .267, +20 points) meets betting lean criteria!
Check team strikeout rates for pitcher props:
- ⚡ K Prop Alert: Chris Sale strikeout OVER - Cubs' K-rate jumps to 23.1% vs this arsenal!
🔑 Key Takeaways
- Dansby Swanson and II Harris show notable batting advantages.
- Chris Sale could capitalize on the Cubs' elevated strikeout projection.
- Umpire uncertainty adds volatility to prop bets.
- Strong lean on Chris Sale's strikeout potential against the Cubs.
🧠 FAQs
Q: Who is the best betting prop for the Cubs vs Braves game? A: Dansby Swanson (.247 → .267, +20 points) meets our strict betting criteria.
Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is TBA, adding uncertainty to the matchup.
Q: What time is the Cubs vs Braves game? A: The game is scheduled for 9/10 at 07:15PM.
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