August 31, 2025

Game Preview

Written by: Ryan Chen

Ryan combines advanced statistics with traditional scouting to identify profitable betting opportunities.

Cardinals vs Reds: Betting Preview & Props (Aug 31)

Last updated: August 31, 2025

Game Time: 8/31, 12:10PM

Brief Intro

The St. Louis Cardinals are set to face off against the Cincinnati Reds in what promises to be a compelling matchup. According to DraftKings, the Cincinnati Reds are favored at -143, with the Cardinals as +118 underdogs. Notably, 88% of the betting money is backing the Reds, indicating strong public support.

Mound Matchup

Pitching Matchup: Andre Pallante (STL) vs Brady Singer (CIN)

Andre Pallante (STL):

Andre Pallante showcases a diverse pitch mix, featuring a Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage, 94.4 mph), Slider (29% usage, 87.5 mph), Curveball (13% usage, 78.1 mph), Sinker (13% usage, 95.0 mph), and a Sweeper (0% usage, 85.0 mph). Pallante is a velocity-heavy pitcher with a focus on mixing speeds to disrupt batters. The Reds lineup, however, struggles slightly against Pallante's arsenal, averaging .255 this season with a projected xBA of .241.

Brady Singer (CIN):

Brady Singer relies predominantly on his Sinker (40% usage, 92.2 mph), complemented by a Slider (30% usage, 82.5 mph), Four-Seam Fastball (11% usage, 91.4 mph), Cutter (10% usage, 87.6 mph), and Sweeper (8% usage, 81.5 mph). Singer's arsenal combines movement and deception, but the Cardinals lineup fares relatively well against him, averaging .249 this season with a projected xBA of .268.

Lineup Matchups

Lineup Matchups & Batting Edges

For STL vs Brady Singer: The Cardinals lineup averages .249 this season but projects to .268 against Singer's arsenal. Key performers include:

Nathan Church: Season BA .250 → xBA vs arsenal .380 (+130 points), Season K% 22.5% → Arsenal K% 6.8% (-15.7%)

The batter with the biggest decrease in xBA:

Iván Herrera: Season BA .284 → xBA vs arsenal .239 (-45 points), Season K% 19.8% → Arsenal K% 21.2% (+1.4%)

For CIN vs Andre Pallante: The Reds lineup averages .255 this season but projects to .241 against Pallante's arsenal. Key performers include:

Elly Cruz: Season BA .273 → xBA vs arsenal .242 (-31 points), Season K% 25.9% → Arsenal K% 32.7% (+6.8%)

Strikeout Trends

Strikeout Risks & Rewards

The Cardinals' projected K-rate is 19.5% vs Brady Singer — down 3.7% from their 23.2% season average, suggesting fewer strikeouts and potential contact plays.
The Reds' projected K-rate is 22.5% vs Andre Pallante — up 1.6% from their 20.9% season average, indicating a moderate increase in strikeout potential.

Umpire Impact

Behind the Plate: Umpire assignment has not been announced, which makes prop volatility a concern.

What to Bet On

📢 Prop Alert: Nathan Church (.250 → .380, +130 points) meets betting lean criteria!

No significant strikeout prop opportunities meet our criteria in this matchup.

🔑 Key Takeaways

Nathan Church shows a substantial projected increase in batting average against Brady Singer, making him a strong candidate for prop bets.
No standout strikeout prop opportunities due to lack of significant K-rate increases.
Umpire assignment is TBA, adding uncertainty to potential prop plays.

🧠 FAQs

Q: Who is the best betting prop for the STL vs CIN game? A: Nathan Church stands out with a projected batting average increase of 130 points against Brady Singer.

Q: Is the umpire a pitcher-friendly umpire? A: Umpire assignment is currently TBA, leaving the potential impact unclear.

Q: What time is the STL vs CIN game? A: The game is scheduled for 8/31, 12:10PM.

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